{
  "paper_slug": "gadeke-2026-guilt-insula",
  "model": "supplied:runs/gadeke-2026-guilt-insula/warrant.answer.v3.json",
  "claims": [
    {
      "slug": "anterior-insula-tracks-guilt-insula",
      "role": "prediction",
      "stance": "asserts",
      "warrant": "confirmed",
      "why": "confirmed by insula-rois-responded-more-low and mass-univariate-voxel-wise-analysis-found-small",
      "unsupported": false,
      "warrant_from": [
        "outcome",
        "confirmed_by"
      ]
    },
    {
      "slug": "connectivity-between-guilt-responsibility-related-outcome-ph",
      "role": "prediction",
      "stance": "asserts",
      "warrant": "confirmed",
      "why": "confirmed by functional-connectivity-between-left-anterior",
      "unsupported": false,
      "warrant_from": [
        "outcome",
        "confirmed_by"
      ]
    },
    {
      "slug": "neural-substrate-tracks-participant-responsibility-2",
      "role": "prediction",
      "stance": "asserts",
      "warrant": "confirmed",
      "why": "confirmed by one-cluster-left-sts-responded",
      "unsupported": false,
      "warrant_from": [
        "outcome",
        "confirmed_by"
      ]
    },
    {
      "slug": "responsibility-outcomes-generates-guilt-participant",
      "role": "prediction",
      "stance": "asserts",
      "warrant": "confirmed",
      "why": "confirmed by when-partner-received-low-lottery",
      "unsupported": false,
      "warrant_from": [
        "outcome",
        "confirmed_by"
      ]
    },
    {
      "slug": "responsibility-partner-outcomes-influences-participant",
      "role": "prediction",
      "stance": "asserts",
      "warrant": "confirmed",
      "why": "confirmed by likelihood-ratio-test-showed-responsibility and partner-reward-prediction-errors-resulting",
      "unsupported": false,
      "warrant_from": [
        "outcome",
        "confirmed_by"
      ]
    },
    {
      "slug": "alt-agency-aversion-not-guilt",
      "role": "hypothesis",
      "stance": "rejects",
      "warrant": "ruled-out",
      "why": "ruled out by participant-happiness-lower-when-participant",
      "unsupported": false,
      "warrant_from": [
        "ruled_out_by"
      ]
    },
    {
      "slug": "alt-guilt-effect-driven-by-own-outcome",
      "role": "hypothesis",
      "stance": "rejects",
      "warrant": "ruled-out",
      "why": "ruled out by guilt-effect-occurred-whether-participant",
      "unsupported": false,
      "warrant_from": [
        "ruled_out_by"
      ]
    },
    {
      "slug": "alt-imaging-contrast-invalid",
      "role": "hypothesis",
      "stance": "rejects",
      "warrant": "ruled-out",
      "why": "ruled out by bilateral-ventral-striatum-more-active",
      "unsupported": false,
      "warrant_from": [
        "ruled_out_by"
      ]
    },
    {
      "slug": "alt-model-based-glm-invalid",
      "role": "hypothesis",
      "stance": "rejects",
      "warrant": "ruled-out",
      "why": "ruled out by manipulation-check-bilateral-ventral-striatum",
      "unsupported": false,
      "warrant_from": [
        "ruled_out_by"
      ]
    },
    {
      "slug": "alt-participants-insensitive-to-value",
      "role": "hypothesis",
      "stance": "rejects",
      "warrant": "ruled-out",
      "why": "ruled out by participants-probability-choosing-risky-option",
      "unsupported": false,
      "warrant_from": [
        "ruled_out_by"
      ]
    },
    {
      "slug": "alt-social-context-shifts-risk-attitude",
      "role": "hypothesis",
      "stance": "rejects",
      "warrant": "ruled-out",
      "why": "ruled out by risk-premiums-not-differ-between",
      "unsupported": false,
      "warrant_from": [
        "ruled_out_by"
      ]
    },
    {
      "slug": "anterior-insula-neural-substrate-guilt",
      "role": "hypothesis",
      "stance": "asserts",
      "warrant": "strong",
      "why": "its prediction anterior-insula-tracks-guilt-insula is confirmed and it is supported by insula-rois-responded-more-low; no rival stands",
      "unsupported": false,
      "warrant_from": [
        "predictions",
        "supported_by"
      ]
    },
    {
      "slug": "functional-connectivity-between-guilt-responsibility-related",
      "role": "hypothesis",
      "stance": "asserts",
      "warrant": "strong",
      "why": "its prediction connectivity-between-guilt-responsibility-related-outcome-ph is confirmed and it is supported by functional-connectivity-between-left-anterior",
