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for Contributions of insula and superior temporal sulcus to interpersonal guilt and responsibility in social decisions · this layer across all papers · json

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v7 → v8 comparison

Aligned by the claim text — exact wording first, then a token overlap — because two versions share no slugs. 68 matched; 0 only in v7; 0 only in v8. v7 runs/gadeke-2026-guilt-insula/claim-tree.v7 · 68 claims · v8 claims/gadeke-2026-guilt-insula · 68 claims

Matched

  1. The happiness cost observed in the Social condition is general agency aversion — the unpleasantness of being the decision-maker as such — and is not contingent on responsibility for a negative outcome befalling the partner.

    hypothesis —

    The happiness cost observed in the Social condition is general agency aversion — the unpleasantness of being the decision-maker as such — and is not contingent on responsibility for a negative outcome befalling the partner.

    hypothesis —

  2. The happiness decrease following negative partner outcomes under participant choice is driven by the participant's own lottery outcome rather than by the partner's, and so reflects self-directed disappointment rather than interpersonal guilt.

    hypothesis —

    The happiness decrease following negative partner outcomes under participant choice is driven by the participant's own lottery outcome rather than by the partner's, and so reflects self-directed disappointment rather than interpersonal guilt.

    hypothesis —

  3. The imaging pipeline and condition contrasts do not recover established effects, so differences reported between Social and Partner conditions cannot be attributed to the experimental manipulation.

    hypothesis —

    The imaging pipeline and condition contrasts do not recover established effects, so differences reported between Social and Partner conditions cannot be attributed to the experimental manipulation.

    hypothesis —

  4. The model-based fMRI approach does not recover known neural signals, so parametric modulators derived from the computational model — including the partner reward prediction error regressors — cannot be trusted.

    hypothesis —

    The model-based fMRI approach does not recover known neural signals, so parametric modulators derived from the computational model — including the partner reward prediction error regressors — cannot be trusted.

    hypothesis —

  5. Participants did not engage with the lottery task in a value-sensitive way — choices were inattentive or random — so the behavioural measures carry no information about preference or affect.

    hypothesis —

    Participants did not engage with the lottery task in a value-sensitive way — choices were inattentive or random — so the behavioural measures carry no information about preference or affect.

    hypothesis —

  6. The happiness and choice differences between Social and Partner conditions reflect a social-context-driven shift in risk attitude — participants become more or less risk averse when choosing on another person's behalf — rather than responsibility-contingent interpersonal guilt.

    hypothesis —

    The happiness and choice differences between Social and Partner conditions reflect a social-context-driven shift in risk attitude — participants become more or less risk averse when choosing on another person's behalf — rather than responsibility-contingent interpersonal guilt.

    hypothesis —

  7. Among the computational models fitted to momentary happiness data, the Responsibility Redux model achieved the best (lowest) AIC in both studies (Study 1 AIC –1499; Study 2 AIC –1195).

    methodological table1

    Among the computational models fitted to momentary happiness data, the Responsibility Redux model achieved the best (lowest) AIC in both studies (Study 1 AIC –1499; Study 2 AIC –1195).

    methodological table1

  8. The anterior insula is the neural substrate of the guilt effect, increasing its BOLD response when participants are responsible for low outcomes affecting their partner.

    hypothesis —

    The anterior insula is the neural substrate of the guilt effect, increasing its BOLD response when participants are responsible for low outcomes affecting their partner.

    hypothesis —

  9. If the anterior insula tracks guilt, then insula BOLD should be higher in the Social than the Partner condition and show a significant Social-by-low-outcome interaction.

    prediction —

    If the anterior insula tracks guilt, then insula BOLD should be higher in the Social than the Partner condition and show a significant Social-by-low-outcome interaction.

    prediction —

  10. The authors suggest this left STS region tracks a partner's unexpected outcomes less when they do not follow from the participant's decisions.

    interpretation —

    The authors suggest this left STS region tracks a partner's unexpected outcomes less when they do not follow from the participant's decisions.

    interpretation —

  11. The behavioural guilt effect (larger happiness decrease after low partner outcomes following participant rather than partner choices) is compatible with 'simple guilt'.

    interpretation —

    The behavioural guilt effect (larger happiness decrease after low partner outcomes following participant rather than partner choices) is compatible with 'simple guilt'.

    interpretation —

  12. The bilateral ventral striatum was more active when participants chose the risky rather than the safe option (Cohen's d = 0.72 left, 0.85 right), irrespective of Social or Solo condition, replicating previous findings.

    control fig4a

    The bilateral ventral striatum was more active when participants chose the risky rather than the safe option (Cohen's d = 0.72 left, 0.85 right), irrespective of Social or Solo condition, replicating previous findings.

    control fig4a

  13. In both studies, participants felt worse after low lottery outcomes for the partner when those outcomes followed their own choice rather than the partner's, which the authors interpret as interpersonal guilt.

    synthesis —

    In both studies, participants felt worse after low lottery outcomes for the partner when those outcomes followed their own choice rather than the partner's, which the authors interpret as interpersonal guilt.

    synthesis —

  14. If connectivity between the guilt- and responsibility-related outcome-phase regions (left insula, left STS) and prefrontal cortex depends on whether participants decide for themselves alone or also for their partner and on the type of choice, then a seed-to-voxel psychophysiological-interaction analysis seeded in these regions should reveal prefrontal clusters showing a significant Condition-by-Choice interaction.

    prediction —

    If connectivity between the guilt- and responsibility-related outcome-phase regions (left insula, left STS) and prefrontal cortex depends on whether participants decide for themselves alone or also for their partner and on the type of choice, then a seed-to-voxel psychophysiological-interaction analysis seeded in these regions should reveal prefrontal clusters showing a significant Condition-by-Choice interaction.

    prediction —

  15. Connectivity between the left anterior insula and the right inferior frontal gyrus varied with choice and condition, suggesting this prefrontal region is sensitive to guilt-related information during social choices.

    interpretation —

    Connectivity between the left anterior insula and the right inferior frontal gyrus varied with choice and condition, suggesting this prefrontal region is sensitive to guilt-related information during social choices.

    interpretation —

  16. Decisions in the Social compared with the Solo condition engaged three clusters — the precuneus (d = 0.79), left temporo-parietal junction (d = 0.59), and medial prefrontal cortex (d = 0.54).

    empirical fig4b

    Decisions in the Social compared with the Solo condition engaged three clusters — the precuneus (d = 0.79), left temporo-parietal junction (d = 0.59), and medial prefrontal cortex (d = 0.54).

    empirical fig4b

  17. The difference in response between low and high lottery outcomes was greater in the Social than the Partner condition in left insula (0.44***), right insula (0.19***), and right middle temporal cortex (0.67***).

    empirical app1table10

    The difference in response between low and high lottery outcomes was greater in the Social than the Partner condition in left insula (0.44***), right insula (0.19***), and right middle temporal cortex (0.67***).

    empirical app1table10

  18. Dot products between individual neural guilt responses and the Yu et al. (2020) guilt-related brain signature (GRBS) were overall positive (mean = 5.22, median = 6.97, sign test p = 0.017, Cliff's Delta = 0.4), providing convergent validity with a previously published neural guilt signature.

    control —

    Dot products between individual neural guilt responses and the Yu et al. (2020) guilt-related brain signature (GRBS) were overall positive (mean = 5.22, median = 6.97, sign test p = 0.017, Cliff's Delta = 0.4), providing convergent validity with a previously published neural guilt signature.

    control —

  19. During the outcome phase, responses to low lottery outcomes were higher in the Social than the Partner condition in both left and right insula (InsulaL 0.41***, InsulaR 0.18***) and lower in the right middle temporal cortex (–0.12**).

    empirical app1table9

    During the outcome phase, responses to low lottery outcomes were higher in the Social than the Partner condition in both left and right insula (InsulaL 0.41***, InsulaR 0.18***) and lower in the right middle temporal cortex (–0.12**).

    empirical app1table9

  20. During receipt of lottery versus safe outcomes (across all conditions), clusters were more active in the bilateral anterior insula, dmPFC, right STS, bilateral ventral striatum, right dorsolateral prefrontal cortex, and bilateral inferior parietal lobe.

    empirical fig4d

    During receipt of lottery versus safe outcomes (across all conditions), clusters were more active in the bilateral anterior insula, dmPFC, right STS, bilateral ventral striatum, right dorsolateral prefrontal cortex, and bilateral inferior parietal lobe.

    empirical fig4d

  21. On each trial participants chose between a safe and a risky monetary option under three conditions: choosing for oneself (Solo), for oneself and the partner (Social), and having the partner choose for both (Partner).

    scope —

    On each trial participants chose between a safe and a risky monetary option under three conditions: choosing for oneself (Solo), for oneself and the partner (Social), and having the partner choose for both (Partner).

    scope —

  22. The findings rest on two samples of healthy adults — Study 1 (behaviour only, N = 40) and Study 2 (fMRI, N = 44); all BOLD/fMRI results derive from Study 2, while the behavioural results come from both studies.

    scope —

    The findings rest on two samples of healthy adults — Study 1 (behaviour only, N = 40) and Study 2 (fMRI, N = 44); all BOLD/fMRI results derive from Study 2, while the behavioural results come from both studies.

    scope —

  23. Functional connectivity between guilt- and responsibility-related outcome-phase regions and prefrontal cortex changes depending on whether participants decide for themselves alone or also for their partner, and on the type of choice (Safe or Risky).

    hypothesis —

    Functional connectivity between guilt- and responsibility-related outcome-phase regions and prefrontal cortex changes depending on whether participants decide for themselves alone or also for their partner, and on the type of choice (Safe or Risky).

    hypothesis —

  24. Functional connectivity between the left anterior insula (seed) and a cluster in the right inferior frontal gyrus varied with condition and choice, being highest when participants made Risky choices for themselves and Safe choices for both players (pFWE = 0.020, T = 4.34, d = 0.80, 115 voxels, peak MNI [46 16 22]).

    empirical fig5

    Functional connectivity between the left anterior insula (seed) and a cluster in the right inferior frontal gyrus varied with condition and choice, being highest when participants made Risky choices for themselves and Safe choices for both players (pFWE = 0.020, T = 4.34, d = 0.80, 115 voxels, peak MNI [46 16 22]).

    empirical fig5

  25. The guilt effect occurred whether the participant received the high lottery outcome (Study 1: t(39) = –3.58, p < 0.001, d = 0.56; Study 2: t(43) = –2.68, p = 0.01, d = 0.4) or the low outcome (Study 1: t(39) = –3.39, p = 0.002, d = 0.54; Study 2: t(43) = –3.58, p < 0.001, d = 0.54).

    control —

    The guilt effect occurred whether the participant received the high lottery outcome (Study 1: t(39) = –3.58, p < 0.001, d = 0.56; Study 2: t(43) = –2.68, p = 0.01, d = 0.4) or the low outcome (Study 1: t(39) = –3.39, p = 0.002, d = 0.54; Study 2: t(43) = –3.58, p < 0.001, d = 0.54).

    control —

  26. To hold the partner's behaviour constant across participants, the partner's decisions were simulated by an algorithm that always selected the option with the highest expected value.

    methodological —

    To hold the partner's behaviour constant across participants, the partner's decisions were simulated by an algorithm that always selected the option with the highest expected value.

    methodological —

  27. Individual GRBS dot-product values did not correlate with the behavioural guilt responses (Spearman's Rho = –0.058, p = 0.725), indicating the neural signature does not track individual differences in behavioural guilt sensitivity.

    control —

    Individual GRBS dot-product values did not correlate with the behavioural guilt responses (Spearman's Rho = –0.058, p = 0.725), indicating the neural signature does not track individual differences in behavioural guilt sensitivity.

    control —

  28. The insula ROIs responded more to low lottery outcomes for the partner in the Social than the Partner condition — even after subtracting responses to high outcomes — mirroring the behavioural guilt effect.

    empirical fig4e

    The insula ROIs responded more to low lottery outcomes for the partner in the Social than the Partner condition — even after subtracting responses to high outcomes — mirroring the behavioural guilt effect.

    empirical fig4e

  29. A left IFG cluster showed the opposite pattern of connectivity with the left STS seed — highest for Safe-self / Risky-both-players choices — but did not survive correction for multiple comparisons (p uncorrected = 0.001, T = 4.44, 35 voxels, peak MNI [–48 14 6]).

    empirical fig5s1

    A left IFG cluster showed the opposite pattern of connectivity with the left STS seed — highest for Safe-self / Risky-both-players choices — but did not survive correction for multiple comparisons (p uncorrected = 0.001, T = 4.44, 35 voxels, peak MNI [–48 14 6]).

    empirical fig5s1

  30. The left superior temporal sulcus cluster responded to model-based regressors coding participant reward prediction resulting from participant and partner choices across both sessions of the experiment.

    empirical fig4i

    The left superior temporal sulcus cluster responded to model-based regressors coding participant reward prediction resulting from participant and partner choices across both sessions of the experiment.

    empirical fig4i

  31. A likelihood ratio test showed the Responsibility model fitted the happiness data better than all other models, including the Responsibility Redux model (Study 1: all LR ≥ 47.36, p < 0.0001; Study 2: all LR ≥ 77.83, p < 0.0001).

    empirical table1

    A likelihood ratio test showed the Responsibility model fitted the happiness data better than all other models, including the Responsibility Redux model (Study 1: all LR ≥ 47.36, p < 0.0001; Study 2: all LR ≥ 77.83, p < 0.0001).

    empirical table1

  32. The linear mixed model containing all three two-way interaction terms (Model 5, Equation 10) explained the happiness data significantly better than simpler models without interactions (p < 2e−5) and no worse than the model with all interactions (p > 0.5), warranting reporting the crucial partnerHigh:participantDecided (guilt) interaction from it.

    methodological app1table2

    The linear mixed model containing all three two-way interaction terms (Model 5, Equation 10) explained the happiness data significantly better than simpler models without interactions (p < 2e−5) and no worse than the model with all interactions (p > 0.5), warranting reporting the crucial partnerHigh:participantDecided (guilt) interaction from it.

    methodological app1table2

  33. The lower happiness when the participant is the decision-maker may reflect responsibility aversion — a cost of the 'weight of the responsibility'.

    interpretation —

    The lower happiness when the participant is the decision-maker may reflect responsibility aversion — a cost of the 'weight of the responsibility'.

    interpretation —

  34. As a manipulation check, bilateral ventral striatum activation increased with expected certain rewards and the expected values of chosen lotteries, explained by a model-based regressor coding participant rewards (left: pFWE = 0.002, T = 5.63, d = 0.75; right: pFWE = 0.005, T = 5.46, d = 0.70).

    control fig4g

    As a manipulation check, bilateral ventral striatum activation increased with expected certain rewards and the expected values of chosen lotteries, explained by a model-based regressor coding participant rewards (left: pFWE = 0.002, T = 5.63, d = 0.75; right: pFWE = 0.005, T = 5.46, d = 0.70).

    control fig4g

  35. A mass-univariate voxel-wise analysis found a small left anterior insula cluster (peak T = 3.95, d = 0.59, 22 voxels) responding more to low partner outcomes following participant than partner choices, which survived small-volume family-wise-error correction (p = 0.024).

    empirical fig4f

    A mass-univariate voxel-wise analysis found a small left anterior insula cluster (peak T = 3.95, d = 0.59, 22 voxels) responding more to low partner outcomes following participant than partner choices, which survived small-volume family-wise-error correction (p = 0.024).

    empirical fig4f

  36. In mixed-effects regressions on choices, the Social condition significantly increased choice of the risky option in Study 1 but not in Study 2.

    empirical app1table1

    In mixed-effects regressions on choices, the Social condition significantly increased choice of the risky option in Study 1 but not in Study 2.

    empirical app1table1

  37. A model-based GLM (GLM2) entered the best-fitting computational (Responsibility) model's variables — certain rewards (CR), expected value (EV), participant RPE (sRPE), and partner RPE from participant choices (social_pRPE) and from partner choices (partner_pRPE) — as regressors to locate brain regions reflecting them.

    methodological —

    A model-based GLM (GLM2) entered the best-fitting computational (Responsibility) model's variables — certain rewards (CR), expected value (EV), participant RPE (sRPE), and partner RPE from participant choices (social_pRPE) and from partner choices (partner_pRPE) — as regressors to locate brain regions reflecting them.

    methodological —

  38. Model selection among the happiness models used likelihood-ratio tests comparing the Responsibility model pairwise against each other model, supplementing the AIC, BIC, R² and adjusted R² values.

    methodological —

    Model selection among the happiness models used likelihood-ratio tests comparing the Responsibility model pairwise against each other model, supplementing the AIC, BIC, R² and adjusted R² values.

    methodological —

  39. Momentary happiness was modelled with five computational models (Basic, Inequality, Guilt-envy, Responsibility, and Responsibility Redux) sharing separate, exponentially decaying terms for certain rewards, expected value, and reward prediction errors.

    methodological —

    Momentary happiness was modelled with five computational models (Basic, Inequality, Guilt-envy, Responsibility, and Responsibility Redux) sharing separate, exponentially decaying terms for certain rewards, expected value, and reward prediction errors.

    methodological —

  40. If a neural substrate tracks the participant's responsibility for the partner's outcomes, then within regions sensitive to the outcomes of risky choices, BOLD should respond more strongly to the partner's reward prediction errors resulting from the participant's own choices than from the partner's choices.

    prediction —

    If a neural substrate tracks the participant's responsibility for the partner's outcomes, then within regions sensitive to the outcomes of risky choices, BOLD should respond more strongly to the partner's reward prediction errors resulting from the participant's own choices than from the partner's choices.

    prediction —

  41. A neural substrate tracks the participant's responsibility for the partner's outcomes: within regions sensitive to choice outcomes, the partner's reward prediction errors are represented more strongly when they arise from the participant's own choice than from the partner's choice.

    hypothesis —

    A neural substrate tracks the participant's responsibility for the partner's outcomes: within regions sensitive to choice outcomes, the partner's reward prediction errors are represented more strongly when they arise from the participant's own choice than from the partner's choice.

    hypothesis —

  42. There was no significant interaction between the difference in expected values and experimental conditions in either study (p > 0.52).

    control —

    There was no significant interaction between the difference in expected values and experimental conditions in either study (p > 0.52).

    control —

  43. One cluster in the left STS responded more to partner reward prediction errors resulting from participant rather than partner choices (pFWE = 0.022, T = 4.70, d = 0.53, 100 voxels, peak MNI [−52 –32 0]).

    empirical fig4h

    One cluster in the left STS responded more to partner reward prediction errors resulting from participant rather than partner choices (pFWE = 0.022, T = 4.70, d = 0.53, 100 voxels, peak MNI [−52 –32 0]).

    empirical fig4h

  44. Only the precuneus and TPJ showed positive Risky–Safe differences in both the Social>Solo and Social>Partner comparisons, being most active when participants chose the lottery in the Social condition.

    empirical fig4c

    Only the precuneus and TPJ showed positive Risky–Safe differences in both the Social>Solo and Social>Partner comparisons, being most active when participants chose the lottery in the Social condition.

    empirical fig4c

  45. A parameter-recovery procedure on synthetic data generated from each participant's estimated parameters showed the happiness-model parameters could be reliably recovered, verifying their stability.

    methodological fig3s1

    A parameter-recovery procedure on synthetic data generated from each participant's estimated parameters showed the happiness-model parameters could be reliably recovered, verifying their stability.

    methodological fig3s1

  46. Participant happiness was lower when the participant was the decision-maker (Social + Solo vs. Partner), independent of outcome (Study 1: t(3600) = –3.92, p < 0.0001, β = –0.14; Study 2: t(2870) = –6.07, p < 0.0001, β = –0.24).

    empirical —

    Participant happiness was lower when the participant was the decision-maker (Social + Solo vs. Partner), independent of outcome (Study 1: t(3600) = –3.92, p < 0.0001, β = –0.14; Study 2: t(2870) = –6.07, p < 0.0001, β = –0.24).

    empirical —

  47. Participant momentary happiness varied with the rewards the partner received in the current trial.

    empirical fig3b,fig3f

    Participant momentary happiness varied with the rewards the partner received in the current trial.

    empirical fig3b,fig3f

  48. Participant momentary happiness varied with the rewards the participant received in the current trial.

    empirical fig3a,fig3e

    Participant momentary happiness varied with the rewards the participant received in the current trial.

    empirical fig3a,fig3e

  49. Participants chose the risky option (lottery) more often in the Solo than the Social condition in Study 1 (t(4796) = 2.54, p = 0.011, β = 0.164) but not in Study 2 (t(3829) = 0.23, p = 0.82, β = 0.015).

    empirical fig2a,fig2d

    Participants chose the risky option (lottery) more often in the Solo than the Social condition in Study 1 (t(4796) = 2.54, p = 0.011, β = 0.164) but not in Study 2 (t(3829) = 0.23, p = 0.82, β = 0.015).

    empirical fig2a,fig2d

  50. Participants' own reward prediction errors (sRPE) influenced happiness more than the partner's reward prediction errors (social_pRPE and partner_pRPE) (Study 1: all Z > 6.0, p < 0.001; Study 2: all Z > 3.7, p < 0.003).

    empirical —

    Participants' own reward prediction errors (sRPE) influenced happiness more than the partner's reward prediction errors (social_pRPE and partner_pRPE) (Study 1: all Z > 6.0, p < 0.001; Study 2: all Z > 3.7, p < 0.003).

    empirical —

  51. Participants' probability of choosing the risky option (lottery) increased with the difference between the expected value of the lottery and the value of the safe option (Study 1: t(4796) = 9.26, p < 3.1e–20, β = 0.074; Study 2: t(3829) = 10.62, p < 5.3e–26, β = 0.093).

    control fig2a,fig2d

    Participants' probability of choosing the risky option (lottery) increased with the difference between the expected value of the lottery and the value of the safe option (Study 1: t(4796) = 9.26, p < 3.1e–20, β = 0.074; Study 2: t(3829) = 10.62, p < 5.3e–26, β = 0.093).

    control fig2a,fig2d

  52. Participants showed very similar risk preferences whether deciding only for themselves (Solo) or for themselves and their partner (Social), with only a tendency toward higher risk aversion in the Social condition in Study 1.

    synthesis —

    Participants showed very similar risk preferences whether deciding only for themselves (Solo) or for themselves and their partner (Social), with only a tendency toward higher risk aversion in the Social condition in Study 1.

    synthesis —

  53. Participants were slightly more risk averse (higher ρ) in the Social than the Solo condition in Study 1 (t(39) = 2.27, p = 0.03, d = 0.36, BF10 = 1.69) but not in Study 2 (t(43) = 1.40, p = 0.17, d = 0.21, BF10 = 0.41).

    empirical fig2c,fig2f

    Participants were slightly more risk averse (higher ρ) in the Social than the Solo condition in Study 1 (t(39) = 2.27, p = 0.03, d = 0.36, BF10 = 1.69) but not in Study 2 (t(43) = 1.40, p = 0.17, d = 0.21, BF10 = 0.41).

    empirical fig2c,fig2f

  54. The partner's reward prediction errors resulting from the participants' own choices (social_pRPE) had weights greater than 0 (Responsibility model: Study 1: Z = 2.85, p = 0.004; Study 2: Z = 3.26, p = 0.001), contributing to explaining participants' momentary happiness.

    empirical —

    The partner's reward prediction errors resulting from the participants' own choices (social_pRPE) had weights greater than 0 (Responsibility model: Study 1: Z = 2.85, p = 0.004; Study 2: Z = 3.26, p = 0.001), contributing to explaining participants' momentary happiness.

    empirical —

  55. A pre-task icebreaker succeeded in establishing a positive attitude toward the partner: participants rated their partners highly (all above 8 on a 1–10 scale) on sympathy, cooperativity, honesty, openness, and sociability in both studies.

    control app1table11

    A pre-task icebreaker succeeded in establishing a positive attitude toward the partner: participants rated their partners highly (all above 8 on a 1–10 scale) on sympathy, cooperativity, honesty, openness, and sociability in both studies.

    control app1table11

  56. Prior functional connectivity work has shown network differences between social and self-only choices, midbrain–anterior cingulate interactions during guilt compensation, and links between insula connectivity and responsibility aversion.

    literature-context —

    Prior functional connectivity work has shown network differences between social and self-only choices, midbrain–anterior cingulate interactions during guilt compensation, and links between insula connectivity and responsibility aversion.

    literature-context —

  57. Prior literature documents an association between the anterior insula and guilt.

    literature-context —

    Prior literature documents an association between the anterior insula and guilt.

    literature-context —

  58. Responsibility for choices did not influence happiness following positive (high) lottery outcomes for the partner (both studies, all |t| < 1.3, p > 0.2, BF10 < 0.2).

    control —

    Responsibility for choices did not influence happiness following positive (high) lottery outcomes for the partner (both studies, all |t| < 1.3, p > 0.2, BF10 < 0.2).

    control —

  59. The Responsibility model yielded higher R² values than all other models (Study 1: all t > 3.6, p < 0.007; Study 2: all t > 2.9, p < 0.034), except the Guilt-envy model in Study 1 (t = 2.19, p = 0.17).

    empirical table1

    The Responsibility model yielded higher R² values than all other models (Study 1: all t > 3.6, p < 0.007; Study 2: all t > 2.9, p < 0.034), except the Guilt-envy model in Study 1 (t = 2.19, p = 0.17).

