{
 "paper": "gadeke-2026-guilt-insula",
 "drafted_on": "2026-09-12",
 "model": "supplied:runs/gadeke-2026-guilt-insula/gap-claim.answer.v3.json",
 "note": "Claims drafted for the spans `adjudication` judged a real gap. Candidates, not claims: nothing here is in the tree until a person promotes it, and promoting one makes the verdict that recorded the gap stale, which is how the loop closes.",
 "candidates": [
  {
   "uid": "results-143",
   "span": "A smaller cluster in the left IFG showed the same effect but did not survive correction for multiple tests (p uncorrected = 0.001, T = 4.08, Z = 3.97, 38 voxels, peak at MNI [−38 –2 26]).",
   "slug": "left-ifg-insula-connectivity-subthreshold",
   "claim": "A cluster in the left inferior frontal gyrus showed the same insula-seed connectivity effect as the right IFG (highest for Risky-self / Safe-both choices) but did not survive correction for multiple comparisons (p uncorrected = 0.001, T = 4.08, 38 voxels).",
   "role": "empirical",
   "panel": "fig5",
   "why": "The tree records the surviving right-IFG insula-connectivity cluster (connectivity-between-left-anterior-insula) but nowhere the parallel left-IFG cluster with the same effect that fell below the correction threshold."
  },
  {
   "uid": "tables-016",
   "span": "VStria L MPFC Precun TPJ L (Intercept) 0.67*** –0.03 0.38*** 0.07 (0.11) (0.10) (0.11) (0.09) socialVsSolo –0.47*** –0.10*** 0.30*** 0.24*** (0.03) (0.01) (0.02) (0.03) run –0.03* - –0.24*** –0.14*** (0.02) (0.01) (0.01) socialVsSolo:run 0.18*** - –0.16*** –0.12*** (0.02) (0.01) (0.02) R 2 (ord) 0.085 0.075 0.068 0.091 R 2 (adj) 0.085 0.075 0.067 0.091 N 94,320 72,480 176,880 76,800 Appendix 1—table 6. Linear mixed model regressions on BOLD response parameter estimates obtained during the decision phase – difference between Risky and Safe choices, Social vs. Partner.",
   "slug": "decision-phase-risky-safe-social-solo-per-roi",
   "claim": "In the decision phase, the Risky−Safe response difference between Social and Solo conditions yielded significant per-ROI linear-mixed-model coefficients in left ventral striatum, mPFC, precuneus and left TPJ (Appendix 1—table 5).",
   "role": "empirical",
   "panel": "app1table5",
   "why": "The tree carries the summary that only precuneus and TPJ showed positive Risky−Safe differences, but this appendix table is the only place the per-ROI Social-vs-Solo coefficients themselves are reported."
  },
  {
   "uid": "tables-019",
   "span": "VStria L MPFC Precun TPJ L (Intercept) 0.61*** –0.03 0.38*** 0.07 (0.11) (0.10) (0.11) (0.09) socialVsPartner –0.07*** 0.23*** 0.39*** 0.07** (0.01) (0.01) (0.02) (0.03) run - - –0.24*** –0.14*** (0.01) (0.01) socialVsPartner:run - - –0.20*** 0.01 (0.01) (0.02) R 2 (ord) 0.090 0.225 0.233 0.228 R 2 (adj) 0.090 0.225 0.233 0.228 N 94,320 72,480 176,880 76,800 Appendix 1—table 7. Details of clusters with higher activation during risky vs. safe outcomes (second-level SPM model, with Cohen’s d for each cluster).",
   "slug": "decision-phase-risky-safe-social-partner-per-roi",
   "claim": "In the decision phase, the Risky−Safe response difference between Social and Partner conditions yielded significant per-ROI linear-mixed-model coefficients in left ventral striatum, mPFC, precuneus and left TPJ (Appendix 1—table 6).",
   "role": "empirical",
   "panel": "app1table6",
   "why": "As with the Social-vs-Solo comparison, this appendix table is the only place the per-ROI Social-vs-Partner decision-phase coefficients are reported, beyond the precuneus/TPJ summary."
  },
  {
   "uid": "tables-031",
   "span": "The results for the response to low lottery outcomes were: InsulaL InsulaR MidTempR (Intercept) 0.70*** 0.95*** 1.22*** (0.18) (0.18) (0.18) Social 0.41*** 0.18*** –0.12** (0.01) (0.01) (0.04) R 2 (ord) 0.150 0.148 0.231 R 2 (adj) 0.150 0.148 0.231 N 186,240 253,760 12,800 Appendix 1—table 10. Linear mixed model regressions on BOLD response parameter estimates obtained during the outcome phase – difference LowOutcome – HighOutcome.",
   "slug": "right-middle-temporal-tracks-low-partner-outcome-guilt",
   "claim": "The right middle temporal cortex responded more to low lottery outcomes for the partner in the Social than the Partner condition (Appendix 1—table 9), alongside the insulae.",
   "role": "empirical",
   "panel": "app1table9",
   "why": "The tree records the insula guilt response but no claim carries the right middle-temporal region that met the same Social>Partner low-outcome criterion."
  },
  {
   "uid": "tables-032",
   "span": "The results of the models fitted to the response difference (response to Low lottery outcomes minus response to High lottery outcomes ) were: InsulaL InsulaR MidTempR (Intercept) –0.30 –0.07 –0.48* (0.19) (0.16) (0.23) Social 0.44*** 0.19*** 0.67*** (0.02) (0.01) (0.04) R 2 (ord) 0.116 0.091 0.253 R 2 (adj) 0.116 0.091 0.253 N 186,240 253,760 12800 Appendix 1—table 11. Participant’s judgments of their partner.",
   "slug": "right-middle-temporal-low-minus-high-social-partner",
   "claim": "The right middle temporal cortex showed a larger low-minus-high lottery-outcome response difference in the Social than the Partner condition (Appendix 1—table 10).",
   "role": "empirical",
   "panel": "app1table10",
   "why": "The low-minus-high guilt contrast is claimed for the insulae but not for the right middle-temporal cortex, which this table row is the only place to report."
  }
 ],
 "declined": []
}