      "unsupported": false,
      "warrant_from": [
        "predictions",
        "supported_by"
      ]
    },
    {
      "slug": "neural-substrate-tracks-participant-responsibility",
      "role": "hypothesis",
      "stance": "asserts",
      "warrant": "strong",
      "why": "its prediction neural-substrate-tracks-participant-responsibility-2 is confirmed and it is supported by one-cluster-left-sts-responded",
      "unsupported": false,
      "warrant_from": [
        "predictions",
        "supported_by"
      ]
    },
    {
      "slug": "responsibility-social-choice-yields-low",
      "role": "hypothesis",
      "stance": "asserts",
      "warrant": "strong",
      "why": "both its predictions (responsibility-outcomes-generates-guilt-participant and responsibility-partner-outcomes-influences-participant) are confirmed and it is supported by when-partner-received-low-lottery",
      "unsupported": false,
      "warrant_from": [
        "predictions",
        "supported_by"
      ]
    },
    {
      "slug": "authors-suggest-left-sts-region",
      "role": "interpretation",
      "stance": "asserts",
      "warrant": "weak",
      "why": "interprets the single moderate result one-cluster-left-sts-responded, so sits below it",
      "unsupported": false,
      "warrant_from": [
        "interprets"
      ]
    },
    {
      "slug": "behavioural-guilt-effect-larger-happiness",
      "role": "interpretation",
      "stance": "asserts",
      "warrant": "moderate",
      "why": "interprets the strongly-warranted guilt interaction when-partner-received-low-lottery",
      "unsupported": false,
      "warrant_from": [
        "interprets"
      ]
    },
    {
      "slug": "connectivity-between-left-anterior-insula",
      "role": "interpretation",
      "stance": "asserts",
      "warrant": "weak",
      "why": "interprets functional-connectivity-between-left-anterior, itself only moderate",
      "unsupported": false,
      "warrant_from": [
        "interprets"
      ]
    },
    {
      "slug": "lower-happiness-when-participant-decision-maker",
      "role": "interpretation",
      "stance": "asserts",
      "warrant": "weak",
      "why": "interprets participant-happiness-lower-when-participant, itself only moderate",
      "unsupported": false,
      "warrant_from": [
        "interprets"
      ]
    },
    {
      "slug": "both-studies-participants-felt-worse",
      "role": "synthesis",
      "stance": "asserts",
      "warrant": "weak",
      "why": "rests on a single result, when-partner-received-low-lottery; a synthesis needs two or more converging claims",
      "unsupported": false,
      "warrant_from": [
        "supported_by"
      ]
    },
    {
      "slug": "participants-showed-very-similar-risk",
      "role": "synthesis",
      "stance": "asserts",
      "warrant": "moderate",
      "why": "draws together four converging risk-preference results, including the rival-ruling-out control risk-premiums-not-differ-between and no-significant-interaction-between-difference",
      "unsupported": false,
      "warrant_from": [
        "supported_by"
      ]
    },
    {
      "slug": "among-computational-models-fitted-momentary",
      "role": "methodological",
      "stance": "asserts",
      "warrant": "weak",
      "why": "an AIC ranking that requires momentary-happiness-modelled-five-computational; nothing in the tree validates or supports it",
      "unsupported": false,
      "warrant_from": [
        "requires"
      ]
    },
    {
      "slug": "bilateral-ventral-striatum-more-active",
      "role": "control",
      "stance": "asserts",
      "warrant": "moderate",
      "why": "a positive control that rules out alt-imaging-contrast-invalid by replicating the risky>safe ventral-striatum effect",
      "unsupported": false,
      "warrant_from": [
        "rules_out"
      ]
    },
    {
      "slug": "decisions-social-compared-solo-condition",
      "role": "empirical",
      "stance": "asserts",
      "warrant": "weak",
      "why": "an fMRI contrast that requires the paradigm each-trial-participants-chose-between; no control or support bears on it",
      "unsupported": false,
      "warrant_from": [
        "requires"
      ]
    },
    {
      "slug": "difference-response-between-low-high",
      "role": "empirical",
      "stance": "asserts",
      "warrant": "weak",
      "why": "one measure that is part of insula-rois-responded-more-low, not independently warranted",