    empirical table1

  60. If responsibility for outcomes generates guilt, then participant happiness should decrease more after low lottery outcomes for the partner when the participant rather than the partner chose the lottery.

    prediction —

    If responsibility for outcomes generates guilt, then participant happiness should decrease more after low lottery outcomes for the partner when the participant rather than the partner chose the lottery.

    prediction —

  61. If responsibility for the partner's outcomes influences the participant's momentary happiness, then a computational model that includes the partner's reward prediction errors arising from the participant's own choices (social_pRPE) should explain the happiness data better than models omitting them, and social_pRPE weights should be reliably greater than zero.

    prediction —

    If responsibility for the partner's outcomes influences the participant's momentary happiness, then a computational model that includes the partner's reward prediction errors arising from the participant's own choices (social_pRPE) should explain the happiness data better than models omitting them, and social_pRPE weights should be reliably greater than zero.

    prediction —

  62. The Responsibility Redux model — incorporating expected, previous and current rewards, reward prediction errors for both participant and partner, and decision-maker — predicted the variations in participants' momentary happiness well.

    empirical fig3c,fig3g

    The Responsibility Redux model — incorporating expected, previous and current rewards, reward prediction errors for both participant and partner, and decision-maker — predicted the variations in participants' momentary happiness well.

    empirical fig3c,fig3g

  63. Responsibility for a social choice that yields a low outcome for a partner produces interpersonal guilt, experienced by the decision-maker as a larger decrease in momentary happiness than when the partner made the same choice.

    hypothesis —

    Responsibility for a social choice that yields a low outcome for a partner produces interpersonal guilt, experienced by the decision-maker as a larger decrease in momentary happiness than when the partner made the same choice.

    hypothesis —

  64. The risk-aversion parameter ρ did not differ between gain and loss trials (Study 1: t(17) = 0.21, p = 0.84, d = 0.05; Study 2: t(15) = –0.61, p = 0.55, d = 0.15), justifying pooling across gain and loss trials.

    control —

    The risk-aversion parameter ρ did not differ between gain and loss trials (Study 1: t(17) = 0.21, p = 0.84, d = 0.05; Study 2: t(15) = –0.61, p = 0.55, d = 0.15), justifying pooling across gain and loss trials.

    control —

  65. Risk premiums did not differ between Solo and Social conditions in either study (Study 1: t(39) = 1.53, p = 0.134, d = 0.24, BF10 = 0.49; Study 2: t(43) = –0.21, p = 0.84, d = –0.03, BF10 = 0.17).

    control fig2b,fig2e

    Risk premiums did not differ between Solo and Social conditions in either study (Study 1: t(39) = 1.53, p = 0.134, d = 0.24, BF10 = 0.49; Study 2: t(43) = –0.21, p = 0.84, d = –0.03, BF10 = 0.17).

    control fig2b,fig2e

  66. Rutledge and colleagues established that changes in momentary happiness during a probabilistic reward task are explained by recent reward expectations and the prediction errors arising from them.

    literature-context —

    Rutledge and colleagues established that changes in momentary happiness during a probabilistic reward task are explained by recent reward expectations and the prediction errors arising from them.

    literature-context —

  67. Study 2 reproduced the Study 1 design inside the fMRI scanner with identical parameters except for longer inter-stimulus intervals (3–11 s) and partners who were experimenters positioned outside the scanner.

    scope —

    Study 2 reproduced the Study 1 design inside the fMRI scanner with identical parameters except for longer inter-stimulus intervals (3–11 s) and partners who were experimenters positioned outside the scanner.

    scope —

  68. When the partner received the low lottery outcome, participant happiness was lower when the participant rather than the partner had chosen the lottery — a significant partner-outcome × decision-maker interaction (Study 1: t(1180) = 3.52, p = 0.0004, β = 0.37; Study 2: t(937) = 2.85, p = 0.0045, β = 0.33) — operationalizing interpersonal guilt.

    empirical fig3d,fig3h

    When the partner received the low lottery outcome, participant happiness was lower when the participant rather than the partner had chosen the lottery — a significant partner-outcome × decision-maker interaction (Study 1: t(1180) = 3.52, p = 0.0004, β = 0.37; Study 2: t(937) = 2.85, p = 0.0045, β = 0.33) — operationalizing interpersonal guilt.

    empirical fig3d,fig3h

Only in v7 dropped

Nothing — every v7 claim survived.

Only in v8 added

Nothing — v8 added no claim.

v6 → v8 comparison

Aligned by the claim text — exact wording first, then a token overlap — because two versions share no slugs. 68 matched; 0 only in v6; 0 only in v8. v6 runs/gadeke-2026-guilt-insula/claim-tree.v6 · 68 claims · v8 claims/gadeke-2026-guilt-insula · 68 claims

Matched

  1. The happiness cost observed in the Social condition is general agency aversion — the unpleasantness of being the decision-maker as such — and is not contingent on responsibility for a negative outcome befalling the partner.

    hypothesis —

    The happiness cost observed in the Social condition is general agency aversion — the unpleasantness of being the decision-maker as such — and is not contingent on responsibility for a negative outcome befalling the partner.

    hypothesis —

  2. The happiness decrease following negative partner outcomes under participant choice is driven by the participant's own lottery outcome rather than by the partner's, and so reflects self-directed disappointment rather than interpersonal guilt.

    hypothesis —

    The happiness decrease following negative partner outcomes under participant choice is driven by the participant's own lottery outcome rather than by the partner's, and so reflects self-directed disappointment rather than interpersonal guilt.

    hypothesis —

  3. The imaging pipeline and condition contrasts do not recover established effects, so differences reported between Social and Partner conditions cannot be attributed to the experimental manipulation.

    hypothesis —

    The imaging pipeline and condition contrasts do not recover established effects, so differences reported between Social and Partner conditions cannot be attributed to the experimental manipulation.

    hypothesis —

  4. The model-based fMRI approach does not recover known neural signals, so parametric modulators derived from the computational model — including the partner reward prediction error regressors — cannot be trusted.

    hypothesis —

    The model-based fMRI approach does not recover known neural signals, so parametric modulators derived from the computational model — including the partner reward prediction error regressors — cannot be trusted.

    hypothesis —

  5. Participants did not engage with the lottery task in a value-sensitive way — choices were inattentive or random — so the behavioural measures carry no information about preference or affect.

    hypothesis —

    Participants did not engage with the lottery task in a value-sensitive way — choices were inattentive or random — so the behavioural measures carry no information about preference or affect.

    hypothesis —

  6. The happiness and choice differences between Social and Partner conditions reflect a social-context-driven shift in risk attitude — participants become more or less risk averse when choosing on another person's behalf — rather than responsibility-contingent interpersonal guilt.

    hypothesis —

    The happiness and choice differences between Social and Partner conditions reflect a social-context-driven shift in risk attitude — participants become more or less risk averse when choosing on another person's behalf — rather than responsibility-contingent interpersonal guilt.

    hypothesis —

  7. Among the computational models fitted to momentary happiness data, the Responsibility Redux model achieved the best (lowest) AIC in both studies (Study 1 AIC –1499; Study 2 AIC –1195).

    methodological table1

    Among the computational models fitted to momentary happiness data, the Responsibility Redux model achieved the best (lowest) AIC in both studies (Study 1 AIC –1499; Study 2 AIC –1195).

    methodological table1

  8. The anterior insula is the neural substrate of the guilt effect, increasing its BOLD response when participants are responsible for low outcomes affecting their partner.

    hypothesis —

    The anterior insula is the neural substrate of the guilt effect, increasing its BOLD response when participants are responsible for low outcomes affecting their partner.

    hypothesis —

  9. If the anterior insula tracks guilt, then insula BOLD should be higher in the Social than the Partner condition and show a significant Social-by-low-outcome interaction.

    prediction —

    If the anterior insula tracks guilt, then insula BOLD should be higher in the Social than the Partner condition and show a significant Social-by-low-outcome interaction.

    prediction —

  10. The authors suggest this left STS region tracks a partner's unexpected outcomes less when they do not follow from the participant's decisions.

    interpretation —

    The authors suggest this left STS region tracks a partner's unexpected outcomes less when they do not follow from the participant's decisions.

    interpretation —

  11. The behavioural guilt effect (larger happiness decrease after low partner outcomes following participant rather than partner choices) is compatible with 'simple guilt'.

    interpretation —

    The behavioural guilt effect (larger happiness decrease after low partner outcomes following participant rather than partner choices) is compatible with 'simple guilt'.

    interpretation —

  12. The bilateral ventral striatum was more active when participants chose the risky rather than the safe option (Cohen's d = 0.72 left, 0.85 right), irrespective of Social or Solo condition, replicating previous findings.

    control fig4a

    The bilateral ventral striatum was more active when participants chose the risky rather than the safe option (Cohen's d = 0.72 left, 0.85 right), irrespective of Social or Solo condition, replicating previous findings.

    control fig4a

  13. In both studies, participants felt worse after low lottery outcomes for the partner when those outcomes followed their own choice rather than the partner's, which the authors interpret as interpersonal guilt.

    synthesis —

    In both studies, participants felt worse after low lottery outcomes for the partner when those outcomes followed their own choice rather than the partner's, which the authors interpret as interpersonal guilt.

    synthesis —

  14. If connectivity between the guilt- and responsibility-related outcome-phase regions (left insula, left STS) and prefrontal cortex depends on whether participants decide for themselves alone or also for their partner and on the type of choice, then a seed-to-voxel psychophysiological-interaction analysis seeded in these regions should reveal prefrontal clusters showing a significant Condition-by-Choice interaction.

    prediction —

    If connectivity between the guilt- and responsibility-related outcome-phase regions (left insula, left STS) and prefrontal cortex depends on whether participants decide for themselves alone or also for their partner and on the type of choice, then a seed-to-voxel psychophysiological-interaction analysis seeded in these regions should reveal prefrontal clusters showing a significant Condition-by-Choice interaction.

    prediction —

  15. Connectivity between the left anterior insula and the right inferior frontal gyrus varied with choice and condition, suggesting this prefrontal region is sensitive to guilt-related information during social choices.

    interpretation —

    Connectivity between the left anterior insula and the right inferior frontal gyrus varied with choice and condition, suggesting this prefrontal region is sensitive to guilt-related information during social choices.

    interpretation —

  16. Decisions in the Social compared with the Solo condition engaged three clusters — the precuneus (d = 0.79), left temporo-parietal junction (d = 0.59), and medial prefrontal cortex (d = 0.54).

    empirical fig4b

    Decisions in the Social compared with the Solo condition engaged three clusters — the precuneus (d = 0.79), left temporo-parietal junction (d = 0.59), and medial prefrontal cortex (d = 0.54).

    empirical fig4b

  17. The difference in response between low and high lottery outcomes was greater in the Social than the Partner condition in left insula (0.44***), right insula (0.19***), and right middle temporal cortex (0.67***).

    empirical app1table10

    The difference in response between low and high lottery outcomes was greater in the Social than the Partner condition in left insula (0.44***), right insula (0.19***), and right middle temporal cortex (0.67***).

    empirical app1table10

  18. Dot products between individual neural guilt responses and the Yu et al. (2020) guilt-related brain signature (GRBS) were overall positive (mean = 5.22, median = 6.97, sign test p = 0.017, Cliff's Delta = 0.4), providing convergent validity with a previously published neural guilt signature.

    control —

    Dot products between individual neural guilt responses and the Yu et al. (2020) guilt-related brain signature (GRBS) were overall positive (mean = 5.22, median = 6.97, sign test p = 0.017, Cliff's Delta = 0.4), providing convergent validity with a previously published neural guilt signature.

    control —

  19. During the outcome phase, responses to low lottery outcomes were higher in the Social than the Partner condition in both left and right insula (InsulaL 0.41***, InsulaR 0.18***) and lower in the right middle temporal cortex (–0.12**).

    empirical app1table9

    During the outcome phase, responses to low lottery outcomes were higher in the Social than the Partner condition in both left and right insula (InsulaL 0.41***, InsulaR 0.18***) and lower in the right middle temporal cortex (–0.12**).

    empirical app1table9

  20. During receipt of lottery versus safe outcomes (across all conditions), clusters were more active in the bilateral anterior insula, dmPFC, right STS, bilateral ventral striatum, right dorsolateral prefrontal cortex, and bilateral inferior parietal lobe.

    empirical fig4d

    During receipt of lottery versus safe outcomes (across all conditions), clusters were more active in the bilateral anterior insula, dmPFC, right STS, bilateral ventral striatum, right dorsolateral prefrontal cortex, and bilateral inferior parietal lobe.

    empirical fig4d

  21. On each trial participants chose between a safe and a risky monetary option under three conditions: choosing for oneself (Solo), for oneself and the partner (Social), and having the partner choose for both (Partner).

    scope —

    On each trial participants chose between a safe and a risky monetary option under three conditions: choosing for oneself (Solo), for oneself and the partner (Social), and having the partner choose for both (Partner).

    scope —

  22. The findings rest on two samples of healthy adults — Study 1 (behaviour only, N = 40) and Study 2 (fMRI, N = 44); all BOLD/fMRI results derive from Study 2, while the behavioural results come from both studies.

    scope —

    The findings rest on two samples of healthy adults — Study 1 (behaviour only, N = 40) and Study 2 (fMRI, N = 44); all BOLD/fMRI results derive from Study 2, while the behavioural results come from both studies.

    scope —

  23. Functional connectivity between guilt- and responsibility-related outcome-phase regions and prefrontal cortex changes depending on whether participants decide for themselves alone or also for their partner, and on the type of choice (Safe or Risky).

    hypothesis —

    Functional connectivity between guilt- and responsibility-related outcome-phase regions and prefrontal cortex changes depending on whether participants decide for themselves alone or also for their partner, and on the type of choice (Safe or Risky).

    hypothesis —

  24. Functional connectivity between the left anterior insula (seed) and a cluster in the right inferior frontal gyrus varied with condition and choice, being highest when participants made Risky choices for themselves and Safe choices for both players (pFWE = 0.020, T = 4.34, d = 0.80, 115 voxels, peak MNI [46 16 22]).

    empirical fig5

    Functional connectivity between the left anterior insula (seed) and a cluster in the right inferior frontal gyrus varied with condition and choice, being highest when participants made Risky choices for themselves and Safe choices for both players (pFWE = 0.020, T = 4.34, d = 0.80, 115 voxels, peak MNI [46 16 22]).

    empirical fig5

  25. The guilt effect occurred whether the participant received the high lottery outcome (Study 1: t(39) = –3.58, p < 0.001, d = 0.56; Study 2: t(43) = –2.68, p = 0.01, d = 0.4) or the low outcome (Study 1: t(39) = –3.39, p = 0.002, d = 0.54; Study 2: t(43) = –3.58, p < 0.001, d = 0.54).

    control —

    The guilt effect occurred whether the participant received the high lottery outcome (Study 1: t(39) = –3.58, p < 0.001, d = 0.56; Study 2: t(43) = –2.68, p = 0.01, d = 0.4) or the low outcome (Study 1: t(39) = –3.39, p = 0.002, d = 0.54; Study 2: t(43) = –3.58, p < 0.001, d = 0.54).

    control —

  26. To hold the partner's behaviour constant across participants, the partner's decisions were simulated by an algorithm that always selected the option with the highest expected value.

    methodological —

    To hold the partner's behaviour constant across participants, the partner's decisions were simulated by an algorithm that always selected the option with the highest expected value.

    methodological —

  27. Individual GRBS dot-product values did not correlate with the behavioural guilt responses (Spearman's Rho = –0.058, p = 0.725), indicating the neural signature does not track individual differences in behavioural guilt sensitivity.

    control —

    Individual GRBS dot-product values did not correlate with the behavioural guilt responses (Spearman's Rho = –0.058, p = 0.725), indicating the neural signature does not track individual differences in behavioural guilt sensitivity.

    control —

  28. The insula ROIs responded more to low lottery outcomes for the partner in the Social than the Partner condition — even after subtracting responses to high outcomes — mirroring the behavioural guilt effect.

    empirical fig4e

    The insula ROIs responded more to low lottery outcomes for the partner in the Social than the Partner condition — even after subtracting responses to high outcomes — mirroring the behavioural guilt effect.

    empirical fig4e

  29. A left IFG cluster showed the opposite pattern of connectivity with the left STS seed — highest for Safe-self / Risky-both-players choices — but did not survive correction for multiple comparisons (p uncorrected = 0.001, T = 4.44, 35 voxels, peak MNI [–48 14 6]).

    empirical fig5s1

    A left IFG cluster showed the opposite pattern of connectivity with the left STS seed — highest for Safe-self / Risky-both-players choices — but did not survive correction for multiple comparisons (p uncorrected = 0.001, T = 4.44, 35 voxels, peak MNI [–48 14 6]).

    empirical fig5s1

  30. The left superior temporal sulcus cluster responded to model-based regressors coding participant reward prediction resulting from participant and partner choices across both sessions of the experiment.

    empirical fig4i

    The left superior temporal sulcus cluster responded to model-based regressors coding participant reward prediction resulting from participant and partner choices across both sessions of the experiment.

    empirical fig4i

  31. A likelihood ratio test showed the Responsibility model fitted the happiness data better than all other models, including the Responsibility Redux model (Study 1: all LR ≥ 47.36, p < 0.0001; Study 2: all LR ≥ 77.83, p < 0.0001).

    empirical table1

    A likelihood ratio test showed the Responsibility model fitted the happiness data better than all other models, including the Responsibility Redux model (Study 1: all LR ≥ 47.36, p < 0.0001; Study 2: all LR ≥ 77.83, p < 0.0001).

    empirical table1

  32. The linear mixed model containing all three two-way interaction terms (Model 5, Equation 10) explained the happiness data significantly better than simpler models without interactions (p < 2e−5) and no worse than the model with all interactions (p > 0.5), warranting reporting the crucial partnerHigh:participantDecided (guilt) interaction from it.

    methodological app1table2

    The linear mixed model containing all three two-way interaction terms (Model 5, Equation 10) explained the happiness data significantly better than simpler models without interactions (p < 2e−5) and no worse than the model with all interactions (p > 0.5), warranting reporting the crucial partnerHigh:participantDecided (guilt) interaction from it.

    methodological app1table2

  33. The lower happiness when the participant is the decision-maker may reflect responsibility aversion — a cost of the 'weight of the responsibility'.

    interpretation —

    The lower happiness when the participant is the decision-maker may reflect responsibility aversion — a cost of the 'weight of the responsibility'.

    interpretation —

  34. As a manipulation check, bilateral ventral striatum activation increased with expected certain rewards and the expected values of chosen lotteries, explained by a model-based regressor coding participant rewards (left: pFWE = 0.002, T = 5.63, d = 0.75; right: pFWE = 0.005, T = 5.46, d = 0.70).

    control fig4g

    As a manipulation check, bilateral ventral striatum activation increased with expected certain rewards and the expected values of chosen lotteries, explained by a model-based regressor coding participant rewards (left: pFWE = 0.002, T = 5.63, d = 0.75; right: pFWE = 0.005, T = 5.46, d = 0.70).

    control fig4g

  35. A mass-univariate voxel-wise analysis found a small left anterior insula cluster (peak T = 3.95, d = 0.59, 22 voxels) responding more to low partner outcomes following participant than partner choices, which survived small-volume family-wise-error correction (p = 0.024).

    empirical fig4f

    A mass-univariate voxel-wise analysis found a small left anterior insula cluster (peak T = 3.95, d = 0.59, 22 voxels) responding more to low partner outcomes following participant than partner choices, which survived small-volume family-wise-error correction (p = 0.024).

    empirical fig4f

  36. In mixed-effects regressions on choices, the Social condition significantly increased choice of the risky option in Study 1 but not in Study 2.

    empirical app1table1

    In mixed-effects regressions on choices, the Social condition significantly increased choice of the risky option in Study 1 but not in Study 2.

    empirical app1table1

  37. A model-based GLM (GLM2) entered the best-fitting computational (Responsibility) model's variables — certain rewards (CR), expected value (EV), participant RPE (sRPE), and partner RPE from participant choices (social_pRPE) and from partner choices (partner_pRPE) — as regressors to locate brain regions reflecting them.

    methodological —

    A model-based GLM (GLM2) entered the best-fitting computational (Responsibility) model's variables — certain rewards (CR), expected value (EV), participant RPE (sRPE), and partner RPE from participant choices (social_pRPE) and from partner choices (partner_pRPE) — as regressors to locate brain regions reflecting them.

    methodological —

  38. Model selection among the happiness models used likelihood-ratio tests comparing the Responsibility model pairwise against each other model, supplementing the AIC, BIC, R² and adjusted R² values.

    methodological —

    Model selection among the happiness models used likelihood-ratio tests comparing the Responsibility model pairwise against each other model, supplementing the AIC, BIC, R² and adjusted R² values.

    methodological —

  39. Momentary happiness was modelled with five computational models (Basic, Inequality, Guilt-envy, Responsibility, and Responsibility Redux) sharing separate, exponentially decaying terms for certain rewards, expected value, and reward prediction errors.

    methodological —

    Momentary happiness was modelled with five computational models (Basic, Inequality, Guilt-envy, Responsibility, and Responsibility Redux) sharing separate, exponentially decaying terms for certain rewards, expected value, and reward prediction errors.

    methodological —

  40. If a neural substrate tracks the participant's responsibility for the partner's outcomes, then within regions sensitive to the outcomes of risky choices, BOLD should respond more strongly to the partner's reward prediction errors resulting from the participant's own choices than from the partner's choices.

    prediction —

    If a neural substrate tracks the participant's responsibility for the partner's outcomes, then within regions sensitive to the outcomes of risky choices, BOLD should respond more strongly to the partner's reward prediction errors resulting from the participant's own choices than from the partner's choices.

    prediction —

  41. A neural substrate tracks the participant's responsibility for the partner's outcomes: within regions sensitive to choice outcomes, the partner's reward prediction errors are represented more strongly when they arise from the participant's own choice than from the partner's choice.

    hypothesis —

    A neural substrate tracks the participant's responsibility for the partner's outcomes: within regions sensitive to choice outcomes, the partner's reward prediction errors are represented more strongly when they arise from the participant's own choice than from the partner's choice.

    hypothesis —

  42. There was no significant interaction between the difference in expected values and experimental conditions in either study (p > 0.52).

    control —

    There was no significant interaction between the difference in expected values and experimental conditions in either study (p > 0.52).

    control —

  43. One cluster in the left STS responded more to partner reward prediction errors resulting from participant rather than partner choices (pFWE = 0.022, T = 4.70, d = 0.53, 100 voxels, peak MNI [−52 –32 0]).

    empirical fig4h

    One cluster in the left STS responded more to partner reward prediction errors resulting from participant rather than partner choices (pFWE = 0.022, T = 4.70, d = 0.53, 100 voxels, peak MNI [−52 –32 0]).

    empirical fig4h

  44. Only the precuneus and TPJ showed positive Risky–Safe differences in both the Social>Solo and Social>Partner comparisons, being most active when participants chose the lottery in the Social condition.

    empirical fig4c

    Only the precuneus and TPJ showed positive Risky–Safe differences in both the Social>Solo and Social>Partner comparisons, being most active when participants chose the lottery in the Social condition.

    empirical fig4c

  45. A parameter-recovery procedure on synthetic data generated from each participant's estimated parameters showed the happiness-model parameters could be reliably recovered, verifying their stability.

    methodological fig3s1

    A parameter-recovery procedure on synthetic data generated from each participant's estimated parameters showed the happiness-model parameters could be reliably recovered, verifying their stability.

    methodological fig3s1

  46. Participant happiness was lower when the participant was the decision-maker (Social + Solo vs. Partner), independent of outcome (Study 1: t(3600) = –3.92, p < 0.0001, β = –0.14; Study 2: t(2870) = –6.07, p < 0.0001, β = –0.24).

    empirical —

    Participant happiness was lower when the participant was the decision-maker (Social + Solo vs. Partner), independent of outcome (Study 1: t(3600) = –3.92, p < 0.0001, β = –0.14; Study 2: t(2870) = –6.07, p < 0.0001, β = –0.24).

    empirical —

  47. Participant momentary happiness varied with the rewards the partner received in the current trial.

    empirical fig3b,fig3f

    Participant momentary happiness varied with the rewards the partner received in the current trial.

    empirical fig3b,fig3f

  48. Participant momentary happiness varied with the rewards the participant received in the current trial.

    empirical fig3a,fig3e

    Participant momentary happiness varied with the rewards the participant received in the current trial.

    empirical fig3a,fig3e

  49. Participants chose the risky option (lottery) more often in the Solo than the Social condition in Study 1 (t(4796) = 2.54, p = 0.011, β = 0.164) but not in Study 2 (t(3829) = 0.23, p = 0.82, β = 0.015).

    empirical fig2a,fig2d

    Participants chose the risky option (lottery) more often in the Solo than the Social condition in Study 1 (t(4796) = 2.54, p = 0.011, β = 0.164) but not in Study 2 (t(3829) = 0.23, p = 0.82, β = 0.015).

    empirical fig2a,fig2d

  50. Participants' own reward prediction errors (sRPE) influenced happiness more than the partner's reward prediction errors (social_pRPE and partner_pRPE) (Study 1: all Z > 6.0, p < 0.001; Study 2: all Z > 3.7, p < 0.003).

    empirical —

    Participants' own reward prediction errors (sRPE) influenced happiness more than the partner's reward prediction errors (social_pRPE and partner_pRPE) (Study 1: all Z > 6.0, p < 0.001; Study 2: all Z > 3.7, p < 0.003).

    empirical —

  51. Participants' probability of choosing the risky option (lottery) increased with the difference between the expected value of the lottery and the value of the safe option (Study 1: t(4796) = 9.26, p < 3.1e–20, β = 0.074; Study 2: t(3829) = 10.62, p < 5.3e–26, β = 0.093).

    control fig2a,fig2d

    Participants' probability of choosing the risky option (lottery) increased with the difference between the expected value of the lottery and the value of the safe option (Study 1: t(4796) = 9.26, p < 3.1e–20, β = 0.074; Study 2: t(3829) = 10.62, p < 5.3e–26, β = 0.093).

    control fig2a,fig2d

  52. Participants showed very similar risk preferences whether deciding only for themselves (Solo) or for themselves and their partner (Social), with only a tendency toward higher risk aversion in the Social condition in Study 1.

    synthesis —

    Participants showed very similar risk preferences whether deciding only for themselves (Solo) or for themselves and their partner (Social), with only a tendency toward higher risk aversion in the Social condition in Study 1.

    synthesis —

  53. Participants were slightly more risk averse (higher ρ) in the Social than the Solo condition in Study 1 (t(39) = 2.27, p = 0.03, d = 0.36, BF10 = 1.69) but not in Study 2 (t(43) = 1.40, p = 0.17, d = 0.21, BF10 = 0.41).

    empirical fig2c,fig2f

    Participants were slightly more risk averse (higher ρ) in the Social than the Solo condition in Study 1 (t(39) = 2.27, p = 0.03, d = 0.36, BF10 = 1.69) but not in Study 2 (t(43) = 1.40, p = 0.17, d = 0.21, BF10 = 0.41).

    empirical fig2c,fig2f

  54. The partner's reward prediction errors resulting from the participants' own choices (social_pRPE) had weights greater than 0 (Responsibility model: Study 1: Z = 2.85, p = 0.004; Study 2: Z = 3.26, p = 0.001), contributing to explaining participants' momentary happiness.

    empirical —

    The partner's reward prediction errors resulting from the participants' own choices (social_pRPE) had weights greater than 0 (Responsibility model: Study 1: Z = 2.85, p = 0.004; Study 2: Z = 3.26, p = 0.001), contributing to explaining participants' momentary happiness.

    empirical —

  55. A pre-task icebreaker succeeded in establishing a positive attitude toward the partner: participants rated their partners highly (all above 8 on a 1–10 scale) on sympathy, cooperativity, honesty, openness, and sociability in both studies.

    control app1table11

    A pre-task icebreaker succeeded in establishing a positive attitude toward the partner: participants rated their partners highly (all above 8 on a 1–10 scale) on sympathy, cooperativity, honesty, openness, and sociability in both studies.

    control app1table11

  56. Prior functional connectivity work has shown network differences between social and self-only choices, midbrain–anterior cingulate interactions during guilt compensation, and links between insula connectivity and responsibility aversion.

    literature-context —

    Prior functional connectivity work has shown network differences between social and self-only choices, midbrain–anterior cingulate interactions during guilt compensation, and links between insula connectivity and responsibility aversion.

    literature-context —

  57. Prior literature documents an association between the anterior insula and guilt.

    literature-context —

    Prior literature documents an association between the anterior insula and guilt.

    literature-context —

  58. Responsibility for choices did not influence happiness following positive (high) lottery outcomes for the partner (both studies, all |t| < 1.3, p > 0.2, BF10 < 0.2).

    control —

    Responsibility for choices did not influence happiness following positive (high) lottery outcomes for the partner (both studies, all |t| < 1.3, p > 0.2, BF10 < 0.2).

    control —

  59. The Responsibility model yielded higher R² values than all other models (Study 1: all t > 3.6, p < 0.007; Study 2: all t > 2.9, p < 0.034), except the Guilt-envy model in Study 1 (t = 2.19, p = 0.17).

    empirical table1

    The Responsibility model yielded higher R² values than all other models (Study 1: all t > 3.6, p < 0.007; Study 2: all t > 2.9, p < 0.034), except the Guilt-envy model in Study 1 (t = 2.19, p = 0.17).

    empirical table1

  60. If responsibility for outcomes generates guilt, then participant happiness should decrease more after low lottery outcomes for the partner when the participant rather than the partner chose the lottery.

    prediction —

    If responsibility for outcomes generates guilt, then participant happiness should decrease more after low lottery outcomes for the partner when the participant rather than the partner chose the lottery.

    prediction —

  61. If responsibility for the partner's outcomes influences the participant's momentary happiness, then a computational model that includes the partner's reward prediction errors arising from the participant's own choices (social_pRPE) should explain the happiness data better than models omitting them, and social_pRPE weights should be reliably greater than zero.

    prediction —

    If responsibility for the partner's outcomes influences the participant's momentary happiness, then a computational model that includes the partner's reward prediction errors arising from the participant's own choices (social_pRPE) should explain the happiness data better than models omitting them, and social_pRPE weights should be reliably greater than zero.

    prediction —

  62. The Responsibility Redux model — incorporating expected, previous and current rewards, reward prediction errors for both participant and partner, and decision-maker — predicted the variations in participants' momentary happiness well.

    empirical fig3c,fig3g

    The Responsibility Redux model — incorporating expected, previous and current rewards, reward prediction errors for both participant and partner, and decision-maker — predicted the variations in participants' momentary happiness well.

    empirical fig3c,fig3g

  63. Responsibility for a social choice that yields a low outcome for a partner produces interpersonal guilt, experienced by the decision-maker as a larger decrease in momentary happiness than when the partner made the same choice.

    hypothesis —

    Responsibility for a social choice that yields a low outcome for a partner produces interpersonal guilt, experienced by the decision-maker as a larger decrease in momentary happiness than when the partner made the same choice.

    hypothesis —

  64. The risk-aversion parameter ρ did not differ between gain and loss trials (Study 1: t(17) = 0.21, p = 0.84, d = 0.05; Study 2: t(15) = –0.61, p = 0.55, d = 0.15), justifying pooling across gain and loss trials.

    control —

    The risk-aversion parameter ρ did not differ between gain and loss trials (Study 1: t(17) = 0.21, p = 0.84, d = 0.05; Study 2: t(15) = –0.61, p = 0.55, d = 0.15), justifying pooling across gain and loss trials.

    control —

  65. Risk premiums did not differ between Solo and Social conditions in either study (Study 1: t(39) = 1.53, p = 0.134, d = 0.24, BF10 = 0.49; Study 2: t(43) = –0.21, p = 0.84, d = –0.03, BF10 = 0.17).

    control fig2b,fig2e

    Risk premiums did not differ between Solo and Social conditions in either study (Study 1: t(39) = 1.53, p = 0.134, d = 0.24, BF10 = 0.49; Study 2: t(43) = –0.21, p = 0.84, d = –0.03, BF10 = 0.17).

    control fig2b,fig2e

  66. Rutledge and colleagues established that changes in momentary happiness during a probabilistic reward task are explained by recent reward expectations and the prediction errors arising from them.

    literature-context —

    Rutledge and colleagues established that changes in momentary happiness during a probabilistic reward task are explained by recent reward expectations and the prediction errors arising from them.

    literature-context —

  67. Study 2 reproduced the Study 1 design inside the fMRI scanner with identical parameters except for longer inter-stimulus intervals (3–11 s) and partners who were experimenters positioned outside the scanner.

    scope —

    Study 2 reproduced the Study 1 design inside the fMRI scanner with identical parameters except for longer inter-stimulus intervals (3–11 s) and partners who were experimenters positioned outside the scanner.

    scope —

  68. When the partner received the low lottery outcome, participant happiness was lower when the participant rather than the partner had chosen the lottery — a significant partner-outcome × decision-maker interaction (Study 1: t(1180) = 3.52, p = 0.0004, β = 0.37; Study 2: t(937) = 2.85, p = 0.0045, β = 0.33) — operationalizing interpersonal guilt.

    empirical fig3d,fig3h

    When the partner received the low lottery outcome, participant happiness was lower when the participant rather than the partner had chosen the lottery — a significant partner-outcome × decision-maker interaction (Study 1: t(1180) = 3.52, p = 0.0004, β = 0.37; Study 2: t(937) = 2.85, p = 0.0045, β = 0.33) — operationalizing interpersonal guilt.

    empirical fig3d,fig3h

Only in v6 dropped

Nothing — every v6 claim survived.

Only in v8 added

Nothing — v8 added no claim.

v5 → v8 comparison

Aligned by the claim text — exact wording first, then a token overlap — because two versions share no slugs. 68 matched; 0 only in v5; 0 only in v8. v5 runs/gadeke-2026-guilt-insula/claim-tree.v5 · 68 claims · v8 claims/gadeke-2026-guilt-insula · 68 claims

Matched

  1. The happiness cost observed in the Social condition is general agency aversion — the unpleasantness of being the decision-maker as such — and is not contingent on responsibility for a negative outcome befalling the partner.

    hypothesis —

    The happiness cost observed in the Social condition is general agency aversion — the unpleasantness of being the decision-maker as such — and is not contingent on responsibility for a negative outcome befalling the partner.

    hypothesis —

  2. The happiness decrease following negative partner outcomes under participant choice is driven by the participant's own lottery outcome rather than by the partner's, and so reflects self-directed disappointment rather than interpersonal guilt.

    hypothesis —

    The happiness decrease following negative partner outcomes under participant choice is driven by the participant's own lottery outcome rather than by the partner's, and so reflects self-directed disappointment rather than interpersonal guilt.

    hypothesis —

  3. The imaging pipeline and condition contrasts do not recover established effects, so differences reported between Social and Partner conditions cannot be attributed to the experimental manipulation.

    hypothesis —

    The imaging pipeline and condition contrasts do not recover established effects, so differences reported between Social and Partner conditions cannot be attributed to the experimental manipulation.

    hypothesis —

  4. The model-based fMRI approach does not recover known neural signals, so parametric modulators derived from the computational model — including the partner reward prediction error regressors — cannot be trusted.

    hypothesis —

    The model-based fMRI approach does not recover known neural signals, so parametric modulators derived from the computational model — including the partner reward prediction error regressors — cannot be trusted.

    hypothesis —

  5. Participants did not engage with the lottery task in a value-sensitive way — choices were inattentive or random — so the behavioural measures carry no information about preference or affect.

    hypothesis —

    Participants did not engage with the lottery task in a value-sensitive way — choices were inattentive or random — so the behavioural measures carry no information about preference or affect.

    hypothesis —

  6. The happiness and choice differences between Social and Partner conditions reflect a social-context-driven shift in risk attitude — participants become more or less risk averse when choosing on another person's behalf — rather than responsibility-contingent interpersonal guilt.

    hypothesis —

    The happiness and choice differences between Social and Partner conditions reflect a social-context-driven shift in risk attitude — participants become more or less risk averse when choosing on another person's behalf — rather than responsibility-contingent interpersonal guilt.

    hypothesis —

  7. Among the computational models fitted to momentary happiness data, the Responsibility Redux model achieved the best (lowest) AIC in both studies (Study 1 AIC –1499; Study 2 AIC –1195).

    methodological table1

    Among the computational models fitted to momentary happiness data, the Responsibility Redux model achieved the best (lowest) AIC in both studies (Study 1 AIC –1499; Study 2 AIC –1195).

    methodological table1

  8. The anterior insula is the neural substrate of the guilt effect, increasing its BOLD response when participants are responsible for low outcomes affecting their partner.

    hypothesis —

    The anterior insula is the neural substrate of the guilt effect, increasing its BOLD response when participants are responsible for low outcomes affecting their partner.

    hypothesis —

  9. If the anterior insula tracks guilt, then insula BOLD should be higher in the Social than the Partner condition and show a significant Social-by-low-outcome interaction.

    prediction —

    If the anterior insula tracks guilt, then insula BOLD should be higher in the Social than the Partner condition and show a significant Social-by-low-outcome interaction.

    prediction —

  10. The authors suggest this left STS region tracks a partner's unexpected outcomes less when they do not follow from the participant's decisions.

    interpretation —

    The authors suggest this left STS region tracks a partner's unexpected outcomes less when they do not follow from the participant's decisions.

    interpretation —

  11. The behavioural guilt effect (larger happiness decrease after low partner outcomes following participant rather than partner choices) is compatible with 'simple guilt'.

    interpretation —

    The behavioural guilt effect (larger happiness decrease after low partner outcomes following participant rather than partner choices) is compatible with 'simple guilt'.

    interpretation —

  12. The bilateral ventral striatum was more active when participants chose the risky rather than the safe option (Cohen's d = 0.72 left, 0.85 right), irrespective of Social or Solo condition, replicating previous findings.

    control fig4a

    The bilateral ventral striatum was more active when participants chose the risky rather than the safe option (Cohen's d = 0.72 left, 0.85 right), irrespective of Social or Solo condition, replicating previous findings.

    control fig4a

  13. In both studies, participants felt worse after low lottery outcomes for the partner when those outcomes followed their own choice rather than the partner's, which the authors interpret as interpersonal guilt.

    synthesis —

    In both studies, participants felt worse after low lottery outcomes for the partner when those outcomes followed their own choice rather than the partner's, which the authors interpret as interpersonal guilt.

    synthesis —

  14. If connectivity between the guilt- and responsibility-related outcome-phase regions (left insula, left STS) and prefrontal cortex depends on whether participants decide for themselves alone or also for their partner and on the type of choice, then a seed-to-voxel psychophysiological-interaction analysis seeded in these regions should reveal prefrontal clusters showing a significant Condition-by-Choice interaction.

    prediction —

    If connectivity between the guilt- and responsibility-related outcome-phase regions (left insula, left STS) and prefrontal cortex depends on whether participants decide for themselves alone or also for their partner and on the type of choice, then a seed-to-voxel psychophysiological-interaction analysis seeded in these regions should reveal prefrontal clusters showing a significant Condition-by-Choice interaction.

    prediction —

  15. Connectivity between the left anterior insula and the right inferior frontal gyrus varied with choice and condition, suggesting this prefrontal region is sensitive to guilt-related information during social choices.

    interpretation —

    Connectivity between the left anterior insula and the right inferior frontal gyrus varied with choice and condition, suggesting this prefrontal region is sensitive to guilt-related information during social choices.

    interpretation —

  16. Decisions in the Social compared with the Solo condition engaged three clusters — the precuneus (d = 0.79), left temporo-parietal junction (d = 0.59), and medial prefrontal cortex (d = 0.54).

    empirical fig4b

    Decisions in the Social compared with the Solo condition engaged three clusters — the precuneus (d = 0.79), left temporo-parietal junction (d = 0.59), and medial prefrontal cortex (d = 0.54).

    empirical fig4b

  17. The difference in response between low and high lottery outcomes was greater in the Social than the Partner condition in left insula (0.44***), right insula (0.19***), and right middle temporal cortex (0.67***).

    empirical app1table10

    The difference in response between low and high lottery outcomes was greater in the Social than the Partner condition in left insula (0.44***), right insula (0.19***), and right middle temporal cortex (0.67***).

    empirical app1table10

  18. Dot products between individual neural guilt responses and the Yu et al. (2020) guilt-related brain signature (GRBS) were overall positive (mean = 5.22, median = 6.97, sign test p = 0.017, Cliff's Delta = 0.4), providing convergent validity with a previously published neural guilt signature.

    control —

    Dot products between individual neural guilt responses and the Yu et al. (2020) guilt-related brain signature (GRBS) were overall positive (mean = 5.22, median = 6.97, sign test p = 0.017, Cliff's Delta = 0.4), providing convergent validity with a previously published neural guilt signature.

    control —

  19. During the outcome phase, responses to low lottery outcomes were higher in the Social than the Partner condition in both left and right insula (InsulaL 0.41***, InsulaR 0.18***) and lower in the right middle temporal cortex (–0.12**).

    empirical app1table9

    During the outcome phase, responses to low lottery outcomes were higher in the Social than the Partner condition in both left and right insula (InsulaL 0.41***, InsulaR 0.18***) and lower in the right middle temporal cortex (–0.12**).

    empirical app1table9

  20. During receipt of lottery versus safe outcomes (across all conditions), clusters were more active in the bilateral anterior insula, dmPFC, right STS, bilateral ventral striatum, right dorsolateral prefrontal cortex, and bilateral inferior parietal lobe.

    empirical fig4d

    During receipt of lottery versus safe outcomes (across all conditions), clusters were more active in the bilateral anterior insula, dmPFC, right STS, bilateral ventral striatum, right dorsolateral prefrontal cortex, and bilateral inferior parietal lobe.

    empirical fig4d

  21. On each trial participants chose between a safe and a risky monetary option under three conditions: choosing for oneself (Solo), for oneself and the partner (Social), and having the partner choose for both (Partner).

    scope —

    On each trial participants chose between a safe and a risky monetary option under three conditions: choosing for oneself (Solo), for oneself and the partner (Social), and having the partner choose for both (Partner).

    scope —

  22. The findings rest on two samples of healthy adults — Study 1 (behaviour only, N = 40) and Study 2 (fMRI, N = 44); all BOLD/fMRI results derive from Study 2, while the behavioural results come from both studies.

    scope —

    The findings rest on two samples of healthy adults — Study 1 (behaviour only, N = 40) and Study 2 (fMRI, N = 44); all BOLD/fMRI results derive from Study 2, while the behavioural results come from both studies.

    scope —

  23. Functional connectivity between guilt- and responsibility-related outcome-phase regions and prefrontal cortex changes depending on whether participants decide for themselves alone or also for their partner, and on the type of choice (Safe or Risky).

    hypothesis —

    Functional connectivity between guilt- and responsibility-related outcome-phase regions and prefrontal cortex changes depending on whether participants decide for themselves alone or also for their partner, and on the type of choice (Safe or Risky).

    hypothesis —

  24. Functional connectivity between the left anterior insula (seed) and a cluster in the right inferior frontal gyrus varied with condition and choice, being highest when participants made Risky choices for themselves and Safe choices for both players (pFWE = 0.020, T = 4.34, d = 0.80, 115 voxels, peak MNI [46 16 22]).

    empirical fig5

    Functional connectivity between the left anterior insula (seed) and a cluster in the right inferior frontal gyrus varied with condition and choice, being highest when participants made Risky choices for themselves and Safe choices for both players (pFWE = 0.020, T = 4.34, d = 0.80, 115 voxels, peak MNI [46 16 22]).

    empirical fig5

  25. The guilt effect occurred whether the participant received the high lottery outcome (Study 1: t(39) = –3.58, p < 0.001, d = 0.56; Study 2: t(43) = –2.68, p = 0.01, d = 0.4) or the low outcome (Study 1: t(39) = –3.39, p = 0.002, d = 0.54; Study 2: t(43) = –3.58, p < 0.001, d = 0.54).

    control —

    The guilt effect occurred whether the participant received the high lottery outcome (Study 1: t(39) = –3.58, p < 0.001, d = 0.56; Study 2: t(43) = –2.68, p = 0.01, d = 0.4) or the low outcome (Study 1: t(39) = –3.39, p = 0.002, d = 0.54; Study 2: t(43) = –3.58, p < 0.001, d = 0.54).

    control —

  26. To hold the partner's behaviour constant across participants, the partner's decisions were simulated by an algorithm that always selected the option with the highest expected value.

    methodological —

    To hold the partner's behaviour constant across participants, the partner's decisions were simulated by an algorithm that always selected the option with the highest expected value.

    methodological —

  27. Individual GRBS dot-product values did not correlate with the behavioural guilt responses (Spearman's Rho = –0.058, p = 0.725), indicating the neural signature does not track individual differences in behavioural guilt sensitivity.

    control —

    Individual GRBS dot-product values did not correlate with the behavioural guilt responses (Spearman's Rho = –0.058, p = 0.725), indicating the neural signature does not track individual differences in behavioural guilt sensitivity.

    control —

  28. The insula ROIs responded more to low lottery outcomes for the partner in the Social than the Partner condition — even after subtracting responses to high outcomes — mirroring the behavioural guilt effect.

    empirical fig4e

    The insula ROIs responded more to low lottery outcomes for the partner in the Social than the Partner condition — even after subtracting responses to high outcomes — mirroring the behavioural guilt effect.

    empirical fig4e

  29. A left IFG cluster showed the opposite pattern of connectivity with the left STS seed — highest for Safe-self / Risky-both-players choices — but did not survive correction for multiple comparisons (p uncorrected = 0.001, T = 4.44, 35 voxels, peak MNI [–48 14 6]).

    empirical fig5s1

    A left IFG cluster showed the opposite pattern of connectivity with the left STS seed — highest for Safe-self / Risky-both-players choices — but did not survive correction for multiple comparisons (p uncorrected = 0.001, T = 4.44, 35 voxels, peak MNI [–48 14 6]).

    empirical fig5s1

  30. The left superior temporal sulcus cluster responded to model-based regressors coding participant reward prediction resulting from participant and partner choices across both sessions of the experiment.

    empirical fig4i

    The left superior temporal sulcus cluster responded to model-based regressors coding participant reward prediction resulting from participant and partner choices across both sessions of the experiment.

    empirical fig4i

  31. A likelihood ratio test showed the Responsibility model fitted the happiness data better than all other models, including the Responsibility Redux model (Study 1: all LR ≥ 47.36, p < 0.0001; Study 2: all LR ≥ 77.83, p < 0.0001).

    empirical table1

    A likelihood ratio test showed the Responsibility model fitted the happiness data better than all other models, including the Responsibility Redux model (Study 1: all LR ≥ 47.36, p < 0.0001; Study 2: all LR ≥ 77.83, p < 0.0001).

    empirical table1

  32. The linear mixed model containing all three two-way interaction terms (Model 5, Equation 10) explained the happiness data significantly better than simpler models without interactions (p < 2e−5) and no worse than the model with all interactions (p > 0.5), warranting reporting the crucial partnerHigh:participantDecided (guilt) interaction from it.

    methodological app1table2

    The linear mixed model containing all three two-way interaction terms (Model 5, Equation 10) explained the happiness data significantly better than simpler models without interactions (p < 2e−5) and no worse than the model with all interactions (p > 0.5), warranting reporting the crucial partnerHigh:participantDecided (guilt) interaction from it.

    methodological app1table2

  33. The lower happiness when the participant is the decision-maker may reflect responsibility aversion — a cost of the 'weight of the responsibility'.

    interpretation —

    The lower happiness when the participant is the decision-maker may reflect responsibility aversion — a cost of the 'weight of the responsibility'.

    interpretation —

  34. As a manipulation check, bilateral ventral striatum activation increased with expected certain rewards and the expected values of chosen lotteries, explained by a model-based regressor coding participant rewards (left: pFWE = 0.002, T = 5.63, d = 0.75; right: pFWE = 0.005, T = 5.46, d = 0.70).

    control fig4g

    As a manipulation check, bilateral ventral striatum activation increased with expected certain rewards and the expected values of chosen lotteries, explained by a model-based regressor coding participant rewards (left: pFWE = 0.002, T = 5.63, d = 0.75; right: pFWE = 0.005, T = 5.46, d = 0.70).

    control fig4g

  35. A mass-univariate voxel-wise analysis found a small left anterior insula cluster (peak T = 3.95, d = 0.59, 22 voxels) responding more to low partner outcomes following participant than partner choices, which survived small-volume family-wise-error correction (p = 0.024).

    empirical fig4f

    A mass-univariate voxel-wise analysis found a small left anterior insula cluster (peak T = 3.95, d = 0.59, 22 voxels) responding more to low partner outcomes following participant than partner choices, which survived small-volume family-wise-error correction (p = 0.024).

    empirical fig4f

  36. In mixed-effects regressions on choices, the Social condition significantly increased choice of the risky option in Study 1 but not in Study 2.

    empirical app1table1

    In mixed-effects regressions on choices, the Social condition significantly increased choice of the risky option in Study 1 but not in Study 2.

    empirical app1table1

  37. A model-based GLM (GLM2) entered the best-fitting computational (Responsibility) model's variables — certain rewards (CR), expected value (EV), participant RPE (sRPE), and partner RPE from participant choices (social_pRPE) and from partner choices (partner_pRPE) — as regressors to locate brain regions reflecting them.

    methodological —

    A model-based GLM (GLM2) entered the best-fitting computational (Responsibility) model's variables — certain rewards (CR), expected value (EV), participant RPE (sRPE), and partner RPE from participant choices (social_pRPE) and from partner choices (partner_pRPE) — as regressors to locate brain regions reflecting them.

    methodological —

  38. Model selection among the happiness models used likelihood-ratio tests comparing the Responsibility model pairwise against each other model, supplementing the AIC, BIC, R² and adjusted R² values.

    methodological —

    Model selection among the happiness models used likelihood-ratio tests comparing the Responsibility model pairwise against each other model, supplementing the AIC, BIC, R² and adjusted R² values.

    methodological —

  39. Momentary happiness was modelled with five computational models (Basic, Inequality, Guilt-envy, Responsibility, and Responsibility Redux) sharing separate, exponentially decaying terms for certain rewards, expected value, and reward prediction errors.