      "unsupported": false,
      "warrant_from": [
        "part_of"
      ]
    },
    {
      "slug": "dot-products-between-individual-neural",
      "role": "control",
      "stance": "asserts",
      "warrant": "weak",
      "why": "the tree records nothing bearing on this convergent-validity control",
      "unsupported": true,
      "warrant_from": []
    },
    {
      "slug": "during-outcome-phase-responses-low",
      "role": "empirical",
      "stance": "asserts",
      "warrant": "weak",
      "why": "one measure that is part of insula-rois-responded-more-low",
      "unsupported": false,
      "warrant_from": [
        "part_of"
      ]
    },
    {
      "slug": "during-receipt-lottery-versus-safe",
      "role": "empirical",
      "stance": "asserts",
      "warrant": "weak",
      "why": "the tree records nothing bearing on this localizer contrast",
      "unsupported": true,
      "warrant_from": []
    },
    {
      "slug": "each-trial-participants-chose-between",
      "role": "scope",
      "stance": "asserts",
      "warrant": "weak",
      "why": "a scope statement the tree records nothing bearing on",
      "unsupported": true,
      "warrant_from": []
    },
    {
      "slug": "findings-rest-two-samples-healthy",
      "role": "scope",
      "stance": "asserts",
      "warrant": "weak",
      "why": "a scope statement the tree records nothing bearing on",
      "unsupported": true,
      "warrant_from": []
    },
    {
      "slug": "functional-connectivity-between-left-anterior",
      "role": "empirical",
      "stance": "asserts",
      "warrant": "moderate",
      "why": "confirms the prediction connectivity-between-guilt-responsibility-related-outcome-ph",
      "unsupported": false,
      "warrant_from": [
        "confirms"
      ]
    },
    {
      "slug": "guilt-effect-occurred-whether-participant",
      "role": "control",
      "stance": "asserts",
      "warrant": "moderate",
      "why": "a control that rules out alt-guilt-effect-driven-by-own-outcome",
      "unsupported": false,
      "warrant_from": [
        "rules_out"
      ]
    },
    {
      "slug": "hold-partner-behaviour-constant-across",
      "role": "methodological",
      "stance": "asserts",
      "warrant": "weak",
      "why": "the tree records nothing bearing on this methodological choice",
      "unsupported": true,
      "warrant_from": []
    },
    {
      "slug": "individual-grbs-dot-product-values-not",
      "role": "control",
      "stance": "asserts",
      "warrant": "weak",
      "why": "the tree records nothing bearing on this null control",
      "unsupported": true,
      "warrant_from": []
    },
    {
      "slug": "insula-rois-responded-more-low",
      "role": "empirical",
      "stance": "asserts",
      "warrant": "moderate",
      "why": "confirms anterior-insula-tracks-guilt-insula and is validated by dot-products-between-individual-neural, but rests on the unsupported localizer during-receipt-lottery-versus-safe, so not strong",
      "unsupported": false,
      "warrant_from": [
        "validated_by",
        "confirms",
        "requires"
      ]
    },
    {
      "slug": "left-ifg-cluster-showed-opposite",
      "role": "empirical",
      "stance": "asserts",
      "warrant": "weak",
      "why": "an uncorrected result the tree records nothing bearing on",
      "unsupported": true,
      "warrant_from": []
    },
    {
      "slug": "left-superior-temporal-sulcus-cluster",
      "role": "empirical",
      "stance": "asserts",
      "warrant": "weak",
      "why": "the tree records nothing bearing on this result",
      "unsupported": true,
      "warrant_from": []
    },
    {
      "slug": "likelihood-ratio-test-showed-responsibility",
      "role": "empirical",
      "stance": "asserts",
      "warrant": "moderate",
      "why": "confirms the prediction responsibility-partner-outcomes-influences-participant and is supported by several happiness results",
      "unsupported": false,
      "warrant_from": [
        "confirms",
        "supported_by",
        "requires"
      ]
    },
    {
      "slug": "linear-mixed-model-containing-all",
      "role": "methodological",
      "stance": "asserts",
      "warrant": "weak",
      "why": "the tree records nothing bearing on this methodological result",
      "unsupported": true,
      "warrant_from": []
    },
    {
      "slug": "manipulation-check-bilateral-ventral-striatum",
      "role": "control",