    methodological —

    Momentary happiness was modelled with five computational models (Basic, Inequality, Guilt-envy, Responsibility, and Responsibility Redux) sharing separate, exponentially decaying terms for certain rewards, expected value, and reward prediction errors.

    methodological —

  40. If a neural substrate tracks the participant's responsibility for the partner's outcomes, then within regions sensitive to the outcomes of risky choices, BOLD should respond more strongly to the partner's reward prediction errors resulting from the participant's own choices than from the partner's choices.

    prediction —

    If a neural substrate tracks the participant's responsibility for the partner's outcomes, then within regions sensitive to the outcomes of risky choices, BOLD should respond more strongly to the partner's reward prediction errors resulting from the participant's own choices than from the partner's choices.

    prediction —

  41. A neural substrate tracks the participant's responsibility for the partner's outcomes: within regions sensitive to choice outcomes, the partner's reward prediction errors are represented more strongly when they arise from the participant's own choice than from the partner's choice.

    hypothesis —

    A neural substrate tracks the participant's responsibility for the partner's outcomes: within regions sensitive to choice outcomes, the partner's reward prediction errors are represented more strongly when they arise from the participant's own choice than from the partner's choice.

    hypothesis —

  42. There was no significant interaction between the difference in expected values and experimental conditions in either study (p > 0.52).

    control —

    There was no significant interaction between the difference in expected values and experimental conditions in either study (p > 0.52).

    control —

  43. One cluster in the left STS responded more to partner reward prediction errors resulting from participant rather than partner choices (pFWE = 0.022, T = 4.70, d = 0.53, 100 voxels, peak MNI [−52 –32 0]).

    empirical fig4h

    One cluster in the left STS responded more to partner reward prediction errors resulting from participant rather than partner choices (pFWE = 0.022, T = 4.70, d = 0.53, 100 voxels, peak MNI [−52 –32 0]).

    empirical fig4h

  44. Only the precuneus and TPJ showed positive Risky–Safe differences in both the Social>Solo and Social>Partner comparisons, being most active when participants chose the lottery in the Social condition.

    empirical fig4c

    Only the precuneus and TPJ showed positive Risky–Safe differences in both the Social>Solo and Social>Partner comparisons, being most active when participants chose the lottery in the Social condition.

    empirical fig4c

  45. A parameter-recovery procedure on synthetic data generated from each participant's estimated parameters showed the happiness-model parameters could be reliably recovered, verifying their stability.

    methodological fig3s1

    A parameter-recovery procedure on synthetic data generated from each participant's estimated parameters showed the happiness-model parameters could be reliably recovered, verifying their stability.

    methodological fig3s1

  46. Participant happiness was lower when the participant was the decision-maker (Social + Solo vs. Partner), independent of outcome (Study 1: t(3600) = –3.92, p < 0.0001, β = –0.14; Study 2: t(2870) = –6.07, p < 0.0001, β = –0.24).

    empirical —

    Participant happiness was lower when the participant was the decision-maker (Social + Solo vs. Partner), independent of outcome (Study 1: t(3600) = –3.92, p < 0.0001, β = –0.14; Study 2: t(2870) = –6.07, p < 0.0001, β = –0.24).

    empirical —

  47. Participant momentary happiness varied with the rewards the partner received in the current trial.

    empirical fig3b,fig3f

    Participant momentary happiness varied with the rewards the partner received in the current trial.

    empirical fig3b,fig3f

  48. Participant momentary happiness varied with the rewards the participant received in the current trial.

    empirical fig3a,fig3e

    Participant momentary happiness varied with the rewards the participant received in the current trial.

    empirical fig3a,fig3e

  49. Participants chose the risky option (lottery) more often in the Solo than the Social condition in Study 1 (t(4796) = 2.54, p = 0.011, β = 0.164) but not in Study 2 (t(3829) = 0.23, p = 0.82, β = 0.015).

    empirical fig2a,fig2d

    Participants chose the risky option (lottery) more often in the Solo than the Social condition in Study 1 (t(4796) = 2.54, p = 0.011, β = 0.164) but not in Study 2 (t(3829) = 0.23, p = 0.82, β = 0.015).

    empirical fig2a,fig2d

  50. Participants' own reward prediction errors (sRPE) influenced happiness more than the partner's reward prediction errors (social_pRPE and partner_pRPE) (Study 1: all Z > 6.0, p < 0.001; Study 2: all Z > 3.7, p < 0.003).

    empirical —

    Participants' own reward prediction errors (sRPE) influenced happiness more than the partner's reward prediction errors (social_pRPE and partner_pRPE) (Study 1: all Z > 6.0, p < 0.001; Study 2: all Z > 3.7, p < 0.003).

    empirical —

  51. Participants' probability of choosing the risky option (lottery) increased with the difference between the expected value of the lottery and the value of the safe option (Study 1: t(4796) = 9.26, p < 3.1e–20, β = 0.074; Study 2: t(3829) = 10.62, p < 5.3e–26, β = 0.093).

    control fig2a,fig2d

    Participants' probability of choosing the risky option (lottery) increased with the difference between the expected value of the lottery and the value of the safe option (Study 1: t(4796) = 9.26, p < 3.1e–20, β = 0.074; Study 2: t(3829) = 10.62, p < 5.3e–26, β = 0.093).

    control fig2a,fig2d

  52. Participants showed very similar risk preferences whether deciding only for themselves (Solo) or for themselves and their partner (Social), with only a tendency toward higher risk aversion in the Social condition in Study 1.

    synthesis —

    Participants showed very similar risk preferences whether deciding only for themselves (Solo) or for themselves and their partner (Social), with only a tendency toward higher risk aversion in the Social condition in Study 1.

    synthesis —

  53. Participants were slightly more risk averse (higher ρ) in the Social than the Solo condition in Study 1 (t(39) = 2.27, p = 0.03, d = 0.36, BF10 = 1.69) but not in Study 2 (t(43) = 1.40, p = 0.17, d = 0.21, BF10 = 0.41).

    empirical fig2c,fig2f

    Participants were slightly more risk averse (higher ρ) in the Social than the Solo condition in Study 1 (t(39) = 2.27, p = 0.03, d = 0.36, BF10 = 1.69) but not in Study 2 (t(43) = 1.40, p = 0.17, d = 0.21, BF10 = 0.41).

    empirical fig2c,fig2f

  54. The partner's reward prediction errors resulting from the participants' own choices (social_pRPE) had weights greater than 0 (Responsibility model: Study 1: Z = 2.85, p = 0.004; Study 2: Z = 3.26, p = 0.001), contributing to explaining participants' momentary happiness.

    empirical —

    The partner's reward prediction errors resulting from the participants' own choices (social_pRPE) had weights greater than 0 (Responsibility model: Study 1: Z = 2.85, p = 0.004; Study 2: Z = 3.26, p = 0.001), contributing to explaining participants' momentary happiness.

    empirical —

  55. A pre-task icebreaker succeeded in establishing a positive attitude toward the partner: participants rated their partners highly (all above 8 on a 1–10 scale) on sympathy, cooperativity, honesty, openness, and sociability in both studies.

    control app1table11

    A pre-task icebreaker succeeded in establishing a positive attitude toward the partner: participants rated their partners highly (all above 8 on a 1–10 scale) on sympathy, cooperativity, honesty, openness, and sociability in both studies.

    control app1table11

  56. Prior functional connectivity work has shown network differences between social and self-only choices, midbrain–anterior cingulate interactions during guilt compensation, and links between insula connectivity and responsibility aversion.

    literature-context —

    Prior functional connectivity work has shown network differences between social and self-only choices, midbrain–anterior cingulate interactions during guilt compensation, and links between insula connectivity and responsibility aversion.

    literature-context —

  57. Prior literature documents an association between the anterior insula and guilt.

    literature-context —

    Prior literature documents an association between the anterior insula and guilt.

    literature-context —

  58. Responsibility for choices did not influence happiness following positive (high) lottery outcomes for the partner (both studies, all |t| < 1.3, p > 0.2, BF10 < 0.2).

    control —

    Responsibility for choices did not influence happiness following positive (high) lottery outcomes for the partner (both studies, all |t| < 1.3, p > 0.2, BF10 < 0.2).

    control —

  59. The Responsibility model yielded higher R² values than all other models (Study 1: all t > 3.6, p < 0.007; Study 2: all t > 2.9, p < 0.034), except the Guilt-envy model in Study 1 (t = 2.19, p = 0.17).

    empirical table1

    The Responsibility model yielded higher R² values than all other models (Study 1: all t > 3.6, p < 0.007; Study 2: all t > 2.9, p < 0.034), except the Guilt-envy model in Study 1 (t = 2.19, p = 0.17).

    empirical table1

  60. If responsibility for outcomes generates guilt, then participant happiness should decrease more after low lottery outcomes for the partner when the participant rather than the partner chose the lottery.

    prediction —

    If responsibility for outcomes generates guilt, then participant happiness should decrease more after low lottery outcomes for the partner when the participant rather than the partner chose the lottery.

    prediction —

  61. If responsibility for the partner's outcomes influences the participant's momentary happiness, then a computational model that includes the partner's reward prediction errors arising from the participant's own choices (social_pRPE) should explain the happiness data better than models omitting them, and social_pRPE weights should be reliably greater than zero.

    prediction —

    If responsibility for the partner's outcomes influences the participant's momentary happiness, then a computational model that includes the partner's reward prediction errors arising from the participant's own choices (social_pRPE) should explain the happiness data better than models omitting them, and social_pRPE weights should be reliably greater than zero.

    prediction —

  62. The Responsibility Redux model — incorporating expected, previous and current rewards, reward prediction errors for both participant and partner, and decision-maker — predicted the variations in participants' momentary happiness well.

    empirical fig3c,fig3g

    The Responsibility Redux model — incorporating expected, previous and current rewards, reward prediction errors for both participant and partner, and decision-maker — predicted the variations in participants' momentary happiness well.

    empirical fig3c,fig3g

  63. Responsibility for a social choice that yields a low outcome for a partner produces interpersonal guilt, experienced by the decision-maker as a larger decrease in momentary happiness than when the partner made the same choice.

    hypothesis —

    Responsibility for a social choice that yields a low outcome for a partner produces interpersonal guilt, experienced by the decision-maker as a larger decrease in momentary happiness than when the partner made the same choice.

    hypothesis —

  64. The risk-aversion parameter ρ did not differ between gain and loss trials (Study 1: t(17) = 0.21, p = 0.84, d = 0.05; Study 2: t(15) = –0.61, p = 0.55, d = 0.15), justifying pooling across gain and loss trials.

    control —

    The risk-aversion parameter ρ did not differ between gain and loss trials (Study 1: t(17) = 0.21, p = 0.84, d = 0.05; Study 2: t(15) = –0.61, p = 0.55, d = 0.15), justifying pooling across gain and loss trials.

    control —

  65. Risk premiums did not differ between Solo and Social conditions in either study (Study 1: t(39) = 1.53, p = 0.134, d = 0.24, BF10 = 0.49; Study 2: t(43) = –0.21, p = 0.84, d = –0.03, BF10 = 0.17).

    control fig2b,fig2e

    Risk premiums did not differ between Solo and Social conditions in either study (Study 1: t(39) = 1.53, p = 0.134, d = 0.24, BF10 = 0.49; Study 2: t(43) = –0.21, p = 0.84, d = –0.03, BF10 = 0.17).

    control fig2b,fig2e

  66. Rutledge and colleagues established that changes in momentary happiness during a probabilistic reward task are explained by recent reward expectations and the prediction errors arising from them.

    literature-context —

    Rutledge and colleagues established that changes in momentary happiness during a probabilistic reward task are explained by recent reward expectations and the prediction errors arising from them.

    literature-context —

  67. Study 2 reproduced the Study 1 design inside the fMRI scanner with identical parameters except for longer inter-stimulus intervals (3–11 s) and partners who were experimenters positioned outside the scanner.

    scope —

    Study 2 reproduced the Study 1 design inside the fMRI scanner with identical parameters except for longer inter-stimulus intervals (3–11 s) and partners who were experimenters positioned outside the scanner.

    scope —

  68. When the partner received the low lottery outcome, participant happiness was lower when the participant rather than the partner had chosen the lottery — a significant partner-outcome × decision-maker interaction (Study 1: t(1180) = 3.52, p = 0.0004, β = 0.37; Study 2: t(937) = 2.85, p = 0.0045, β = 0.33) — operationalizing interpersonal guilt.

    empirical fig3d,fig3h

    When the partner received the low lottery outcome, participant happiness was lower when the participant rather than the partner had chosen the lottery — a significant partner-outcome × decision-maker interaction (Study 1: t(1180) = 3.52, p = 0.0004, β = 0.37; Study 2: t(937) = 2.85, p = 0.0045, β = 0.33) — operationalizing interpersonal guilt.

    empirical fig3d,fig3h

Only in v5 dropped

Nothing — every v5 claim survived.

Only in v8 added

Nothing — v8 added no claim.

v4 → v8 comparison

Aligned by the claim text — exact wording first, then a token overlap — because two versions share no slugs. 68 matched; 0 only in v4; 0 only in v8. v4 runs/gadeke-2026-guilt-insula/claim-tree.v4 · 68 claims · v8 claims/gadeke-2026-guilt-insula · 68 claims

Matched

  1. The happiness cost observed in the Social condition is general agency aversion — the unpleasantness of being the decision-maker as such — and is not contingent on responsibility for a negative outcome befalling the partner.

    hypothesis —

    The happiness cost observed in the Social condition is general agency aversion — the unpleasantness of being the decision-maker as such — and is not contingent on responsibility for a negative outcome befalling the partner.

    hypothesis —

  2. The happiness decrease following negative partner outcomes under participant choice is driven by the participant's own lottery outcome rather than by the partner's, and so reflects self-directed disappointment rather than interpersonal guilt.

    hypothesis —

    The happiness decrease following negative partner outcomes under participant choice is driven by the participant's own lottery outcome rather than by the partner's, and so reflects self-directed disappointment rather than interpersonal guilt.

    hypothesis —

  3. The imaging pipeline and condition contrasts do not recover established effects, so differences reported between Social and Partner conditions cannot be attributed to the experimental manipulation.

    hypothesis —

    The imaging pipeline and condition contrasts do not recover established effects, so differences reported between Social and Partner conditions cannot be attributed to the experimental manipulation.

    hypothesis —

  4. The model-based fMRI approach does not recover known neural signals, so parametric modulators derived from the computational model — including the partner reward prediction error regressors — cannot be trusted.

    hypothesis —

    The model-based fMRI approach does not recover known neural signals, so parametric modulators derived from the computational model — including the partner reward prediction error regressors — cannot be trusted.

    hypothesis —

  5. Participants did not engage with the lottery task in a value-sensitive way — choices were inattentive or random — so the behavioural measures carry no information about preference or affect.

    hypothesis —

    Participants did not engage with the lottery task in a value-sensitive way — choices were inattentive or random — so the behavioural measures carry no information about preference or affect.

    hypothesis —

  6. The happiness and choice differences between Social and Partner conditions reflect a social-context-driven shift in risk attitude — participants become more or less risk averse when choosing on another person's behalf — rather than responsibility-contingent interpersonal guilt.

    hypothesis —

    The happiness and choice differences between Social and Partner conditions reflect a social-context-driven shift in risk attitude — participants become more or less risk averse when choosing on another person's behalf — rather than responsibility-contingent interpersonal guilt.

    hypothesis —

  7. Among the computational models fitted to momentary happiness data, the Responsibility Redux model achieved the best (lowest) AIC in both studies (Study 1 AIC –1499; Study 2 AIC –1195).

    methodological table1

    Among the computational models fitted to momentary happiness data, the Responsibility Redux model achieved the best (lowest) AIC in both studies (Study 1 AIC –1499; Study 2 AIC –1195).

    methodological table1

  8. The anterior insula is the neural substrate of the guilt effect, increasing its BOLD response when participants are responsible for low outcomes affecting their partner.

    hypothesis —

    The anterior insula is the neural substrate of the guilt effect, increasing its BOLD response when participants are responsible for low outcomes affecting their partner.

    hypothesis —

  9. If the anterior insula tracks guilt, then insula BOLD should be higher in the Social than the Partner condition and show a significant Social-by-low-outcome interaction.

    prediction —

    If the anterior insula tracks guilt, then insula BOLD should be higher in the Social than the Partner condition and show a significant Social-by-low-outcome interaction.

    prediction —

  10. The authors suggest this left STS region tracks a partner's unexpected outcomes less when they do not follow from the participant's decisions.

    interpretation —

    The authors suggest this left STS region tracks a partner's unexpected outcomes less when they do not follow from the participant's decisions.

    interpretation —

  11. The behavioural guilt effect (larger happiness decrease after low partner outcomes following participant rather than partner choices) is compatible with 'simple guilt'.

    interpretation —

    The behavioural guilt effect (larger happiness decrease after low partner outcomes following participant rather than partner choices) is compatible with 'simple guilt'.

    interpretation —

  12. The bilateral ventral striatum was more active when participants chose the risky rather than the safe option (Cohen's d = 0.72 left, 0.85 right), irrespective of Social or Solo condition, replicating previous findings.

    control fig4a

    The bilateral ventral striatum was more active when participants chose the risky rather than the safe option (Cohen's d = 0.72 left, 0.85 right), irrespective of Social or Solo condition, replicating previous findings.

    control fig4a

  13. In both studies, participants felt worse after low lottery outcomes for the partner when those outcomes followed their own choice rather than the partner's, which the authors interpret as interpersonal guilt.

    synthesis —

    In both studies, participants felt worse after low lottery outcomes for the partner when those outcomes followed their own choice rather than the partner's, which the authors interpret as interpersonal guilt.

    synthesis —

  14. If connectivity between the guilt- and responsibility-related outcome-phase regions (left insula, left STS) and prefrontal cortex depends on whether participants decide for themselves alone or also for their partner and on the type of choice, then a seed-to-voxel psychophysiological-interaction analysis seeded in these regions should reveal prefrontal clusters showing a significant Condition-by-Choice interaction.

    prediction —

    If connectivity between the guilt- and responsibility-related outcome-phase regions (left insula, left STS) and prefrontal cortex depends on whether participants decide for themselves alone or also for their partner and on the type of choice, then a seed-to-voxel psychophysiological-interaction analysis seeded in these regions should reveal prefrontal clusters showing a significant Condition-by-Choice interaction.

    prediction —

  15. Connectivity between the left anterior insula and the right inferior frontal gyrus varied with choice and condition, suggesting this prefrontal region is sensitive to guilt-related information during social choices.

    interpretation —

    Connectivity between the left anterior insula and the right inferior frontal gyrus varied with choice and condition, suggesting this prefrontal region is sensitive to guilt-related information during social choices.

    interpretation —

  16. Decisions in the Social compared with the Solo condition engaged three clusters — the precuneus (d = 0.79), left temporo-parietal junction (d = 0.59), and medial prefrontal cortex (d = 0.54).

    empirical fig4b

    Decisions in the Social compared with the Solo condition engaged three clusters — the precuneus (d = 0.79), left temporo-parietal junction (d = 0.59), and medial prefrontal cortex (d = 0.54).

    empirical fig4b

  17. The difference in response between low and high lottery outcomes was greater in the Social than the Partner condition in left insula (0.44***), right insula (0.19***), and right middle temporal cortex (0.67***).

    empirical app1table10

    The difference in response between low and high lottery outcomes was greater in the Social than the Partner condition in left insula (0.44***), right insula (0.19***), and right middle temporal cortex (0.67***).

    empirical app1table10

  18. Dot products between individual neural guilt responses and the Yu et al. (2020) guilt-related brain signature (GRBS) were overall positive (mean = 5.22, median = 6.97, sign test p = 0.017, Cliff's Delta = 0.4), providing convergent validity with a previously published neural guilt signature.

    control —

    Dot products between individual neural guilt responses and the Yu et al. (2020) guilt-related brain signature (GRBS) were overall positive (mean = 5.22, median = 6.97, sign test p = 0.017, Cliff's Delta = 0.4), providing convergent validity with a previously published neural guilt signature.

    control —

  19. During the outcome phase, responses to low lottery outcomes were higher in the Social than the Partner condition in both left and right insula (InsulaL 0.41***, InsulaR 0.18***) and lower in the right middle temporal cortex (–0.12**).

    empirical app1table9

    During the outcome phase, responses to low lottery outcomes were higher in the Social than the Partner condition in both left and right insula (InsulaL 0.41***, InsulaR 0.18***) and lower in the right middle temporal cortex (–0.12**).

    empirical app1table9

  20. During receipt of lottery versus safe outcomes (across all conditions), clusters were more active in the bilateral anterior insula, dmPFC, right STS, bilateral ventral striatum, right dorsolateral prefrontal cortex, and bilateral inferior parietal lobe.

    empirical fig4d

    During receipt of lottery versus safe outcomes (across all conditions), clusters were more active in the bilateral anterior insula, dmPFC, right STS, bilateral ventral striatum, right dorsolateral prefrontal cortex, and bilateral inferior parietal lobe.

    empirical fig4d

  21. On each trial participants chose between a safe and a risky monetary option under three conditions: choosing for oneself (Solo), for oneself and the partner (Social), and having the partner choose for both (Partner).

    scope —

    On each trial participants chose between a safe and a risky monetary option under three conditions: choosing for oneself (Solo), for oneself and the partner (Social), and having the partner choose for both (Partner).

    scope —

  22. The findings rest on two samples of healthy adults — Study 1 (behaviour only, N = 40) and Study 2 (fMRI, N = 44); all BOLD/fMRI results derive from Study 2, while the behavioural results come from both studies.

    scope —

    The findings rest on two samples of healthy adults — Study 1 (behaviour only, N = 40) and Study 2 (fMRI, N = 44); all BOLD/fMRI results derive from Study 2, while the behavioural results come from both studies.

    scope —

  23. Functional connectivity between guilt- and responsibility-related outcome-phase regions and prefrontal cortex changes depending on whether participants decide for themselves alone or also for their partner, and on the type of choice (Safe or Risky).

    hypothesis —

    Functional connectivity between guilt- and responsibility-related outcome-phase regions and prefrontal cortex changes depending on whether participants decide for themselves alone or also for their partner, and on the type of choice (Safe or Risky).

    hypothesis —

  24. Functional connectivity between the left anterior insula (seed) and a cluster in the right inferior frontal gyrus varied with condition and choice, being highest when participants made Risky choices for themselves and Safe choices for both players (pFWE = 0.020, T = 4.34, d = 0.80, 115 voxels, peak MNI [46 16 22]).

    empirical fig5

    Functional connectivity between the left anterior insula (seed) and a cluster in the right inferior frontal gyrus varied with condition and choice, being highest when participants made Risky choices for themselves and Safe choices for both players (pFWE = 0.020, T = 4.34, d = 0.80, 115 voxels, peak MNI [46 16 22]).

    empirical fig5

  25. The guilt effect occurred whether the participant received the high lottery outcome (Study 1: t(39) = –3.58, p < 0.001, d = 0.56; Study 2: t(43) = –2.68, p = 0.01, d = 0.4) or the low outcome (Study 1: t(39) = –3.39, p = 0.002, d = 0.54; Study 2: t(43) = –3.58, p < 0.001, d = 0.54).

    control —

    The guilt effect occurred whether the participant received the high lottery outcome (Study 1: t(39) = –3.58, p < 0.001, d = 0.56; Study 2: t(43) = –2.68, p = 0.01, d = 0.4) or the low outcome (Study 1: t(39) = –3.39, p = 0.002, d = 0.54; Study 2: t(43) = –3.58, p < 0.001, d = 0.54).

    control —

  26. To hold the partner's behaviour constant across participants, the partner's decisions were simulated by an algorithm that always selected the option with the highest expected value.

    methodological —

    To hold the partner's behaviour constant across participants, the partner's decisions were simulated by an algorithm that always selected the option with the highest expected value.

    methodological —

  27. Individual GRBS dot-product values did not correlate with the behavioural guilt responses (Spearman's Rho = –0.058, p = 0.725), indicating the neural signature does not track individual differences in behavioural guilt sensitivity.

    control —

    Individual GRBS dot-product values did not correlate with the behavioural guilt responses (Spearman's Rho = –0.058, p = 0.725), indicating the neural signature does not track individual differences in behavioural guilt sensitivity.

    control —

  28. The insula ROIs responded more to low lottery outcomes for the partner in the Social than the Partner condition — even after subtracting responses to high outcomes — mirroring the behavioural guilt effect.

    empirical fig4e

    The insula ROIs responded more to low lottery outcomes for the partner in the Social than the Partner condition — even after subtracting responses to high outcomes — mirroring the behavioural guilt effect.

    empirical fig4e

  29. A left IFG cluster showed the opposite pattern of connectivity with the left STS seed — highest for Safe-self / Risky-both-players choices — but did not survive correction for multiple comparisons (p uncorrected = 0.001, T = 4.44, 35 voxels, peak MNI [–48 14 6]).

    empirical fig5s1

    A left IFG cluster showed the opposite pattern of connectivity with the left STS seed — highest for Safe-self / Risky-both-players choices — but did not survive correction for multiple comparisons (p uncorrected = 0.001, T = 4.44, 35 voxels, peak MNI [–48 14 6]).

    empirical fig5s1

  30. The left superior temporal sulcus cluster responded to model-based regressors coding participant reward prediction resulting from participant and partner choices across both sessions of the experiment.