      "stance": "asserts",
      "warrant": "moderate",
      "why": "a manipulation-check control that rules out alt-model-based-glm-invalid",
      "unsupported": false,
      "warrant_from": [
        "rules_out"
      ]
    },
    {
      "slug": "mass-univariate-voxel-wise-analysis-found-small",
      "role": "empirical",
      "stance": "asserts",
      "warrant": "moderate",
      "why": "confirms the prediction anterior-insula-tracks-guilt-insula",
      "unsupported": false,
      "warrant_from": [
        "confirms"
      ]
    },
    {
      "slug": "mixed-effects-regressions-choices-social-condition",
      "role": "empirical",
      "stance": "asserts",
      "warrant": "weak",
      "why": "one analysis that is part of participants-chose-risky-option-lottery",
      "unsupported": false,
      "warrant_from": [
        "part_of"
      ]
    },
    {
      "slug": "model-based-glm-entered-best-fitting-computational",
      "role": "methodological",
      "stance": "asserts",
      "warrant": "moderate",
      "why": "validated by the control manipulation-check-bilateral-ventral-striatum",
      "unsupported": false,
      "warrant_from": [
        "validated_by"
      ]
    },
    {
      "slug": "model-selection-among-happiness-models",
      "role": "methodological",
      "stance": "asserts",
      "warrant": "weak",
      "why": "the tree records nothing bearing on this methodological choice",
      "unsupported": true,
      "warrant_from": []
    },
    {
      "slug": "momentary-happiness-modelled-five-computational",
      "role": "methodological",
      "stance": "asserts",
      "warrant": "moderate",
      "why": "validated by the control risk-aversion-parameter-not-differ-between",
      "unsupported": false,
      "warrant_from": [
        "validated_by"
      ]
    },
    {
      "slug": "no-significant-interaction-between-difference",
      "role": "control",
      "stance": "asserts",
      "warrant": "weak",
      "why": "the tree records nothing bearing on this null control",
      "unsupported": true,
      "warrant_from": []
    },
    {
      "slug": "one-cluster-left-sts-responded",
      "role": "empirical",
      "stance": "asserts",
      "warrant": "moderate",
      "why": "confirms the prediction neural-substrate-tracks-participant-responsibility-2 and is supported by left-superior-temporal-sulcus-cluster",
      "unsupported": false,
      "warrant_from": [
        "confirms",
        "supported_by",
        "requires"
      ]
    },
    {
      "slug": "only-precuneus-tpj-showed-positive",
      "role": "empirical",
      "stance": "asserts",
      "warrant": "weak",
      "why": "one analysis that is part of decisions-social-compared-solo-condition",
      "unsupported": false,
      "warrant_from": [
        "part_of"
      ]
    },
    {
      "slug": "parameter-recovery-procedure-synthetic-data-generated",
      "role": "methodological",
      "stance": "asserts",
      "warrant": "weak",
      "why": "the tree records nothing bearing on this methodological check",
      "unsupported": true,
      "warrant_from": []
    },
    {
      "slug": "participant-happiness-lower-when-participant",
      "role": "empirical",
      "stance": "asserts",
      "warrant": "moderate",
      "why": "an empirical result that rules out alt-agency-aversion-not-guilt",
      "unsupported": false,
      "warrant_from": [
        "rules_out"
      ]
    },
    {
      "slug": "participant-momentary-happiness-varied-rewards",
      "role": "empirical",
      "stance": "asserts",
      "warrant": "weak",
      "why": "the tree records nothing bearing on this result",
      "unsupported": true,
      "warrant_from": []
    },
    {
      "slug": "participant-momentary-happiness-varied-rewards-2",
      "role": "empirical",
      "stance": "asserts",
      "warrant": "weak",
      "why": "the tree records nothing bearing on this result",
      "unsupported": true,
      "warrant_from": []
    },
    {
      "slug": "participants-chose-risky-option-lottery",
      "role": "empirical",
      "stance": "asserts",
      "warrant": "weak",
      "why": "a choice result that requires the paradigm each-trial-participants-chose-between; no control or support bears on it",
      "unsupported": false,
      "warrant_from": [
        "requires"
      ]
    },
    {
      "slug": "participants-own-reward-prediction-errors",
      "role": "empirical",
      "stance": "asserts",
      "warrant": "weak",