    empirical fig4i

    The left superior temporal sulcus cluster responded to model-based regressors coding participant reward prediction resulting from participant and partner choices across both sessions of the experiment.

    empirical fig4i

  31. A likelihood ratio test showed the Responsibility model fitted the happiness data better than all other models, including the Responsibility Redux model (Study 1: all LR ≥ 47.36, p < 0.0001; Study 2: all LR ≥ 77.83, p < 0.0001).

    empirical table1

    A likelihood ratio test showed the Responsibility model fitted the happiness data better than all other models, including the Responsibility Redux model (Study 1: all LR ≥ 47.36, p < 0.0001; Study 2: all LR ≥ 77.83, p < 0.0001).

    empirical table1

  32. The linear mixed model containing all three two-way interaction terms (Model 5, Equation 10) explained the happiness data significantly better than simpler models without interactions (p < 2e−5) and no worse than the model with all interactions (p > 0.5), warranting reporting the crucial partnerHigh:participantDecided (guilt) interaction from it.

    methodological app1table2

    The linear mixed model containing all three two-way interaction terms (Model 5, Equation 10) explained the happiness data significantly better than simpler models without interactions (p < 2e−5) and no worse than the model with all interactions (p > 0.5), warranting reporting the crucial partnerHigh:participantDecided (guilt) interaction from it.

    methodological app1table2

  33. The lower happiness when the participant is the decision-maker may reflect responsibility aversion — a cost of the 'weight of the responsibility'.

    interpretation —

    The lower happiness when the participant is the decision-maker may reflect responsibility aversion — a cost of the 'weight of the responsibility'.

    interpretation —

  34. As a manipulation check, bilateral ventral striatum activation increased with expected certain rewards and the expected values of chosen lotteries, explained by a model-based regressor coding participant rewards (left: pFWE = 0.002, T = 5.63, d = 0.75; right: pFWE = 0.005, T = 5.46, d = 0.70).

    control fig4g

    As a manipulation check, bilateral ventral striatum activation increased with expected certain rewards and the expected values of chosen lotteries, explained by a model-based regressor coding participant rewards (left: pFWE = 0.002, T = 5.63, d = 0.75; right: pFWE = 0.005, T = 5.46, d = 0.70).

    control fig4g

  35. A mass-univariate voxel-wise analysis found a small left anterior insula cluster (peak T = 3.95, d = 0.59, 22 voxels) responding more to low partner outcomes following participant than partner choices, which survived small-volume family-wise-error correction (p = 0.024).

    empirical fig4f

    A mass-univariate voxel-wise analysis found a small left anterior insula cluster (peak T = 3.95, d = 0.59, 22 voxels) responding more to low partner outcomes following participant than partner choices, which survived small-volume family-wise-error correction (p = 0.024).

    empirical fig4f

  36. In mixed-effects regressions on choices, the Social condition significantly increased choice of the risky option in Study 1 but not in Study 2.

    empirical app1table1

    In mixed-effects regressions on choices, the Social condition significantly increased choice of the risky option in Study 1 but not in Study 2.

    empirical app1table1

  37. A model-based GLM (GLM2) entered the best-fitting computational (Responsibility) model's variables — certain rewards (CR), expected value (EV), participant RPE (sRPE), and partner RPE from participant choices (social_pRPE) and from partner choices (partner_pRPE) — as regressors to locate brain regions reflecting them.

    methodological —

    A model-based GLM (GLM2) entered the best-fitting computational (Responsibility) model's variables — certain rewards (CR), expected value (EV), participant RPE (sRPE), and partner RPE from participant choices (social_pRPE) and from partner choices (partner_pRPE) — as regressors to locate brain regions reflecting them.

    methodological —

  38. Model selection among the happiness models used likelihood-ratio tests comparing the Responsibility model pairwise against each other model, supplementing the AIC, BIC, R² and adjusted R² values.

    methodological —

    Model selection among the happiness models used likelihood-ratio tests comparing the Responsibility model pairwise against each other model, supplementing the AIC, BIC, R² and adjusted R² values.

    methodological —

  39. Momentary happiness was modelled with five computational models (Basic, Inequality, Guilt-envy, Responsibility, and Responsibility Redux) sharing separate, exponentially decaying terms for certain rewards, expected value, and reward prediction errors.

    methodological —

    Momentary happiness was modelled with five computational models (Basic, Inequality, Guilt-envy, Responsibility, and Responsibility Redux) sharing separate, exponentially decaying terms for certain rewards, expected value, and reward prediction errors.

    methodological —

  40. If a neural substrate tracks the participant's responsibility for the partner's outcomes, then within regions sensitive to the outcomes of risky choices, BOLD should respond more strongly to the partner's reward prediction errors resulting from the participant's own choices than from the partner's choices.

    prediction —

    If a neural substrate tracks the participant's responsibility for the partner's outcomes, then within regions sensitive to the outcomes of risky choices, BOLD should respond more strongly to the partner's reward prediction errors resulting from the participant's own choices than from the partner's choices.

    prediction —

  41. A neural substrate tracks the participant's responsibility for the partner's outcomes: within regions sensitive to choice outcomes, the partner's reward prediction errors are represented more strongly when they arise from the participant's own choice than from the partner's choice.

    hypothesis —

    A neural substrate tracks the participant's responsibility for the partner's outcomes: within regions sensitive to choice outcomes, the partner's reward prediction errors are represented more strongly when they arise from the participant's own choice than from the partner's choice.

    hypothesis —

  42. There was no significant interaction between the difference in expected values and experimental conditions in either study (p > 0.52).

    control —

    There was no significant interaction between the difference in expected values and experimental conditions in either study (p > 0.52).

    control —

  43. One cluster in the left STS responded more to partner reward prediction errors resulting from participant rather than partner choices (pFWE = 0.022, T = 4.70, d = 0.53, 100 voxels, peak MNI [−52 –32 0]).

    empirical fig4h

    One cluster in the left STS responded more to partner reward prediction errors resulting from participant rather than partner choices (pFWE = 0.022, T = 4.70, d = 0.53, 100 voxels, peak MNI [−52 –32 0]).

    empirical fig4h

  44. Only the precuneus and TPJ showed positive Risky–Safe differences in both the Social>Solo and Social>Partner comparisons, being most active when participants chose the lottery in the Social condition.

    empirical fig4c

    Only the precuneus and TPJ showed positive Risky–Safe differences in both the Social>Solo and Social>Partner comparisons, being most active when participants chose the lottery in the Social condition.

    empirical fig4c

  45. A parameter-recovery procedure on synthetic data generated from each participant's estimated parameters showed the happiness-model parameters could be reliably recovered, verifying their stability.

    methodological fig3s1

    A parameter-recovery procedure on synthetic data generated from each participant's estimated parameters showed the happiness-model parameters could be reliably recovered, verifying their stability.

    methodological fig3s1

  46. Participant happiness was lower when the participant was the decision-maker (Social + Solo vs. Partner), independent of outcome (Study 1: t(3600) = –3.92, p < 0.0001, β = –0.14; Study 2: t(2870) = –6.07, p < 0.0001, β = –0.24).

    empirical —

    Participant happiness was lower when the participant was the decision-maker (Social + Solo vs. Partner), independent of outcome (Study 1: t(3600) = –3.92, p < 0.0001, β = –0.14; Study 2: t(2870) = –6.07, p < 0.0001, β = –0.24).

    empirical —

  47. Participant momentary happiness varied with the rewards the partner received in the current trial.

    empirical fig3b,fig3f

    Participant momentary happiness varied with the rewards the partner received in the current trial.

    empirical fig3b,fig3f

  48. Participant momentary happiness varied with the rewards the participant received in the current trial.

    empirical fig3a,fig3e

    Participant momentary happiness varied with the rewards the participant received in the current trial.

    empirical fig3a,fig3e

  49. Participants chose the risky option (lottery) more often in the Solo than the Social condition in Study 1 (t(4796) = 2.54, p = 0.011, β = 0.164) but not in Study 2 (t(3829) = 0.23, p = 0.82, β = 0.015).

    empirical fig2a,fig2d

    Participants chose the risky option (lottery) more often in the Solo than the Social condition in Study 1 (t(4796) = 2.54, p = 0.011, β = 0.164) but not in Study 2 (t(3829) = 0.23, p = 0.82, β = 0.015).

    empirical fig2a,fig2d

  50. Participants' own reward prediction errors (sRPE) influenced happiness more than the partner's reward prediction errors (social_pRPE and partner_pRPE) (Study 1: all Z > 6.0, p < 0.001; Study 2: all Z > 3.7, p < 0.003).

    empirical —

    Participants' own reward prediction errors (sRPE) influenced happiness more than the partner's reward prediction errors (social_pRPE and partner_pRPE) (Study 1: all Z > 6.0, p < 0.001; Study 2: all Z > 3.7, p < 0.003).

    empirical —

  51. Participants' probability of choosing the risky option (lottery) increased with the difference between the expected value of the lottery and the value of the safe option (Study 1: t(4796) = 9.26, p < 3.1e–20, β = 0.074; Study 2: t(3829) = 10.62, p < 5.3e–26, β = 0.093).

    control fig2a,fig2d

    Participants' probability of choosing the risky option (lottery) increased with the difference between the expected value of the lottery and the value of the safe option (Study 1: t(4796) = 9.26, p < 3.1e–20, β = 0.074; Study 2: t(3829) = 10.62, p < 5.3e–26, β = 0.093).

    control fig2a,fig2d

  52. Participants showed very similar risk preferences whether deciding only for themselves (Solo) or for themselves and their partner (Social), with only a tendency toward higher risk aversion in the Social condition in Study 1.

    synthesis —

    Participants showed very similar risk preferences whether deciding only for themselves (Solo) or for themselves and their partner (Social), with only a tendency toward higher risk aversion in the Social condition in Study 1.

    synthesis —

  53. Participants were slightly more risk averse (higher ρ) in the Social than the Solo condition in Study 1 (t(39) = 2.27, p = 0.03, d = 0.36, BF10 = 1.69) but not in Study 2 (t(43) = 1.40, p = 0.17, d = 0.21, BF10 = 0.41).

    empirical fig2c,fig2f

    Participants were slightly more risk averse (higher ρ) in the Social than the Solo condition in Study 1 (t(39) = 2.27, p = 0.03, d = 0.36, BF10 = 1.69) but not in Study 2 (t(43) = 1.40, p = 0.17, d = 0.21, BF10 = 0.41).

    empirical fig2c,fig2f

  54. The partner's reward prediction errors resulting from the participants' own choices (social_pRPE) had weights greater than 0 (Responsibility model: Study 1: Z = 2.85, p = 0.004; Study 2: Z = 3.26, p = 0.001), contributing to explaining participants' momentary happiness.

    empirical —

    The partner's reward prediction errors resulting from the participants' own choices (social_pRPE) had weights greater than 0 (Responsibility model: Study 1: Z = 2.85, p = 0.004; Study 2: Z = 3.26, p = 0.001), contributing to explaining participants' momentary happiness.

    empirical —

  55. A pre-task icebreaker succeeded in establishing a positive attitude toward the partner: participants rated their partners highly (all above 8 on a 1–10 scale) on sympathy, cooperativity, honesty, openness, and sociability in both studies.

    control app1table11

    A pre-task icebreaker succeeded in establishing a positive attitude toward the partner: participants rated their partners highly (all above 8 on a 1–10 scale) on sympathy, cooperativity, honesty, openness, and sociability in both studies.

    control app1table11

  56. Prior functional connectivity work has shown network differences between social and self-only choices, midbrain–anterior cingulate interactions during guilt compensation, and links between insula connectivity and responsibility aversion.

    literature-context —

    Prior functional connectivity work has shown network differences between social and self-only choices, midbrain–anterior cingulate interactions during guilt compensation, and links between insula connectivity and responsibility aversion.

    literature-context —

  57. Prior literature documents an association between the anterior insula and guilt.

    literature-context —

    Prior literature documents an association between the anterior insula and guilt.

    literature-context —

  58. Responsibility for choices did not influence happiness following positive (high) lottery outcomes for the partner (both studies, all |t| < 1.3, p > 0.2, BF10 < 0.2).

    control —

    Responsibility for choices did not influence happiness following positive (high) lottery outcomes for the partner (both studies, all |t| < 1.3, p > 0.2, BF10 < 0.2).

    control —

  59. The Responsibility model yielded higher R² values than all other models (Study 1: all t > 3.6, p < 0.007; Study 2: all t > 2.9, p < 0.034), except the Guilt-envy model in Study 1 (t = 2.19, p = 0.17).

    empirical table1

    The Responsibility model yielded higher R² values than all other models (Study 1: all t > 3.6, p < 0.007; Study 2: all t > 2.9, p < 0.034), except the Guilt-envy model in Study 1 (t = 2.19, p = 0.17).

    empirical table1

  60. If responsibility for outcomes generates guilt, then participant happiness should decrease more after low lottery outcomes for the partner when the participant rather than the partner chose the lottery.

    prediction —

    If responsibility for outcomes generates guilt, then participant happiness should decrease more after low lottery outcomes for the partner when the participant rather than the partner chose the lottery.

    prediction —

  61. If responsibility for the partner's outcomes influences the participant's momentary happiness, then a computational model that includes the partner's reward prediction errors arising from the participant's own choices (social_pRPE) should explain the happiness data better than models omitting them, and social_pRPE weights should be reliably greater than zero.

    prediction —

    If responsibility for the partner's outcomes influences the participant's momentary happiness, then a computational model that includes the partner's reward prediction errors arising from the participant's own choices (social_pRPE) should explain the happiness data better than models omitting them, and social_pRPE weights should be reliably greater than zero.

    prediction —

  62. The Responsibility Redux model — incorporating expected, previous and current rewards, reward prediction errors for both participant and partner, and decision-maker — predicted the variations in participants' momentary happiness well.

    empirical fig3c,fig3g

    The Responsibility Redux model — incorporating expected, previous and current rewards, reward prediction errors for both participant and partner, and decision-maker — predicted the variations in participants' momentary happiness well.

    empirical fig3c,fig3g

  63. Responsibility for a social choice that yields a low outcome for a partner produces interpersonal guilt, experienced by the decision-maker as a larger decrease in momentary happiness than when the partner made the same choice.

    hypothesis —

    Responsibility for a social choice that yields a low outcome for a partner produces interpersonal guilt, experienced by the decision-maker as a larger decrease in momentary happiness than when the partner made the same choice.

    hypothesis —

  64. The risk-aversion parameter ρ did not differ between gain and loss trials (Study 1: t(17) = 0.21, p = 0.84, d = 0.05; Study 2: t(15) = –0.61, p = 0.55, d = 0.15), justifying pooling across gain and loss trials.

    control —

    The risk-aversion parameter ρ did not differ between gain and loss trials (Study 1: t(17) = 0.21, p = 0.84, d = 0.05; Study 2: t(15) = –0.61, p = 0.55, d = 0.15), justifying pooling across gain and loss trials.

    control —

  65. Risk premiums did not differ between Solo and Social conditions in either study (Study 1: t(39) = 1.53, p = 0.134, d = 0.24, BF10 = 0.49; Study 2: t(43) = –0.21, p = 0.84, d = –0.03, BF10 = 0.17).

    control fig2b,fig2e

    Risk premiums did not differ between Solo and Social conditions in either study (Study 1: t(39) = 1.53, p = 0.134, d = 0.24, BF10 = 0.49; Study 2: t(43) = –0.21, p = 0.84, d = –0.03, BF10 = 0.17).

    control fig2b,fig2e

  66. Rutledge and colleagues established that changes in momentary happiness during a probabilistic reward task are explained by recent reward expectations and the prediction errors arising from them.

    literature-context —

    Rutledge and colleagues established that changes in momentary happiness during a probabilistic reward task are explained by recent reward expectations and the prediction errors arising from them.

    literature-context —

  67. Study 2 reproduced the Study 1 design inside the fMRI scanner with identical parameters except for longer inter-stimulus intervals (3–11 s) and partners who were experimenters positioned outside the scanner.

    scope —

    Study 2 reproduced the Study 1 design inside the fMRI scanner with identical parameters except for longer inter-stimulus intervals (3–11 s) and partners who were experimenters positioned outside the scanner.

    scope —

  68. When the partner received the low lottery outcome, participant happiness was lower when the participant rather than the partner had chosen the lottery — a significant partner-outcome × decision-maker interaction (Study 1: t(1180) = 3.52, p = 0.0004, β = 0.37; Study 2: t(937) = 2.85, p = 0.0045, β = 0.33) — operationalizing interpersonal guilt.

    empirical fig3d,fig3h

    When the partner received the low lottery outcome, participant happiness was lower when the participant rather than the partner had chosen the lottery — a significant partner-outcome × decision-maker interaction (Study 1: t(1180) = 3.52, p = 0.0004, β = 0.37; Study 2: t(937) = 2.85, p = 0.0045, β = 0.33) — operationalizing interpersonal guilt.

    empirical fig3d,fig3h

Only in v4 dropped

Nothing — every v4 claim survived.

Only in v8 added

Nothing — v8 added no claim.

v3 → v8 comparison

Aligned by the claim text — exact wording first, then a token overlap — because two versions share no slugs. 68 matched; 3 only in v3; 0 only in v8. v3 runs/gadeke-2026-guilt-insula/claim-tree.v3 · 71 claims · v8 claims/gadeke-2026-guilt-insula · 68 claims

Matched

  1. The happiness cost observed in the Social condition is general agency aversion — the unpleasantness of being the decision-maker as such — and is not contingent on responsibility for a negative outcome befalling the partner.

    hypothesis —

    The happiness cost observed in the Social condition is general agency aversion — the unpleasantness of being the decision-maker as such — and is not contingent on responsibility for a negative outcome befalling the partner.

    hypothesis —

  2. The happiness decrease following negative partner outcomes under participant choice is driven by the participant's own lottery outcome rather than by the partner's, and so reflects self-directed disappointment rather than interpersonal guilt.

    hypothesis —

    The happiness decrease following negative partner outcomes under participant choice is driven by the participant's own lottery outcome rather than by the partner's, and so reflects self-directed disappointment rather than interpersonal guilt.

    hypothesis —

  3. The imaging pipeline and condition contrasts do not recover established effects, so differences reported between Social and Partner conditions cannot be attributed to the experimental manipulation.

    hypothesis —

    The imaging pipeline and condition contrasts do not recover established effects, so differences reported between Social and Partner conditions cannot be attributed to the experimental manipulation.

    hypothesis —

  4. The model-based fMRI approach does not recover known neural signals, so parametric modulators derived from the computational model — including the partner reward prediction error regressors — cannot be trusted.

    hypothesis —

    The model-based fMRI approach does not recover known neural signals, so parametric modulators derived from the computational model — including the partner reward prediction error regressors — cannot be trusted.

    hypothesis —

  5. Participants did not engage with the lottery task in a value-sensitive way — choices were inattentive or random — so the behavioural measures carry no information about preference or affect.

    hypothesis —

    Participants did not engage with the lottery task in a value-sensitive way — choices were inattentive or random — so the behavioural measures carry no information about preference or affect.

    hypothesis —

  6. The happiness and choice differences between Social and Partner conditions reflect a social-context-driven shift in risk attitude — participants become more or less risk averse when choosing on another person's behalf — rather than responsibility-contingent interpersonal guilt.

    hypothesis —

    The happiness and choice differences between Social and Partner conditions reflect a social-context-driven shift in risk attitude — participants become more or less risk averse when choosing on another person's behalf — rather than responsibility-contingent interpersonal guilt.

    hypothesis —

  7. Among the computational models fitted to momentary happiness data, the Responsibility Redux model achieved the best (lowest) AIC in both studies (Study 1 AIC –1499; Study 2 AIC –1195).

    methodological table1

    Among the computational models fitted to momentary happiness data, the Responsibility Redux model achieved the best (lowest) AIC in both studies (Study 1 AIC –1499; Study 2 AIC –1195).

    methodological table1

  8. The anterior insula is the neural substrate of the guilt effect, increasing its BOLD response when participants are responsible for low outcomes affecting their partner.

    hypothesis —

    The anterior insula is the neural substrate of the guilt effect, increasing its BOLD response when participants are responsible for low outcomes affecting their partner.

    hypothesis —

  9. If the anterior insula tracks guilt, then insula BOLD should be higher in the Social than the Partner condition and show a significant Social-by-low-outcome interaction.

    prediction —

    If the anterior insula tracks guilt, then insula BOLD should be higher in the Social than the Partner condition and show a significant Social-by-low-outcome interaction.

    prediction —

  10. The authors suggest this left STS region tracks a partner's unexpected outcomes less when they do not follow from the participant's decisions.

    interpretation —

    The authors suggest this left STS region tracks a partner's unexpected outcomes less when they do not follow from the participant's decisions.

    interpretation —

  11. The behavioural guilt effect (larger happiness decrease after low partner outcomes following participant rather than partner choices) is compatible with 'simple guilt'.

    interpretation —

    The behavioural guilt effect (larger happiness decrease after low partner outcomes following participant rather than partner choices) is compatible with 'simple guilt'.

    interpretation —

  12. The bilateral ventral striatum was more active when participants chose the risky rather than the safe option (Cohen's d = 0.72 left, 0.85 right), irrespective of Social or Solo condition, replicating previous findings.

    control fig4a

    The bilateral ventral striatum was more active when participants chose the risky rather than the safe option (Cohen's d = 0.72 left, 0.85 right), irrespective of Social or Solo condition, replicating previous findings.

    control fig4a

  13. In both studies, participants felt worse after low lottery outcomes for the partner when those outcomes followed their own choice rather than the partner's, which the authors interpret as interpersonal guilt.

    synthesis —

    In both studies, participants felt worse after low lottery outcomes for the partner when those outcomes followed their own choice rather than the partner's, which the authors interpret as interpersonal guilt.

    synthesis —

  14. If connectivity between the guilt- and responsibility-related outcome-phase regions (left insula, left STS) and prefrontal cortex depends on whether participants decide for themselves alone or also for their partner and on the type of choice, then a seed-to-voxel psychophysiological-interaction analysis seeded in these regions should reveal prefrontal clusters showing a significant Condition-by-Choice interaction.

    prediction —

    If connectivity between the guilt- and responsibility-related outcome-phase regions (left insula, left STS) and prefrontal cortex depends on whether participants decide for themselves alone or also for their partner and on the type of choice, then a seed-to-voxel psychophysiological-interaction analysis seeded in these regions should reveal prefrontal clusters showing a significant Condition-by-Choice interaction.

    prediction —

  15. Connectivity between the left anterior insula and the right inferior frontal gyrus varied with choice and condition, suggesting this prefrontal region is sensitive to guilt-related information during social choices.

    interpretation —

    Connectivity between the left anterior insula and the right inferior frontal gyrus varied with choice and condition, suggesting this prefrontal region is sensitive to guilt-related information during social choices.

    interpretation —

  16. Decisions in the Social compared with the Solo condition engaged three clusters — the precuneus (d = 0.79), left temporo-parietal junction (d = 0.59), and medial prefrontal cortex (d = 0.54).

    empirical fig4b

    Decisions in the Social compared with the Solo condition engaged three clusters — the precuneus (d = 0.79), left temporo-parietal junction (d = 0.59), and medial prefrontal cortex (d = 0.54).

    empirical fig4b

  17. The difference in response between low and high lottery outcomes was greater in the Social than the Partner condition in left insula (0.44***), right insula (0.19***), and right middle temporal cortex (0.67***).

    empirical app1table10

    The difference in response between low and high lottery outcomes was greater in the Social than the Partner condition in left insula (0.44***), right insula (0.19***), and right middle temporal cortex (0.67***).

    empirical app1table10

  18. Dot products between individual neural guilt responses and the Yu et al. (2020) guilt-related brain signature (GRBS) were overall positive (mean = 5.22, median = 6.97, sign test p = 0.017, Cliff's Delta = 0.4), providing convergent validity with a previously published neural guilt signature.

    control —

    Dot products between individual neural guilt responses and the Yu et al. (2020) guilt-related brain signature (GRBS) were overall positive (mean = 5.22, median = 6.97, sign test p = 0.017, Cliff's Delta = 0.4), providing convergent validity with a previously published neural guilt signature.

    control —

  19. During the outcome phase, responses to low lottery outcomes were higher in the Social than the Partner condition in both left and right insula (InsulaL 0.41***, InsulaR 0.18***) and lower in the right middle temporal cortex (–0.12**).

    empirical app1table9

    During the outcome phase, responses to low lottery outcomes were higher in the Social than the Partner condition in both left and right insula (InsulaL 0.41***, InsulaR 0.18***) and lower in the right middle temporal cortex (–0.12**).

    empirical app1table9

  20. During receipt of lottery versus safe outcomes (across all conditions), clusters were more active in the bilateral anterior insula, dmPFC, right STS, bilateral ventral striatum, right dorsolateral prefrontal cortex, and bilateral inferior parietal lobe.

    empirical fig4d

    During receipt of lottery versus safe outcomes (across all conditions), clusters were more active in the bilateral anterior insula, dmPFC, right STS, bilateral ventral striatum, right dorsolateral prefrontal cortex, and bilateral inferior parietal lobe.

    empirical fig4d

  21. On each trial participants chose between a safe and a risky monetary option under three conditions: choosing for oneself (Solo), for oneself and the partner (Social), and having the partner choose for both (Partner).

    scope —

    On each trial participants chose between a safe and a risky monetary option under three conditions: choosing for oneself (Solo), for oneself and the partner (Social), and having the partner choose for both (Partner).

    scope —

  22. The findings rest on two samples of healthy adults — Study 1 (behaviour only, N = 40) and Study 2 (fMRI, N = 44); all BOLD/fMRI results derive from Study 2, while the behavioural results come from both studies.

    scope —

    The findings rest on two samples of healthy adults — Study 1 (behaviour only, N = 40) and Study 2 (fMRI, N = 44); all BOLD/fMRI results derive from Study 2, while the behavioural results come from both studies.

    scope —

  23. Functional connectivity between guilt- and responsibility-related outcome-phase regions and prefrontal cortex changes depending on whether participants decide for themselves alone or also for their partner, and on the type of choice (Safe or Risky).

    hypothesis —

    Functional connectivity between guilt- and responsibility-related outcome-phase regions and prefrontal cortex changes depending on whether participants decide for themselves alone or also for their partner, and on the type of choice (Safe or Risky).

    hypothesis —

  24. Functional connectivity between the left anterior insula (seed) and a cluster in the right inferior frontal gyrus varied with condition and choice, being highest when participants made Risky choices for themselves and Safe choices for both players (pFWE = 0.020, T = 4.34, d = 0.80, 115 voxels, peak MNI [46 16 22]).

    empirical fig5

    Functional connectivity between the left anterior insula (seed) and a cluster in the right inferior frontal gyrus varied with condition and choice, being highest when participants made Risky choices for themselves and Safe choices for both players (pFWE = 0.020, T = 4.34, d = 0.80, 115 voxels, peak MNI [46 16 22]).

    empirical fig5

  25. The guilt effect occurred whether the participant received the high lottery outcome (Study 1: t(39) = –3.58, p < 0.001, d = 0.56; Study 2: t(43) = –2.68, p = 0.01, d = 0.4) or the low outcome (Study 1: t(39) = –3.39, p = 0.002, d = 0.54; Study 2: t(43) = –3.58, p < 0.001, d = 0.54).

    control —

    The guilt effect occurred whether the participant received the high lottery outcome (Study 1: t(39) = –3.58, p < 0.001, d = 0.56; Study 2: t(43) = –2.68, p = 0.01, d = 0.4) or the low outcome (Study 1: t(39) = –3.39, p = 0.002, d = 0.54; Study 2: t(43) = –3.58, p < 0.001, d = 0.54).

    control —

  26. To hold the partner's behaviour constant across participants, the partner's decisions were simulated by an algorithm that always selected the option with the highest expected value.

    methodological —

    To hold the partner's behaviour constant across participants, the partner's decisions were simulated by an algorithm that always selected the option with the highest expected value.

    methodological —

  27. Individual GRBS dot-product values did not correlate with the behavioural guilt responses (Spearman's Rho = –0.058, p = 0.725), indicating the neural signature does not track individual differences in behavioural guilt sensitivity.

    control —

    Individual GRBS dot-product values did not correlate with the behavioural guilt responses (Spearman's Rho = –0.058, p = 0.725), indicating the neural signature does not track individual differences in behavioural guilt sensitivity.

    control —

  28. The insula ROIs responded more to low lottery outcomes for the partner in the Social than the Partner condition — even after subtracting responses to high outcomes — mirroring the behavioural guilt effect.

    empirical fig4e

    The insula ROIs responded more to low lottery outcomes for the partner in the Social than the Partner condition — even after subtracting responses to high outcomes — mirroring the behavioural guilt effect.

    empirical fig4e

  29. A left IFG cluster showed the opposite pattern of connectivity with the left STS seed — highest for Safe-self / Risky-both-players choices — but did not survive correction for multiple comparisons (p uncorrected = 0.001, T = 4.44, 35 voxels, peak MNI [–48 14 6]).

    empirical fig5s1

    A left IFG cluster showed the opposite pattern of connectivity with the left STS seed — highest for Safe-self / Risky-both-players choices — but did not survive correction for multiple comparisons (p uncorrected = 0.001, T = 4.44, 35 voxels, peak MNI [–48 14 6]).

    empirical fig5s1

  30. The left superior temporal sulcus cluster responded to model-based regressors coding participant reward prediction resulting from participant and partner choices across both sessions of the experiment.

    empirical fig4i

    The left superior temporal sulcus cluster responded to model-based regressors coding participant reward prediction resulting from participant and partner choices across both sessions of the experiment.

    empirical fig4i

  31. A likelihood ratio test showed the Responsibility model fitted the happiness data better than all other models, including the Responsibility Redux model (Study 1: all LR ≥ 47.36, p < 0.0001; Study 2: all LR ≥ 77.83, p < 0.0001).

    empirical table1

    A likelihood ratio test showed the Responsibility model fitted the happiness data better than all other models, including the Responsibility Redux model (Study 1: all LR ≥ 47.36, p < 0.0001; Study 2: all LR ≥ 77.83, p < 0.0001).

    empirical table1

  32. The linear mixed model containing all three two-way interaction terms (Model 5, Equation 10) explained the happiness data significantly better than simpler models without interactions (p < 2e−5) and no worse than the model with all interactions (p > 0.5), warranting reporting the crucial partnerHigh:participantDecided (guilt) interaction from it.

    methodological app1table2

    The linear mixed model containing all three two-way interaction terms (Model 5, Equation 10) explained the happiness data significantly better than simpler models without interactions (p < 2e−5) and no worse than the model with all interactions (p > 0.5), warranting reporting the crucial partnerHigh:participantDecided (guilt) interaction from it.

    methodological app1table2

  33. The lower happiness when the participant is the decision-maker may reflect responsibility aversion — a cost of the 'weight of the responsibility'.

    interpretation —

    The lower happiness when the participant is the decision-maker may reflect responsibility aversion — a cost of the 'weight of the responsibility'.

    interpretation —

  34. As a manipulation check, bilateral ventral striatum activation increased with expected certain rewards and the expected values of chosen lotteries, explained by a model-based regressor coding participant rewards (left: pFWE = 0.002, T = 5.63, d = 0.75; right: pFWE = 0.005, T = 5.46, d = 0.70).

    control fig4g

    As a manipulation check, bilateral ventral striatum activation increased with expected certain rewards and the expected values of chosen lotteries, explained by a model-based regressor coding participant rewards (left: pFWE = 0.002, T = 5.63, d = 0.75; right: pFWE = 0.005, T = 5.46, d = 0.70).

    control fig4g

  35. A mass-univariate voxel-wise analysis found a small left anterior insula cluster (peak T = 3.95, d = 0.59, 22 voxels) responding more to low partner outcomes following participant than partner choices, which survived small-volume family-wise-error correction (p = 0.024).

    empirical fig4f

    A mass-univariate voxel-wise analysis found a small left anterior insula cluster (peak T = 3.95, d = 0.59, 22 voxels) responding more to low partner outcomes following participant than partner choices, which survived small-volume family-wise-error correction (p = 0.024).

    empirical fig4f

  36. In mixed-effects regressions on choices, the Social condition significantly increased choice of the risky option in Study 1 but not in Study 2.

    empirical app1table1

    In mixed-effects regressions on choices, the Social condition significantly increased choice of the risky option in Study 1 but not in Study 2.

    empirical app1table1

  37. A model-based GLM (GLM2) entered the best-fitting computational (Responsibility) model's variables — certain rewards (CR), expected value (EV), participant RPE (sRPE), and partner RPE from participant choices (social_pRPE) and from partner choices (partner_pRPE) — as regressors to locate brain regions reflecting them.

    methodological —

    A model-based GLM (GLM2) entered the best-fitting computational (Responsibility) model's variables — certain rewards (CR), expected value (EV), participant RPE (sRPE), and partner RPE from participant choices (social_pRPE) and from partner choices (partner_pRPE) — as regressors to locate brain regions reflecting them.

    methodological —

  38. Model selection among the happiness models used likelihood-ratio tests comparing the Responsibility model pairwise against each other model, supplementing the AIC, BIC, R² and adjusted R² values.

    methodological —

    Model selection among the happiness models used likelihood-ratio tests comparing the Responsibility model pairwise against each other model, supplementing the AIC, BIC, R² and adjusted R² values.

    methodological —

  39. Momentary happiness was modelled with five computational models (Basic, Inequality, Guilt-envy, Responsibility, and Responsibility Redux) sharing separate, exponentially decaying terms for certain rewards, expected value, and reward prediction errors.

    methodological —

    Momentary happiness was modelled with five computational models (Basic, Inequality, Guilt-envy, Responsibility, and Responsibility Redux) sharing separate, exponentially decaying terms for certain rewards, expected value, and reward prediction errors.

    methodological —

  40. If a neural substrate tracks the participant's responsibility for the partner's outcomes, then within regions sensitive to the outcomes of risky choices, BOLD should respond more strongly to the partner's reward prediction errors resulting from the participant's own choices than from the partner's choices.

    prediction —

    If a neural substrate tracks the participant's responsibility for the partner's outcomes, then within regions sensitive to the outcomes of risky choices, BOLD should respond more strongly to the partner's reward prediction errors resulting from the participant's own choices than from the partner's choices.

    prediction —

  41. A neural substrate tracks the participant's responsibility for the partner's outcomes: within regions sensitive to choice outcomes, the partner's reward prediction errors are represented more strongly when they arise from the participant's own choice than from the partner's choice.

    hypothesis —

    A neural substrate tracks the participant's responsibility for the partner's outcomes: within regions sensitive to choice outcomes, the partner's reward prediction errors are represented more strongly when they arise from the participant's own choice than from the partner's choice.

    hypothesis —

  42. There was no significant interaction between the difference in expected values and experimental conditions in either study (p > 0.52).

    control —

    There was no significant interaction between the difference in expected values and experimental conditions in either study (p > 0.52).

    control —

  43. One cluster in the left STS responded more to partner reward prediction errors resulting from participant rather than partner choices (pFWE = 0.022, T = 4.70, d = 0.53, 100 voxels, peak MNI [−52 –32 0]).

    empirical fig4h

    One cluster in the left STS responded more to partner reward prediction errors resulting from participant rather than partner choices (pFWE = 0.022, T = 4.70, d = 0.53, 100 voxels, peak MNI [−52 –32 0]).

    empirical fig4h

  44. Only the precuneus and TPJ showed positive Risky–Safe differences in both the Social>Solo and Social>Partner comparisons, being most active when participants chose the lottery in the Social condition.

    empirical fig4c

    Only the precuneus and TPJ showed positive Risky–Safe differences in both the Social>Solo and Social>Partner comparisons, being most active when participants chose the lottery in the Social condition.

    empirical fig4c

  45. A parameter-recovery procedure on synthetic data generated from each participant's estimated parameters showed the happiness-model parameters could be reliably recovered, verifying their stability.

    methodological fig3s1

    A parameter-recovery procedure on synthetic data generated from each participant's estimated parameters showed the happiness-model parameters could be reliably recovered, verifying their stability.

    methodological fig3s1

  46. Participant happiness was lower when the participant was the decision-maker (Social + Solo vs. Partner), independent of outcome (Study 1: t(3600) = –3.92, p < 0.0001, β = –0.14; Study 2: t(2870) = –6.07, p < 0.0001, β = –0.24).

    empirical —

    Participant happiness was lower when the participant was the decision-maker (Social + Solo vs. Partner), independent of outcome (Study 1: t(3600) = –3.92, p < 0.0001, β = –0.14; Study 2: t(2870) = –6.07, p < 0.0001, β = –0.24).

    empirical —

  47. Participant momentary happiness varied with the rewards the partner received in the current trial.

    empirical fig3b,fig3f

    Participant momentary happiness varied with the rewards the partner received in the current trial.

    empirical fig3b,fig3f

  48. Participant momentary happiness varied with the rewards the participant received in the current trial.

    empirical fig3a,fig3e

    Participant momentary happiness varied with the rewards the participant received in the current trial.

    empirical fig3a,fig3e

  49. Participants chose the risky option (lottery) more often in the Solo than the Social condition in Study 1 (t(4796) = 2.54, p = 0.011, β = 0.164) but not in Study 2 (t(3829) = 0.23, p = 0.82, β = 0.015).

    empirical fig2a,fig2d

    Participants chose the risky option (lottery) more often in the Solo than the Social condition in Study 1 (t(4796) = 2.54, p = 0.011, β = 0.164) but not in Study 2 (t(3829) = 0.23, p = 0.82, β = 0.015).

    empirical fig2a,fig2d

  50. Participants' own reward prediction errors (sRPE) influenced happiness more than the partner's reward prediction errors (social_pRPE and partner_pRPE) (Study 1: all Z > 6.0, p < 0.001; Study 2: all Z > 3.7, p < 0.003).

    empirical —

    Participants' own reward prediction errors (sRPE) influenced happiness more than the partner's reward prediction errors (social_pRPE and partner_pRPE) (Study 1: all Z > 6.0, p < 0.001; Study 2: all Z > 3.7, p < 0.003).

    empirical —

  51. Participants' probability of choosing the risky option (lottery) increased with the difference between the expected value of the lottery and the value of the safe option (Study 1: t(4796) = 9.26, p < 3.1e–20, β = 0.074; Study 2: t(3829) = 10.62, p < 5.3e–26, β = 0.093).

    control fig2a,fig2d

    Participants' probability of choosing the risky option (lottery) increased with the difference between the expected value of the lottery and the value of the safe option (Study 1: t(4796) = 9.26, p < 3.1e–20, β = 0.074; Study 2: t(3829) = 10.62, p < 5.3e–26, β = 0.093).

    control fig2a,fig2d

  52. Participants showed very similar risk preferences whether deciding only for themselves (Solo) or for themselves and their partner (Social), with only a tendency toward higher risk aversion in the Social condition in Study 1.

    synthesis —

    Participants showed very similar risk preferences whether deciding only for themselves (Solo) or for themselves and their partner (Social), with only a tendency toward higher risk aversion in the Social condition in Study 1.

    synthesis —

  53. Participants were slightly more risk averse (higher ρ) in the Social than the Solo condition in Study 1 (t(39) = 2.27, p = 0.03, d = 0.36, BF10 = 1.69) but not in Study 2 (t(43) = 1.40, p = 0.17, d = 0.21, BF10 = 0.41).

    empirical fig2c,fig2f

    Participants were slightly more risk averse (higher ρ) in the Social than the Solo condition in Study 1 (t(39) = 2.27, p = 0.03, d = 0.36, BF10 = 1.69) but not in Study 2 (t(43) = 1.40, p = 0.17, d = 0.21, BF10 = 0.41).

    empirical fig2c,fig2f

  54. The partner's reward prediction errors resulting from the participants' own choices (social_pRPE) had weights greater than 0 (Responsibility model: Study 1: Z = 2.85, p = 0.004; Study 2: Z = 3.26, p = 0.001), contributing to explaining participants' momentary happiness.

    empirical —

    The partner's reward prediction errors resulting from the participants' own choices (social_pRPE) had weights greater than 0 (Responsibility model: Study 1: Z = 2.85, p = 0.004; Study 2: Z = 3.26, p = 0.001), contributing to explaining participants' momentary happiness.

    empirical —

  55. A pre-task icebreaker succeeded in establishing a positive attitude toward the partner: participants rated their partners highly (all above 8 on a 1–10 scale) on sympathy, cooperativity, honesty, openness, and sociability in both studies.

    control app1table11

    A pre-task icebreaker succeeded in establishing a positive attitude toward the partner: participants rated their partners highly (all above 8 on a 1–10 scale) on sympathy, cooperativity, honesty, openness, and sociability in both studies.

    control app1table11

  56. Prior functional connectivity work has shown network differences between social and self-only choices, midbrain–anterior cingulate interactions during guilt compensation, and links between insula connectivity and responsibility aversion.

    literature-context —

    Prior functional connectivity work has shown network differences between social and self-only choices, midbrain–anterior cingulate interactions during guilt compensation, and links between insula connectivity and responsibility aversion.

    literature-context —

  57. Prior literature documents an association between the anterior insula and guilt.

    literature-context —

    Prior literature documents an association between the anterior insula and guilt.

    literature-context —

  58. Responsibility for choices did not influence happiness following positive (high) lottery outcomes for the partner (both studies, all |t| < 1.3, p > 0.2, BF10 < 0.2).

    control —

    Responsibility for choices did not influence happiness following positive (high) lottery outcomes for the partner (both studies, all |t| < 1.3, p > 0.2, BF10 < 0.2).

    control —

  59. The Responsibility model yielded higher R² values than all other models (Study 1: all t > 3.6, p < 0.007; Study 2: all t > 2.9, p < 0.034), except the Guilt-envy model in Study 1 (t = 2.19, p = 0.17).

    empirical table1

    The Responsibility model yielded higher R² values than all other models (Study 1: all t > 3.6, p < 0.007; Study 2: all t > 2.9, p < 0.034), except the Guilt-envy model in Study 1 (t = 2.19, p = 0.17).

    empirical table1

  60. If responsibility for outcomes generates guilt, then participant happiness should decrease more after low lottery outcomes for the partner when the participant rather than the partner chose the lottery.

    prediction —

    If responsibility for outcomes generates guilt, then participant happiness should decrease more after low lottery outcomes for the partner when the participant rather than the partner chose the lottery.

    prediction —

  61. If responsibility for the partner's outcomes influences the participant's momentary happiness, then a computational model that includes the partner's reward prediction errors arising from the participant's own choices (social_pRPE) should explain the happiness data better than models omitting them, and social_pRPE weights should be reliably greater than zero.

    prediction —

    If responsibility for the partner's outcomes influences the participant's momentary happiness, then a computational model that includes the partner's reward prediction errors arising from the participant's own choices (social_pRPE) should explain the happiness data better than models omitting them, and social_pRPE weights should be reliably greater than zero.

    prediction —

  62. The Responsibility Redux model — incorporating expected, previous and current rewards, reward prediction errors for both participant and partner, and decision-maker — predicted the variations in participants' momentary happiness well.

    empirical fig3c,fig3g

    The Responsibility Redux model — incorporating expected, previous and current rewards, reward prediction errors for both participant and partner, and decision-maker — predicted the variations in participants' momentary happiness well.

    empirical fig3c,fig3g

  63. Responsibility for a social choice that yields a low outcome for a partner produces interpersonal guilt, experienced by the decision-maker as a larger decrease in momentary happiness than when the partner made the same choice.

    hypothesis —

    Responsibility for a social choice that yields a low outcome for a partner produces interpersonal guilt, experienced by the decision-maker as a larger decrease in momentary happiness than when the partner made the same choice.

    hypothesis —

  64. The risk-aversion parameter ρ did not differ between gain and loss trials (Study 1: t(17) = 0.21, p = 0.84, d = 0.05; Study 2: t(15) = –0.61, p = 0.55, d = 0.15), justifying pooling across gain and loss trials.

    control —

    The risk-aversion parameter ρ did not differ between gain and loss trials (Study 1: t(17) = 0.21, p = 0.84, d = 0.05; Study 2: t(15) = –0.61, p = 0.55, d = 0.15), justifying pooling across gain and loss trials.

    control —

  65. Risk premiums did not differ between Solo and Social conditions in either study (Study 1: t(39) = 1.53, p = 0.134, d = 0.24, BF10 = 0.49; Study 2: t(43) = –0.21, p = 0.84, d = –0.03, BF10 = 0.17).

    control fig2b,fig2e

    Risk premiums did not differ between Solo and Social conditions in either study (Study 1: t(39) = 1.53, p = 0.134, d = 0.24, BF10 = 0.49; Study 2: t(43) = –0.21, p = 0.84, d = –0.03, BF10 = 0.17).

    control fig2b,fig2e

  66. Rutledge and colleagues established that changes in momentary happiness during a probabilistic reward task are explained by recent reward expectations and the prediction errors arising from them.

    literature-context —

    Rutledge and colleagues established that changes in momentary happiness during a probabilistic reward task are explained by recent reward expectations and the prediction errors arising from them.

    literature-context —

  67. Study 2 reproduced the Study 1 design inside the fMRI scanner with identical parameters except for longer inter-stimulus intervals (3–11 s) and partners who were experimenters positioned outside the scanner.

    scope —

    Study 2 reproduced the Study 1 design inside the fMRI scanner with identical parameters except for longer inter-stimulus intervals (3–11 s) and partners who were experimenters positioned outside the scanner.

    scope —

  68. When the partner received the low lottery outcome, participant happiness was lower when the participant rather than the partner had chosen the lottery — a significant partner-outcome × decision-maker interaction (Study 1: t(1180) = 3.52, p = 0.0004, β = 0.37; Study 2: t(937) = 2.85, p = 0.0045, β = 0.33) — operationalizing interpersonal guilt.

    empirical fig3d,fig3h

    When the partner received the low lottery outcome, participant happiness was lower when the participant rather than the partner had chosen the lottery — a significant partner-outcome × decision-maker interaction (Study 1: t(1180) = 3.52, p = 0.0004, β = 0.37; Study 2: t(937) = 2.85, p = 0.0045, β = 0.33) — operationalizing interpersonal guilt.

    empirical fig3d,fig3h

Only in v3 dropped

  1. A smaller left IFG cluster showed the same insula-seeded connectivity effect — highest when participants made Risky choices for themselves and Safe choices for both players — but did not survive correction for multiple tests (p uncorrected = 0.001, T = 4.08, Z = 3.97, 38 voxels, peak MNI [−38 –2 26]).

    empirical
  2. During the decision phase, the Risky–Safe BOLD response difference was greater in the Social than the Partner condition in the precuneus (0.39***), mPFC (0.23***), and left TPJ (0.07**), and smaller in the left ventral striatum (–0.07***).

    empirical
  3. During the decision phase, the Risky–Safe BOLD response difference was greater in the Social than the Solo condition in the precuneus (0.30***) and left TPJ (0.24***), and smaller in the left ventral striatum (–0.47***) and mPFC (–0.10***).

    empirical

Only in v8 added

Nothing — v8 added no claim.

v2 → v8 comparison

Aligned by the claim text — exact wording first, then a token overlap — because two versions share no slugs. 68 matched; 6 only in v2; 0 only in v8. v2 runs/gadeke-2026-guilt-insula/claim-tree.v2 · 74 claims · v8 claims/gadeke-2026-guilt-insula · 68 claims

Matched

  1. The happiness cost observed in the Social condition is general agency aversion — the unpleasantness of being the decision-maker as such — and is not contingent on responsibility for a negative outcome befalling the partner.

    hypothesis —

    The happiness cost observed in the Social condition is general agency aversion — the unpleasantness of being the decision-maker as such — and is not contingent on responsibility for a negative outcome befalling the partner.

    hypothesis —

  2. The happiness decrease following negative partner outcomes under participant choice is driven by the participant's own lottery outcome rather than by the partner's, and so reflects self-directed disappointment rather than interpersonal guilt.

    hypothesis —

    The happiness decrease following negative partner outcomes under participant choice is driven by the participant's own lottery outcome rather than by the partner's, and so reflects self-directed disappointment rather than interpersonal guilt.

    hypothesis —

  3. The imaging pipeline and condition contrasts do not recover established effects, so differences reported between Social and Partner conditions cannot be attributed to the experimental manipulation.

    hypothesis —

    The imaging pipeline and condition contrasts do not recover established effects, so differences reported between Social and Partner conditions cannot be attributed to the experimental manipulation.

    hypothesis —

  4. The model-based fMRI approach does not recover known neural signals, so parametric modulators derived from the computational model — including the partner reward prediction error regressors — cannot be trusted.

    hypothesis —

    The model-based fMRI approach does not recover known neural signals, so parametric modulators derived from the computational model — including the partner reward prediction error regressors — cannot be trusted.

    hypothesis —

  5. Participants did not engage with the lottery task in a value-sensitive way — choices were inattentive or random — so the behavioural measures carry no information about preference or affect.

    hypothesis —

    Participants did not engage with the lottery task in a value-sensitive way — choices were inattentive or random — so the behavioural measures carry no information about preference or affect.

    hypothesis —

  6. The happiness and choice differences between Social and Partner conditions reflect a social-context-driven shift in risk attitude — participants become more or less risk averse when choosing on another person's behalf — rather than responsibility-contingent interpersonal guilt.

    hypothesis —

    The happiness and choice differences between Social and Partner conditions reflect a social-context-driven shift in risk attitude — participants become more or less risk averse when choosing on another person's behalf — rather than responsibility-contingent interpersonal guilt.

    hypothesis —

  7. Among the computational models fitted to momentary happiness data, the Responsibility Redux model achieved the best (lowest) AIC in both studies (Study 1 AIC –1499; Study 2 AIC –1195).

    methodological table1

    Among the computational models fitted to momentary happiness data, the Responsibility Redux model achieved the best (lowest) AIC in both studies (Study 1 AIC –1499; Study 2 AIC –1195).

    methodological table1

  8. The anterior insula is the neural substrate of the guilt effect, increasing its BOLD response when participants are responsible for low outcomes affecting their partner.

    hypothesis —

    The anterior insula is the neural substrate of the guilt effect, increasing its BOLD response when participants are responsible for low outcomes affecting their partner.

    hypothesis —

  9. If the anterior insula tracks guilt, then insula BOLD should be higher in the Social than the Partner condition and show a significant Social-by-low-outcome interaction.