      "why": "the tree records nothing bearing on this result",
      "unsupported": true,
      "warrant_from": []
    },
    {
      "slug": "participants-probability-choosing-risky-option",
      "role": "control",
      "stance": "asserts",
      "warrant": "moderate",
      "why": "a control that rules out alt-participants-insensitive-to-value",
      "unsupported": false,
      "warrant_from": [
        "rules_out"
      ]
    },
    {
      "slug": "participants-slightly-more-risk-averse",
      "role": "empirical",
      "stance": "asserts",
      "warrant": "weak",
      "why": "the tree records nothing bearing on this result",
      "unsupported": true,
      "warrant_from": []
    },
    {
      "slug": "partner-reward-prediction-errors-resulting",
      "role": "empirical",
      "stance": "asserts",
      "warrant": "moderate",
      "why": "confirms the prediction responsibility-partner-outcomes-influences-participant",
      "unsupported": false,
      "warrant_from": [
        "confirms"
      ]
    },
    {
      "slug": "pre-task-icebreaker-succeeded-establishing-positive",
      "role": "control",
      "stance": "asserts",
      "warrant": "weak",
      "why": "the tree records nothing bearing on this control",
      "unsupported": true,
      "warrant_from": []
    },
    {
      "slug": "prior-functional-connectivity-work-shown",
      "role": "literature-context",
      "stance": "asserts",
      "warrant": "weak",
      "why": "prior-literature context the tree records nothing bearing on",
      "unsupported": true,
      "warrant_from": []
    },
    {
      "slug": "prior-literature-documents-association-between",
      "role": "literature-context",
      "stance": "asserts",
      "warrant": "weak",
      "why": "prior-literature context the tree records nothing bearing on",
      "unsupported": true,
      "warrant_from": []
    },
    {
      "slug": "responsibility-choices-not-influence-happiness",
      "role": "control",
      "stance": "asserts",
      "warrant": "weak",
      "why": "the tree records nothing bearing on this null control",
      "unsupported": true,
      "warrant_from": []
    },
    {
      "slug": "responsibility-model-yielded-higher-values",
      "role": "empirical",
      "stance": "asserts",
      "warrant": "weak",
      "why": "an R2 comparison that requires momentary-happiness-modelled-five-computational; nothing validates or supports it",
      "unsupported": false,
      "warrant_from": [
        "requires"
      ]
    },
    {
      "slug": "responsibility-redux-model-incorporating-expected",
      "role": "empirical",
      "stance": "asserts",
      "warrant": "moderate",
      "why": "validated by the control parameter-recovery-procedure-synthetic-data-generated",
      "unsupported": false,
      "warrant_from": [
        "validated_by",
        "requires"
      ]
    },
    {
      "slug": "risk-aversion-parameter-not-differ-between",
      "role": "control",
      "stance": "asserts",
      "warrant": "weak",
      "why": "the tree records nothing bearing on this control",
      "unsupported": true,
      "warrant_from": []
    },
    {
      "slug": "risk-premiums-not-differ-between",
      "role": "control",
      "stance": "asserts",
      "warrant": "moderate",
      "why": "a null control that rules out alt-social-context-shifts-risk-attitude",
      "unsupported": false,
      "warrant_from": [
        "rules_out"
      ]
    },
    {
      "slug": "rutledge-colleagues-established-changes-momentary",
      "role": "literature-context",
      "stance": "asserts",
      "warrant": "weak",
      "why": "prior-literature context the tree records nothing bearing on",
      "unsupported": true,
      "warrant_from": []
    },
    {
      "slug": "study-reproduced-study-design-inside",
      "role": "scope",
      "stance": "asserts",
      "warrant": "weak",
      "why": "a scope statement the tree records nothing bearing on",
      "unsupported": true,
      "warrant_from": []
    },
    {
      "slug": "when-partner-received-low-lottery",
      "role": "empirical",
      "stance": "asserts",
      "warrant": "strong",
      "why": "confirms the prediction responsibility-outcomes-generates-guilt-participant and is validated by four controls including guilt-effect-occurred-whether-participant",
      "unsupported": false,
      "warrant_from": [
        "validated_by",
        "confirms",
        "requires"
      ]
    }
  ]
}