    prediction —

    If the anterior insula tracks guilt, then insula BOLD should be higher in the Social than the Partner condition and show a significant Social-by-low-outcome interaction.

    prediction —

  10. The authors suggest this left STS region tracks a partner's unexpected outcomes less when they do not follow from the participant's decisions.

    interpretation —

    The authors suggest this left STS region tracks a partner's unexpected outcomes less when they do not follow from the participant's decisions.

    interpretation —

  11. The behavioural guilt effect (larger happiness decrease after low partner outcomes following participant rather than partner choices) is compatible with 'simple guilt'.

    interpretation —

    The behavioural guilt effect (larger happiness decrease after low partner outcomes following participant rather than partner choices) is compatible with 'simple guilt'.

    interpretation —

  12. The bilateral ventral striatum was more active when participants chose the risky rather than the safe option (Cohen's d = 0.72 left, 0.85 right), irrespective of Social or Solo condition, replicating previous findings.

    control fig4a

    The bilateral ventral striatum was more active when participants chose the risky rather than the safe option (Cohen's d = 0.72 left, 0.85 right), irrespective of Social or Solo condition, replicating previous findings.

    control fig4a

  13. In both studies, participants felt worse after low lottery outcomes for the partner when those outcomes followed their own choice rather than the partner's, which the authors interpret as interpersonal guilt.

    synthesis —

    In both studies, participants felt worse after low lottery outcomes for the partner when those outcomes followed their own choice rather than the partner's, which the authors interpret as interpersonal guilt.

    synthesis —

  14. If connectivity between the guilt- and responsibility-related outcome-phase regions (left insula, left STS) and prefrontal cortex depends on whether participants decide for themselves alone or also for their partner and on the type of choice, then a seed-to-voxel psychophysiological-interaction analysis seeded in these regions should reveal prefrontal clusters showing a significant Condition-by-Choice interaction.

    prediction —

    If connectivity between the guilt- and responsibility-related outcome-phase regions (left insula, left STS) and prefrontal cortex depends on whether participants decide for themselves alone or also for their partner and on the type of choice, then a seed-to-voxel psychophysiological-interaction analysis seeded in these regions should reveal prefrontal clusters showing a significant Condition-by-Choice interaction.

    prediction —

  15. Connectivity between the left anterior insula and the right inferior frontal gyrus varied with choice and condition, suggesting this prefrontal region is sensitive to guilt-related information during social choices.

    interpretation —

    Connectivity between the left anterior insula and the right inferior frontal gyrus varied with choice and condition, suggesting this prefrontal region is sensitive to guilt-related information during social choices.

    interpretation —

  16. Decisions in the Social compared with the Solo condition engaged three clusters — the precuneus (d = 0.79), left temporo-parietal junction (d = 0.59), and medial prefrontal cortex (d = 0.54).

    empirical fig4b

    Decisions in the Social compared with the Solo condition engaged three clusters — the precuneus (d = 0.79), left temporo-parietal junction (d = 0.59), and medial prefrontal cortex (d = 0.54).

    empirical fig4b

  17. The difference in response between low and high lottery outcomes was greater in the Social than the Partner condition in left insula (0.44***), right insula (0.19***), and right middle temporal cortex (0.67***).

    empirical app1table10

    The difference in response between low and high lottery outcomes was greater in the Social than the Partner condition in left insula (0.44***), right insula (0.19***), and right middle temporal cortex (0.67***).

    empirical app1table10

  18. Dot products between individual neural guilt responses and the Yu et al. (2020) guilt-related brain signature (GRBS) were overall positive (mean = 5.22, median = 6.97, sign test p = 0.017, Cliff's Delta = 0.4), providing convergent validity with a previously published neural guilt signature.

    control —

    Dot products between individual neural guilt responses and the Yu et al. (2020) guilt-related brain signature (GRBS) were overall positive (mean = 5.22, median = 6.97, sign test p = 0.017, Cliff's Delta = 0.4), providing convergent validity with a previously published neural guilt signature.

    control —

  19. During the outcome phase, responses to low lottery outcomes were higher in the Social than the Partner condition in both left and right insula (InsulaL 0.41***, InsulaR 0.18***) and lower in the right middle temporal cortex (–0.12**).

    empirical app1table9

    During the outcome phase, responses to low lottery outcomes were higher in the Social than the Partner condition in both left and right insula (InsulaL 0.41***, InsulaR 0.18***) and lower in the right middle temporal cortex (–0.12**).

    empirical app1table9

  20. During receipt of lottery versus safe outcomes (across all conditions), clusters were more active in the bilateral anterior insula, dmPFC, right STS, bilateral ventral striatum, right dorsolateral prefrontal cortex, and bilateral inferior parietal lobe.

    empirical fig4d

    During receipt of lottery versus safe outcomes (across all conditions), clusters were more active in the bilateral anterior insula, dmPFC, right STS, bilateral ventral striatum, right dorsolateral prefrontal cortex, and bilateral inferior parietal lobe.

    empirical fig4d

  21. On each trial participants chose between a safe and a risky monetary option under three conditions: choosing for oneself (Solo), for oneself and the partner (Social), and having the partner choose for both (Partner).

    scope —

    On each trial participants chose between a safe and a risky monetary option under three conditions: choosing for oneself (Solo), for oneself and the partner (Social), and having the partner choose for both (Partner).

    scope —

  22. The findings rest on two samples of healthy adults — Study 1 (behaviour only, N = 40) and Study 2 (fMRI, N = 44); all BOLD/fMRI results derive from Study 2, while the behavioural results come from both studies.

    scope —

    The findings rest on two samples of healthy adults — Study 1 (behaviour only, N = 40) and Study 2 (fMRI, N = 44); all BOLD/fMRI results derive from Study 2, while the behavioural results come from both studies.

    scope —

  23. Functional connectivity between guilt- and responsibility-related outcome-phase regions and prefrontal cortex changes depending on whether participants decide for themselves alone or also for their partner, and on the type of choice (Safe or Risky).

    hypothesis —

    Functional connectivity between guilt- and responsibility-related outcome-phase regions and prefrontal cortex changes depending on whether participants decide for themselves alone or also for their partner, and on the type of choice (Safe or Risky).

    hypothesis —

  24. Functional connectivity between the left anterior insula (seed) and a cluster in the right inferior frontal gyrus varied with condition and choice, being highest when participants made Risky choices for themselves and Safe choices for both players (pFWE = 0.020, T = 4.34, d = 0.80, 115 voxels, peak MNI [46 16 22]).

    empirical fig5

    Functional connectivity between the left anterior insula (seed) and a cluster in the right inferior frontal gyrus varied with condition and choice, being highest when participants made Risky choices for themselves and Safe choices for both players (pFWE = 0.020, T = 4.34, d = 0.80, 115 voxels, peak MNI [46 16 22]).

    empirical fig5

  25. The guilt effect occurred whether the participant received the high lottery outcome (Study 1: t(39) = –3.58, p < 0.001, d = 0.56; Study 2: t(43) = –2.68, p = 0.01, d = 0.4) or the low outcome (Study 1: t(39) = –3.39, p = 0.002, d = 0.54; Study 2: t(43) = –3.58, p < 0.001, d = 0.54).

    control —

    The guilt effect occurred whether the participant received the high lottery outcome (Study 1: t(39) = –3.58, p < 0.001, d = 0.56; Study 2: t(43) = –2.68, p = 0.01, d = 0.4) or the low outcome (Study 1: t(39) = –3.39, p = 0.002, d = 0.54; Study 2: t(43) = –3.58, p < 0.001, d = 0.54).

    control —

  26. To hold the partner's behaviour constant across participants, the partner's decisions were simulated by an algorithm that always selected the option with the highest expected value.

    methodological —

    To hold the partner's behaviour constant across participants, the partner's decisions were simulated by an algorithm that always selected the option with the highest expected value.

    methodological —

  27. Individual GRBS dot-product values did not correlate with the behavioural guilt responses (Spearman's Rho = –0.058, p = 0.725), indicating the neural signature does not track individual differences in behavioural guilt sensitivity.

    control —

    Individual GRBS dot-product values did not correlate with the behavioural guilt responses (Spearman's Rho = –0.058, p = 0.725), indicating the neural signature does not track individual differences in behavioural guilt sensitivity.

    control —

  28. The insula ROIs responded more to low lottery outcomes for the partner in the Social than the Partner condition — even after subtracting responses to high outcomes — mirroring the behavioural guilt effect.

    empirical fig4e

    The insula ROIs responded more to low lottery outcomes for the partner in the Social than the Partner condition — even after subtracting responses to high outcomes — mirroring the behavioural guilt effect.

    empirical fig4e

  29. A left IFG cluster showed the opposite pattern of connectivity with the left STS seed — highest for Safe-self / Risky-both-players choices — but did not survive correction for multiple comparisons (p uncorrected = 0.001, T = 4.44, 35 voxels, peak MNI [–48 14 6]).

    empirical fig5s1

    A left IFG cluster showed the opposite pattern of connectivity with the left STS seed — highest for Safe-self / Risky-both-players choices — but did not survive correction for multiple comparisons (p uncorrected = 0.001, T = 4.44, 35 voxels, peak MNI [–48 14 6]).

    empirical fig5s1

  30. The left superior temporal sulcus cluster responded to model-based regressors coding participant reward prediction resulting from participant and partner choices across both sessions of the experiment.

    empirical fig4i

    The left superior temporal sulcus cluster responded to model-based regressors coding participant reward prediction resulting from participant and partner choices across both sessions of the experiment.

    empirical fig4i

  31. A likelihood ratio test showed the Responsibility model fitted the happiness data better than all other models, including the Responsibility Redux model (Study 1: all LR ≥ 47.36, p < 0.0001; Study 2: all LR ≥ 77.83, p < 0.0001).

    empirical table1

    A likelihood ratio test showed the Responsibility model fitted the happiness data better than all other models, including the Responsibility Redux model (Study 1: all LR ≥ 47.36, p < 0.0001; Study 2: all LR ≥ 77.83, p < 0.0001).

    empirical table1

  32. The linear mixed model containing all three two-way interaction terms (Model 5, Equation 10) explained the happiness data significantly better than simpler models without interactions (p < 2e−5) and no worse than the model with all interactions (p > 0.5), warranting reporting the crucial partnerHigh:participantDecided (guilt) interaction from it.

    methodological app1table2

    The linear mixed model containing all three two-way interaction terms (Model 5, Equation 10) explained the happiness data significantly better than simpler models without interactions (p < 2e−5) and no worse than the model with all interactions (p > 0.5), warranting reporting the crucial partnerHigh:participantDecided (guilt) interaction from it.

    methodological app1table2

  33. The lower happiness when the participant is the decision-maker may reflect responsibility aversion — a cost of the 'weight of the responsibility'.

    interpretation —

    The lower happiness when the participant is the decision-maker may reflect responsibility aversion — a cost of the 'weight of the responsibility'.

    interpretation —

  34. As a manipulation check, bilateral ventral striatum activation increased with expected certain rewards and the expected values of chosen lotteries, explained by a model-based regressor coding participant rewards (left: pFWE = 0.002, T = 5.63, d = 0.75; right: pFWE = 0.005, T = 5.46, d = 0.70).

    control fig4g

    As a manipulation check, bilateral ventral striatum activation increased with expected certain rewards and the expected values of chosen lotteries, explained by a model-based regressor coding participant rewards (left: pFWE = 0.002, T = 5.63, d = 0.75; right: pFWE = 0.005, T = 5.46, d = 0.70).

    control fig4g

  35. A mass-univariate voxel-wise analysis found a small left anterior insula cluster (peak T = 3.95, d = 0.59, 22 voxels) responding more to low partner outcomes following participant than partner choices, which survived small-volume family-wise-error correction (p = 0.024).

    empirical fig4f

    A mass-univariate voxel-wise analysis found a small left anterior insula cluster (peak T = 3.95, d = 0.59, 22 voxels) responding more to low partner outcomes following participant than partner choices, which survived small-volume family-wise-error correction (p = 0.024).

    empirical fig4f

  36. In mixed-effects regressions on choices, the Social condition significantly increased choice of the risky option in Study 1 but not in Study 2.

    empirical app1table1

    In mixed-effects regressions on choices, the Social condition significantly increased choice of the risky option in Study 1 but not in Study 2.

    empirical app1table1

  37. A model-based GLM (GLM2) entered the best-fitting computational (Responsibility) model's variables — certain rewards (CR), expected value (EV), participant RPE (sRPE), and partner RPE from participant choices (social_pRPE) and from partner choices (partner_pRPE) — as regressors to locate brain regions reflecting them.

    methodological —

    A model-based GLM (GLM2) entered the best-fitting computational (Responsibility) model's variables — certain rewards (CR), expected value (EV), participant RPE (sRPE), and partner RPE from participant choices (social_pRPE) and from partner choices (partner_pRPE) — as regressors to locate brain regions reflecting them.

    methodological —

  38. Model selection among the happiness models used likelihood-ratio tests comparing the Responsibility model pairwise against each other model, supplementing the AIC, BIC, R² and adjusted R² values.

    methodological —

    Model selection among the happiness models used likelihood-ratio tests comparing the Responsibility model pairwise against each other model, supplementing the AIC, BIC, R² and adjusted R² values.

    methodological —

  39. Momentary happiness was modelled with five computational models (Basic, Inequality, Guilt-envy, Responsibility, and Responsibility Redux) sharing separate, exponentially decaying terms for certain rewards, expected value, and reward prediction errors.

    methodological —

    Momentary happiness was modelled with five computational models (Basic, Inequality, Guilt-envy, Responsibility, and Responsibility Redux) sharing separate, exponentially decaying terms for certain rewards, expected value, and reward prediction errors.

    methodological —

  40. If a neural substrate tracks the participant's responsibility for the partner's outcomes, then within regions sensitive to the outcomes of risky choices, BOLD should respond more strongly to the partner's reward prediction errors resulting from the participant's own choices than from the partner's choices.

    prediction —

    If a neural substrate tracks the participant's responsibility for the partner's outcomes, then within regions sensitive to the outcomes of risky choices, BOLD should respond more strongly to the partner's reward prediction errors resulting from the participant's own choices than from the partner's choices.

    prediction —

  41. A neural substrate tracks the participant's responsibility for the partner's outcomes: within regions sensitive to choice outcomes, the partner's reward prediction errors are represented more strongly when they arise from the participant's own choice than from the partner's choice.

    hypothesis —

    A neural substrate tracks the participant's responsibility for the partner's outcomes: within regions sensitive to choice outcomes, the partner's reward prediction errors are represented more strongly when they arise from the participant's own choice than from the partner's choice.

    hypothesis —

  42. There was no significant interaction between the difference in expected values and experimental conditions in either study (p > 0.52).

    control —

    There was no significant interaction between the difference in expected values and experimental conditions in either study (p > 0.52).

    control —

  43. One cluster in the left STS responded more to partner reward prediction errors resulting from participant rather than partner choices (pFWE = 0.022, T = 4.70, d = 0.53, 100 voxels, peak MNI [−52 –32 0]).

    empirical fig4h

    One cluster in the left STS responded more to partner reward prediction errors resulting from participant rather than partner choices (pFWE = 0.022, T = 4.70, d = 0.53, 100 voxels, peak MNI [−52 –32 0]).

    empirical fig4h

  44. Only the precuneus and TPJ showed positive Risky–Safe differences in both the Social>Solo and Social>Partner comparisons, being most active when participants chose the lottery in the Social condition.

    empirical fig4c

    Only the precuneus and TPJ showed positive Risky–Safe differences in both the Social>Solo and Social>Partner comparisons, being most active when participants chose the lottery in the Social condition.

    empirical fig4c

  45. A parameter-recovery procedure on synthetic data generated from each participant's estimated parameters showed the happiness-model parameters could be reliably recovered, verifying their stability.

    methodological fig3s1

    A parameter-recovery procedure on synthetic data generated from each participant's estimated parameters showed the happiness-model parameters could be reliably recovered, verifying their stability.

    methodological fig3s1

  46. Participant happiness was lower when the participant was the decision-maker (Social + Solo vs. Partner), independent of outcome (Study 1: t(3600) = –3.92, p < 0.0001, β = –0.14; Study 2: t(2870) = –6.07, p < 0.0001, β = –0.24).

    empirical —

    Participant happiness was lower when the participant was the decision-maker (Social + Solo vs. Partner), independent of outcome (Study 1: t(3600) = –3.92, p < 0.0001, β = –0.14; Study 2: t(2870) = –6.07, p < 0.0001, β = –0.24).

    empirical —

  47. Participant momentary happiness varied with the rewards the partner received in the current trial.

    empirical fig3b,fig3f

    Participant momentary happiness varied with the rewards the partner received in the current trial.

    empirical fig3b,fig3f

  48. Participant momentary happiness varied with the rewards the participant received in the current trial.

    empirical fig3a,fig3e

    Participant momentary happiness varied with the rewards the participant received in the current trial.

    empirical fig3a,fig3e

  49. Participants chose the risky option (lottery) more often in the Solo than the Social condition in Study 1 (t(4796) = 2.54, p = 0.011, β = 0.164) but not in Study 2 (t(3829) = 0.23, p = 0.82, β = 0.015).

    empirical fig2a,fig2d

    Participants chose the risky option (lottery) more often in the Solo than the Social condition in Study 1 (t(4796) = 2.54, p = 0.011, β = 0.164) but not in Study 2 (t(3829) = 0.23, p = 0.82, β = 0.015).

    empirical fig2a,fig2d

  50. Participants' own reward prediction errors (sRPE) influenced happiness more than the partner's reward prediction errors (social_pRPE and partner_pRPE) (Study 1: all Z > 6.0, p < 0.001; Study 2: all Z > 3.7, p < 0.003).

    empirical —

    Participants' own reward prediction errors (sRPE) influenced happiness more than the partner's reward prediction errors (social_pRPE and partner_pRPE) (Study 1: all Z > 6.0, p < 0.001; Study 2: all Z > 3.7, p < 0.003).

    empirical —

  51. Participants' probability of choosing the risky option (lottery) increased with the difference between the expected value of the lottery and the value of the safe option (Study 1: t(4796) = 9.26, p < 3.1e–20, β = 0.074; Study 2: t(3829) = 10.62, p < 5.3e–26, β = 0.093).

    control fig2a,fig2d

    Participants' probability of choosing the risky option (lottery) increased with the difference between the expected value of the lottery and the value of the safe option (Study 1: t(4796) = 9.26, p < 3.1e–20, β = 0.074; Study 2: t(3829) = 10.62, p < 5.3e–26, β = 0.093).

    control fig2a,fig2d

  52. Participants showed very similar risk preferences whether deciding only for themselves (Solo) or for themselves and their partner (Social), with only a tendency toward higher risk aversion in the Social condition in Study 1.

    synthesis —

    Participants showed very similar risk preferences whether deciding only for themselves (Solo) or for themselves and their partner (Social), with only a tendency toward higher risk aversion in the Social condition in Study 1.

    synthesis —

  53. Participants were slightly more risk averse (higher ρ) in the Social than the Solo condition in Study 1 (t(39) = 2.27, p = 0.03, d = 0.36, BF10 = 1.69) but not in Study 2 (t(43) = 1.40, p = 0.17, d = 0.21, BF10 = 0.41).

    empirical fig2c,fig2f

    Participants were slightly more risk averse (higher ρ) in the Social than the Solo condition in Study 1 (t(39) = 2.27, p = 0.03, d = 0.36, BF10 = 1.69) but not in Study 2 (t(43) = 1.40, p = 0.17, d = 0.21, BF10 = 0.41).

    empirical fig2c,fig2f

  54. The partner's reward prediction errors resulting from the participants' own choices (social_pRPE) had weights greater than 0 (Responsibility model: Study 1: Z = 2.85, p = 0.004; Study 2: Z = 3.26, p = 0.001), contributing to explaining participants' momentary happiness.

    empirical —

    The partner's reward prediction errors resulting from the participants' own choices (social_pRPE) had weights greater than 0 (Responsibility model: Study 1: Z = 2.85, p = 0.004; Study 2: Z = 3.26, p = 0.001), contributing to explaining participants' momentary happiness.

    empirical —

  55. A pre-task icebreaker succeeded in establishing a positive attitude toward the partner: participants rated their partners highly (all above 8 on a 1–10 scale) on sympathy, cooperativity, honesty, openness, and sociability in both studies.

    control app1table11

    A pre-task icebreaker succeeded in establishing a positive attitude toward the partner: participants rated their partners highly (all above 8 on a 1–10 scale) on sympathy, cooperativity, honesty, openness, and sociability in both studies.

    control app1table11

  56. Prior functional connectivity work has shown network differences between social and self-only choices, midbrain–anterior cingulate interactions during guilt compensation, and links between insula connectivity and responsibility aversion.

    literature-context —

    Prior functional connectivity work has shown network differences between social and self-only choices, midbrain–anterior cingulate interactions during guilt compensation, and links between insula connectivity and responsibility aversion.

    literature-context —

  57. Prior literature documents an association between the anterior insula and guilt.

    literature-context —

    Prior literature documents an association between the anterior insula and guilt.

    literature-context —

  58. Responsibility for choices did not influence happiness following positive (high) lottery outcomes for the partner (both studies, all |t| < 1.3, p > 0.2, BF10 < 0.2).

    control —

    Responsibility for choices did not influence happiness following positive (high) lottery outcomes for the partner (both studies, all |t| < 1.3, p > 0.2, BF10 < 0.2).

    control —

  59. The Responsibility model yielded higher R² values than all other models (Study 1: all t > 3.6, p < 0.007; Study 2: all t > 2.9, p < 0.034), except the Guilt-envy model in Study 1 (t = 2.19, p = 0.17).

    empirical table1

    The Responsibility model yielded higher R² values than all other models (Study 1: all t > 3.6, p < 0.007; Study 2: all t > 2.9, p < 0.034), except the Guilt-envy model in Study 1 (t = 2.19, p = 0.17).

    empirical table1

  60. If responsibility for outcomes generates guilt, then participant happiness should decrease more after low lottery outcomes for the partner when the participant rather than the partner chose the lottery.

    prediction —

    If responsibility for outcomes generates guilt, then participant happiness should decrease more after low lottery outcomes for the partner when the participant rather than the partner chose the lottery.

    prediction —

  61. If responsibility for the partner's outcomes influences the participant's momentary happiness, then a computational model that includes the partner's reward prediction errors arising from the participant's own choices (social_pRPE) should explain the happiness data better than models omitting them, and social_pRPE weights should be reliably greater than zero.

    prediction —

    If responsibility for the partner's outcomes influences the participant's momentary happiness, then a computational model that includes the partner's reward prediction errors arising from the participant's own choices (social_pRPE) should explain the happiness data better than models omitting them, and social_pRPE weights should be reliably greater than zero.

    prediction —

  62. The Responsibility Redux model — incorporating expected, previous and current rewards, reward prediction errors for both participant and partner, and decision-maker — predicted the variations in participants' momentary happiness well.

    empirical fig3c,fig3g

    The Responsibility Redux model — incorporating expected, previous and current rewards, reward prediction errors for both participant and partner, and decision-maker — predicted the variations in participants' momentary happiness well.

    empirical fig3c,fig3g

  63. Responsibility for a social choice that yields a low outcome for a partner produces interpersonal guilt, experienced by the decision-maker as a larger decrease in momentary happiness than when the partner made the same choice.

    hypothesis —

    Responsibility for a social choice that yields a low outcome for a partner produces interpersonal guilt, experienced by the decision-maker as a larger decrease in momentary happiness than when the partner made the same choice.

    hypothesis —

  64. The risk-aversion parameter ρ did not differ between gain and loss trials (Study 1: t(17) = 0.21, p = 0.84, d = 0.05; Study 2: t(15) = –0.61, p = 0.55, d = 0.15), justifying pooling across gain and loss trials.

    control —

    The risk-aversion parameter ρ did not differ between gain and loss trials (Study 1: t(17) = 0.21, p = 0.84, d = 0.05; Study 2: t(15) = –0.61, p = 0.55, d = 0.15), justifying pooling across gain and loss trials.

    control —

  65. Risk premiums did not differ between Solo and Social conditions in either study (Study 1: t(39) = 1.53, p = 0.134, d = 0.24, BF10 = 0.49; Study 2: t(43) = –0.21, p = 0.84, d = –0.03, BF10 = 0.17).

    control fig2b,fig2e

    Risk premiums did not differ between Solo and Social conditions in either study (Study 1: t(39) = 1.53, p = 0.134, d = 0.24, BF10 = 0.49; Study 2: t(43) = –0.21, p = 0.84, d = –0.03, BF10 = 0.17).

    control fig2b,fig2e

  66. Rutledge and colleagues established that changes in momentary happiness during a probabilistic reward task are explained by recent reward expectations and the prediction errors arising from them.

    literature-context —

    Rutledge and colleagues established that changes in momentary happiness during a probabilistic reward task are explained by recent reward expectations and the prediction errors arising from them.

    literature-context —

  67. Study 2 reproduced the Study 1 design inside the fMRI scanner with identical parameters except for longer inter-stimulus intervals (3–11 s) and partners who were experimenters positioned outside the scanner.

    scope —

    Study 2 reproduced the Study 1 design inside the fMRI scanner with identical parameters except for longer inter-stimulus intervals (3–11 s) and partners who were experimenters positioned outside the scanner.

    scope —

  68. When the partner received the low lottery outcome, participant happiness was lower when the participant rather than the partner had chosen the lottery — a significant partner-outcome × decision-maker interaction (Study 1: t(1180) = 3.52, p = 0.0004, β = 0.37; Study 2: t(937) = 2.85, p = 0.0045, β = 0.33) — operationalizing interpersonal guilt.

    empirical fig3d,fig3h

    When the partner received the low lottery outcome, participant happiness was lower when the participant rather than the partner had chosen the lottery — a significant partner-outcome × decision-maker interaction (Study 1: t(1180) = 3.52, p = 0.0004, β = 0.37; Study 2: t(937) = 2.85, p = 0.0045, β = 0.33) — operationalizing interpersonal guilt.

    empirical fig3d,fig3h

Only in v2 dropped

  1. All reported clusters survive a whole-brain family-wise-error-corrected threshold of p < 0.05 with a cluster-forming voxel-wise threshold of p < 0.001 (or a smaller volume where explicitly mentioned).

    methodological
  2. The fMRI data of four Study 2 participants were excluded from the fMRI analysis for excessive head motion (>3 mm or >3°).

    scope
  3. Happiness ratings were Z-scored per participant to remove the influence of differing rating variability across participants.

    methodological
  4. Risk attitude was quantified as a risk premium — the EVdiff value yielding 50% risky choices from a fitted logistic regression — and compared between Solo and Social conditions with paired t-tests in both studies.

    methodological
  5. The Study 2 sample size of 44 was fixed a priori by a G*Power analysis based on Study 1's effect size (Cohen's d = 0.56), with alpha = 0.05 and power = 0.95.

    methodological
  6. Two gPPI seed-to-voxel connectivity analyses used functionally defined seeds: the left insula cluster more sensitive to Risky versus Safe outcomes (GLM3) and the left STS cluster responding more to social_pRPE than partner_pRPE (GLM4), with identical seeds across participants.

    methodological

Only in v8 added

Nothing — v8 added no claim.

v1 → v8 comparison

Aligned by the claim text — exact wording first, then a token overlap — because two versions share no slugs. 13 matched, 5 with a role or panel that changed; 15 only in v1; 55 only in v8. v1 runs/gadeke-2026-guilt-insula/claim-tree.v1 · 28 claims · v8 claims/gadeke-2026-guilt-insula · 68 claims

Matched

  1. The happiness cost observed in the Social condition is general agency aversion — the unpleasantness of being the decision-maker as such — and is not contingent on responsibility for a negative outcome befalling the partner.

    hypothesis —

    The happiness cost observed in the Social condition is general agency aversion — the unpleasantness of being the decision-maker as such — and is not contingent on responsibility for a negative outcome befalling the partner.

    hypothesis —

  2. The happiness decrease following negative partner outcomes under participant choice is driven by the participant's own lottery outcome rather than by the partner's, and so reflects self-directed disappointment rather than interpersonal guilt.

    hypothesis —

    The happiness decrease following negative partner outcomes under participant choice is driven by the participant's own lottery outcome rather than by the partner's, and so reflects self-directed disappointment rather than interpersonal guilt.

    hypothesis —

  3. The imaging pipeline and condition contrasts do not recover established effects, so differences reported between Social and Partner conditions cannot be attributed to the experimental manipulation.

    hypothesis —

    The imaging pipeline and condition contrasts do not recover established effects, so differences reported between Social and Partner conditions cannot be attributed to the experimental manipulation.

    hypothesis —

  4. The model-based fMRI approach does not recover known neural signals, so parametric modulators derived from the computational model — including the partner reward prediction error regressors — cannot be trusted.

    hypothesis —

    The model-based fMRI approach does not recover known neural signals, so parametric modulators derived from the computational model — including the partner reward prediction error regressors — cannot be trusted.

    hypothesis —

  5. Participants did not engage with the lottery task in a value-sensitive way — choices were inattentive or random — so the behavioural measures carry no information about preference or affect.

    hypothesis —

    Participants did not engage with the lottery task in a value-sensitive way — choices were inattentive or random — so the behavioural measures carry no information about preference or affect.

    hypothesis —

  6. The happiness and choice differences between Social and Partner conditions reflect a social-context-driven shift in risk attitude — participants become more or less risk averse when choosing on another person's behalf — rather than responsibility-contingent interpersonal guilt.

    hypothesis —

    The happiness and choice differences between Social and Partner conditions reflect a social-context-driven shift in risk attitude — participants become more or less risk averse when choosing on another person's behalf — rather than responsibility-contingent interpersonal guilt.

    hypothesis —

  7. Risk premiums do not differ between Solo and Social conditions in either study (Study 1: t(39)=1.53, p=0.134, Cohen's d=0.24, BF10=0.49; Study 2: t(43)=−0.21, p=0.84, d=−0.03, BF10=0.17), providing evidence against social-context-driven changes in risk aversion in this paradigm.

    control fig2b, fig2e

    Risk premiums did not differ between Solo and Social conditions in either study (Study 1: t(39) = 1.53, p = 0.134, d = 0.24, BF10 = 0.49; Study 2: t(43) = –0.21, p = 0.84, d = –0.03, BF10 = 0.17).

    control fig2b,fig2e ~0.69

  8. Individual dot-product values between participants' guilt-related BOLD responses and the Yu & Koban neural guilt signature do not correlate with individual behavioral guilt effect scores (Spearman's Rho=−0.058, p=0.725), indicating the neural signature does not track individual differences in guilt sensitivity as measured behaviorally.

    empirical fig4 (supplement, text)

    Individual GRBS dot-product values did not correlate with the behavioural guilt responses (Spearman's Rho = –0.058, p = 0.725), indicating the neural signature does not track individual differences in behavioural guilt sensitivity.

    control — ~0.60

  9. Bilateral ventral striatum shows greater BOLD response when participants choose the risky (lottery) rather than safe option, irrespective of Social or Solo condition (left cluster: Cohen's d=0.72; right cluster: d=0.85), replicating established striatal responses to risky decision-making.

    control fig4a

    The bilateral ventral striatum was more active when participants chose the risky rather than the safe option (Cohen's d = 0.72 left, 0.85 right), irrespective of Social or Solo condition, replicating previous findings.

    control fig4a ~0.58

  10. The guilt effect (happiness decrease after low partner outcomes under participant vs partner choice) is present regardless of whether the participant received the high or low lottery outcome: high own outcome: Study 1 t(39)=−3.58, p<0.001, d=0.56, BF10=32; Study 2 t(43)=−2.68, p=0.01, d=0.40, BF10=3.8; low own outcome: Study 1 t(39)=−3.39, p=0.002, d=0.54, BF10=19; Study 2 t(43)=−3.58, p<0.001, d=0.54, BF10=33.5.

    control fig3d, fig3h

    The guilt effect occurred whether the participant received the high lottery outcome (Study 1: t(39) = –3.58, p < 0.001, d = 0.56; Study 2: t(43) = –2.68, p = 0.01, d = 0.4) or the low outcome (Study 1: t(39) = –3.39, p = 0.002, d = 0.54; Study 2: t(43) = –3.58, p < 0.001, d = 0.54).

    control — ~0.56

  11. Bilateral ventral striatum activation increases with the computational model's expected certain rewards and expected values of chosen lotteries (left: pFWE=0.002, T=5.63, d=0.75, Z=5.41, 110 voxels, MNI [−14 8 −8]; right: pFWE=0.005, T=5.46, d=0.70, Z=5.26, 80 voxels, MNI [10 10 −4]), validating the model-based fMRI approach as a manipulation check before the STS analysis.

    control fig4g

    As a manipulation check, bilateral ventral striatum activation increased with expected certain rewards and the expected values of chosen lotteries, explained by a model-based regressor coding participant rewards (left: pFWE = 0.002, T = 5.63, d = 0.75; right: pFWE = 0.005, T = 5.46, d = 0.70).

    control fig4g ~0.56

  12. Being the decision-maker (Social + Solo vs Partner condition) reduces participant happiness independently of outcome (Study 1: t(3600)=−3.92, p<0.0001, β=−0.14, 95%CI=[−0.20, −0.07]; Study 2: t(2870)=−6.07, p<0.0001, β=−0.24, 95%CI=[−0.31, −0.16]), consistent with a psychological cost of assuming responsibility for others.

    empirical fig3 (text, no dedicated panel)

    Participant happiness was lower when the participant was the decision-maker (Social + Solo vs. Partner), independent of outcome (Study 1: t(3600) = –3.92, p < 0.0001, β = –0.14; Study 2: t(2870) = –6.07, p < 0.0001, β = –0.24).

    empirical — ~0.55

  13. Participants chose lotteries more often in the Solo condition than in the Social condition in Study 1 (t(4796)=2.54, p=0.011, β=0.164, 95%CI=[0.038, 0.291]) but not in Study 2 (t(3829)=0.23, p=0.82, β=0.015), suggesting a weak and inconsistent effect of social context on risk-taking that does not replicate across studies.

    empirical fig2a (Study 1 only; null in fig2d Study 2)

    Participants chose the risky option (lottery) more often in the Solo than the Social condition in Study 1 (t(4796) = 2.54, p = 0.011, β = 0.164) but not in Study 2 (t(3829) = 0.23, p = 0.82, β = 0.015).

    empirical fig2a,fig2d ~0.53

Only in v1 dropped

  1. Participant momentary happiness correlates with both participant reward (Study 1: F(1,3598)=691.5, R²=0.16; Study 2: F(1,2630)=650.8, R²=0.20) and partner reward (Study 1: F(1,2426)=128.6, R²=0.05; Study 2: F(1,1735)=111.8, R²=0.06), confirming that participants were emotionally responsive to partner outcomes throughout the task.

    empirical
  2. Anterior insula is the neural substrate of interpersonal guilt: when a participant bears responsibility for a choice that yields a negative outcome for another person, anterior insula activity tracks the resulting responsibility-contingent affect. The region is recruited specifically by the conjunction of self-agency over the choice and harm to the partner, distinguishing guilt from generic empathy for partner loss (which would be present in the Partner condition too) and from regret about one's own loss (which would be present in Solo trials too).

    hypothesis
  3. Momentary happiness in social decision contexts is governed by a computational rule in which partner reward prediction errors that arise from the participant's own choices (social_pRPEs) carry an independent, non-zero weight, distinct from the weight on partner RPEs that arise without participant agency. Responsibility modulates how partner outcomes enter the happiness computation: participants internalize partner losses as affective costs specifically when those losses can be attributed to their own decision.

    hypothesis
  4. Superior temporal sulcus (STS) — a core mentalizing-network region — represents the partner's affective experience specifically when the participant is responsible for the partner's outcome. The mentalizing computation is conditioned on agency: STS does not track partner reward prediction errors uniformly, but rather engages selectively when the participant's own choice produced the partner's outcome, consistent with self-attributed responsibility recruiting other-modeling.

    hypothesis
  5. The anterior insula guilt effect is consistent with a previously published neural guilt signature map (Yu & Koban), providing convergent validity for the insula as a guilt-tracking region.

    interpretation
  6. Functional connectivity (gPPI) between anterior insula and inferior frontal gyrus varies by experimental condition, with increased coupling in the Social condition associated with the guilt effect.

    empirical
  7. Yu and Koban (with colleagues) trained a whole-brain multivariate SVM to decode interpersonal guilt from fMRI activity patterns and derived a voxel-weight map — the "guilt signature" — that generalizes across guilt-inducing paradigms. The signature loads most strongly on anterior insula, medial prefrontal, and surrounding regions and has been validated as a pattern-level neural marker of guilt states across independent samples.

    literature-context
  8. The experiment partner's decisions were in fact made by an expected-value-maximizing algorithm (lottery chosen if EV_diff > 0), not by a real person, but participants were not informed of this; this deception is a structural assumption underlying all social comparison contrasts and the claim that participants felt interpersonal guilt toward a real partner.

    scope
  9. Three clusters — precuneus (d=0.79), left temporoparietal junction (TPJ; d=0.59), and medial prefrontal cortex (mPFC; d=0.54) — show greater BOLD response when participants decide for themselves and their partner (Social condition) than for themselves alone (Solo condition), replicating the association of these regions with social decision-making.

    empirical
  10. If interpersonal guilt is a real affective phenomenon contingent on responsibility, then in a within-subject lottery paradigm where the same partner outcomes occur under Social and Partner conditions, momentary happiness should drop more after negative partner outcomes in Social trials (participant chose) than in Partner trials (partner chose). This is operationalised as a positive interaction term between partnerWon (low partner outcome) and subjDecided (Social condition) in a mixed-effects regression of happiness on outcomes and responsibility.

    prediction
  11. If anterior insula encodes interpersonal guilt, then in the trial-level GLM, anterior insula BOLD should be elevated in the Social vs Partner contrast specifically after negative partner outcomes — i.e., the (condition × partner-outcome) interaction should yield a significant positive cluster in the anterior insula, detectable with small-volume FWE correction (SVC) over an a priori anterior-insula ROI derived from prior literature. The signal should not be present for the same contrast after positive partner outcomes (specificity).

    prediction
  12. If happiness incorporates partner reward prediction errors with a responsibility-weighted rule, then a computational model of happiness that includes a social_pRPE regressor (partner RPE × subject-decided indicator) should fit participant happiness ratings better than nested alternatives that omit the responsibility interaction. Formally: the Responsibility model (and Responsibility Redux model) should achieve lower cross-validated error than baseline (own-reward-only) and additive social-utility models in both Study 1 and Study 2; and the fitted social_pRPE weight should be significantly greater than zero.

    prediction
  13. If superior temporal sulcus represents the partner's affective experience selectively under responsibility, then in a model-based GLM with trial-by-trial partner RPE regressors split by who-chose, the parametric modulator for partner RPE in Social trials (subject-decided) should yield a significant cluster in left STS, while the parametric modulator for partner RPE in Partner trials (partner-decided) should not. This conditional engagement, rather than a main effect of partner RPE, is the diagnostic prediction.

    prediction
  14. All findings are scoped to a two-study design: Study 1 is an fMRI study of N=40 young adults run on a 3T scanner using a within-subject lottery paradigm with three conditions (Solo, Social, Partner) over two scanning sessions; Study 2 is a behavioural-only replication with N=44 independent participants using the same task outside the scanner. Both studies use the same EV-maximising algorithmic partner (the participants are not told the partner is an algorithm). All neural claims derive from Study 1; all behavioural claims are tested in both studies. Conclusions about interpersonal guilt are conditional on this paradigm — repeated lottery decisions in a constrained risk-taking design with monetary stakes — and on the specific population sampled.

    scope
  15. The weight on partner reward prediction errors resulting from participant choices (social_pRPE) is significantly greater than zero in both the Responsibility model (Study 1: Z=2.85, p=0.004; Study 2: Z=3.26, p=0.001) and the Responsibility Redux model (Study 1: Z=2.93, p=0.003; Study 2: Z=3.30, p=0.001), demonstrating that participant-caused partner RPEs independently influence participant happiness.

    empirical

Only in v8 added

  1. Among the computational models fitted to momentary happiness data, the Responsibility Redux model achieved the best (lowest) AIC in both studies (Study 1 AIC –1499; Study 2 AIC –1195).

    methodological
  2. The anterior insula is the neural substrate of the guilt effect, increasing its BOLD response when participants are responsible for low outcomes affecting their partner.

    hypothesis
  3. If the anterior insula tracks guilt, then insula BOLD should be higher in the Social than the Partner condition and show a significant Social-by-low-outcome interaction.

    prediction
  4. The authors suggest this left STS region tracks a partner's unexpected outcomes less when they do not follow from the participant's decisions.

    interpretation
  5. The behavioural guilt effect (larger happiness decrease after low partner outcomes following participant rather than partner choices) is compatible with 'simple guilt'.

    interpretation
  6. In both studies, participants felt worse after low lottery outcomes for the partner when those outcomes followed their own choice rather than the partner's, which the authors interpret as interpersonal guilt.

    synthesis
  7. If connectivity between the guilt- and responsibility-related outcome-phase regions (left insula, left STS) and prefrontal cortex depends on whether participants decide for themselves alone or also for their partner and on the type of choice, then a seed-to-voxel psychophysiological-interaction analysis seeded in these regions should reveal prefrontal clusters showing a significant Condition-by-Choice interaction.

    prediction
  8. Connectivity between the left anterior insula and the right inferior frontal gyrus varied with choice and condition, suggesting this prefrontal region is sensitive to guilt-related information during social choices.

    interpretation
  9. Decisions in the Social compared with the Solo condition engaged three clusters — the precuneus (d = 0.79), left temporo-parietal junction (d = 0.59), and medial prefrontal cortex (d = 0.54).

    empirical
  10. The difference in response between low and high lottery outcomes was greater in the Social than the Partner condition in left insula (0.44***), right insula (0.19***), and right middle temporal cortex (0.67***).

    empirical
  11. Dot products between individual neural guilt responses and the Yu et al. (2020) guilt-related brain signature (GRBS) were overall positive (mean = 5.22, median = 6.97, sign test p = 0.017, Cliff's Delta = 0.4), providing convergent validity with a previously published neural guilt signature.

    control
  12. During the outcome phase, responses to low lottery outcomes were higher in the Social than the Partner condition in both left and right insula (InsulaL 0.41***, InsulaR 0.18***) and lower in the right middle temporal cortex (–0.12**).

    empirical
  13. During receipt of lottery versus safe outcomes (across all conditions), clusters were more active in the bilateral anterior insula, dmPFC, right STS, bilateral ventral striatum, right dorsolateral prefrontal cortex, and bilateral inferior parietal lobe.

    empirical
  14. On each trial participants chose between a safe and a risky monetary option under three conditions: choosing for oneself (Solo), for oneself and the partner (Social), and having the partner choose for both (Partner).

    scope
  15. The findings rest on two samples of healthy adults — Study 1 (behaviour only, N = 40) and Study 2 (fMRI, N = 44); all BOLD/fMRI results derive from Study 2, while the behavioural results come from both studies.

    scope
  16. Functional connectivity between guilt- and responsibility-related outcome-phase regions and prefrontal cortex changes depending on whether participants decide for themselves alone or also for their partner, and on the type of choice (Safe or Risky).

    hypothesis
  17. Functional connectivity between the left anterior insula (seed) and a cluster in the right inferior frontal gyrus varied with condition and choice, being highest when participants made Risky choices for themselves and Safe choices for both players (pFWE = 0.020, T = 4.34, d = 0.80, 115 voxels, peak MNI [46 16 22]).

    empirical
  18. To hold the partner's behaviour constant across participants, the partner's decisions were simulated by an algorithm that always selected the option with the highest expected value.

    methodological
  19. The insula ROIs responded more to low lottery outcomes for the partner in the Social than the Partner condition — even after subtracting responses to high outcomes — mirroring the behavioural guilt effect.

    empirical
  20. A left IFG cluster showed the opposite pattern of connectivity with the left STS seed — highest for Safe-self / Risky-both-players choices — but did not survive correction for multiple comparisons (p uncorrected = 0.001, T = 4.44, 35 voxels, peak MNI [–48 14 6]).

    empirical
  21. The left superior temporal sulcus cluster responded to model-based regressors coding participant reward prediction resulting from participant and partner choices across both sessions of the experiment.

    empirical
  22. A likelihood ratio test showed the Responsibility model fitted the happiness data better than all other models, including the Responsibility Redux model (Study 1: all LR ≥ 47.36, p < 0.0001; Study 2: all LR ≥ 77.83, p < 0.0001).

    empirical
  23. The linear mixed model containing all three two-way interaction terms (Model 5, Equation 10) explained the happiness data significantly better than simpler models without interactions (p < 2e−5) and no worse than the model with all interactions (p > 0.5), warranting reporting the crucial partnerHigh:participantDecided (guilt) interaction from it.

    methodological
  24. The lower happiness when the participant is the decision-maker may reflect responsibility aversion — a cost of the 'weight of the responsibility'.

    interpretation
  25. A mass-univariate voxel-wise analysis found a small left anterior insula cluster (peak T = 3.95, d = 0.59, 22 voxels) responding more to low partner outcomes following participant than partner choices, which survived small-volume family-wise-error correction (p = 0.024).

    empirical
  26. In mixed-effects regressions on choices, the Social condition significantly increased choice of the risky option in Study 1 but not in Study 2.

    empirical
  27. A model-based GLM (GLM2) entered the best-fitting computational (Responsibility) model's variables — certain rewards (CR), expected value (EV), participant RPE (sRPE), and partner RPE from participant choices (social_pRPE) and from partner choices (partner_pRPE) — as regressors to locate brain regions reflecting them.

    methodological
  28. Model selection among the happiness models used likelihood-ratio tests comparing the Responsibility model pairwise against each other model, supplementing the AIC, BIC, R² and adjusted R² values.

    methodological
  29. Momentary happiness was modelled with five computational models (Basic, Inequality, Guilt-envy, Responsibility, and Responsibility Redux) sharing separate, exponentially decaying terms for certain rewards, expected value, and reward prediction errors.

    methodological
  30. If a neural substrate tracks the participant's responsibility for the partner's outcomes, then within regions sensitive to the outcomes of risky choices, BOLD should respond more strongly to the partner's reward prediction errors resulting from the participant's own choices than from the partner's choices.

    prediction
  31. A neural substrate tracks the participant's responsibility for the partner's outcomes: within regions sensitive to choice outcomes, the partner's reward prediction errors are represented more strongly when they arise from the participant's own choice than from the partner's choice.

    hypothesis
  32. There was no significant interaction between the difference in expected values and experimental conditions in either study (p > 0.52).

    control
  33. One cluster in the left STS responded more to partner reward prediction errors resulting from participant rather than partner choices (pFWE = 0.022, T = 4.70, d = 0.53, 100 voxels, peak MNI [−52 –32 0]).

    empirical
  34. Only the precuneus and TPJ showed positive Risky–Safe differences in both the Social>Solo and Social>Partner comparisons, being most active when participants chose the lottery in the Social condition.

    empirical
  35. A parameter-recovery procedure on synthetic data generated from each participant's estimated parameters showed the happiness-model parameters could be reliably recovered, verifying their stability.

    methodological
  36. Participant momentary happiness varied with the rewards the partner received in the current trial.

    empirical
  37. Participant momentary happiness varied with the rewards the participant received in the current trial.

    empirical
  38. Participants' own reward prediction errors (sRPE) influenced happiness more than the partner's reward prediction errors (social_pRPE and partner_pRPE) (Study 1: all Z > 6.0, p < 0.001; Study 2: all Z > 3.7, p < 0.003).

    empirical
  39. Participants' probability of choosing the risky option (lottery) increased with the difference between the expected value of the lottery and the value of the safe option (Study 1: t(4796) = 9.26, p < 3.1e–20, β = 0.074; Study 2: t(3829) = 10.62, p < 5.3e–26, β = 0.093).

    control
  40. Participants showed very similar risk preferences whether deciding only for themselves (Solo) or for themselves and their partner (Social), with only a tendency toward higher risk aversion in the Social condition in Study 1.

    synthesis
  41. Participants were slightly more risk averse (higher ρ) in the Social than the Solo condition in Study 1 (t(39) = 2.27, p = 0.03, d = 0.36, BF10 = 1.69) but not in Study 2 (t(43) = 1.40, p = 0.17, d = 0.21, BF10 = 0.41).

    empirical
  42. The partner's reward prediction errors resulting from the participants' own choices (social_pRPE) had weights greater than 0 (Responsibility model: Study 1: Z = 2.85, p = 0.004; Study 2: Z = 3.26, p = 0.001), contributing to explaining participants' momentary happiness.

    empirical
  43. A pre-task icebreaker succeeded in establishing a positive attitude toward the partner: participants rated their partners highly (all above 8 on a 1–10 scale) on sympathy, cooperativity, honesty, openness, and sociability in both studies.

    control
  44. Prior functional connectivity work has shown network differences between social and self-only choices, midbrain–anterior cingulate interactions during guilt compensation, and links between insula connectivity and responsibility aversion.

    literature-context
  45. Prior literature documents an association between the anterior insula and guilt.

    literature-context
  46. Responsibility for choices did not influence happiness following positive (high) lottery outcomes for the partner (both studies, all |t| < 1.3, p > 0.2, BF10 < 0.2).

    control
  47. The Responsibility model yielded higher R² values than all other models (Study 1: all t > 3.6, p < 0.007; Study 2: all t > 2.9, p < 0.034), except the Guilt-envy model in Study 1 (t = 2.19, p = 0.17).

    empirical
  48. If responsibility for outcomes generates guilt, then participant happiness should decrease more after low lottery outcomes for the partner when the participant rather than the partner chose the lottery.

    prediction
  49. If responsibility for the partner's outcomes influences the participant's momentary happiness, then a computational model that includes the partner's reward prediction errors arising from the participant's own choices (social_pRPE) should explain the happiness data better than models omitting them, and social_pRPE weights should be reliably greater than zero.

    prediction
  50. The Responsibility Redux model — incorporating expected, previous and current rewards, reward prediction errors for both participant and partner, and decision-maker — predicted the variations in participants' momentary happiness well.

    empirical
  51. Responsibility for a social choice that yields a low outcome for a partner produces interpersonal guilt, experienced by the decision-maker as a larger decrease in momentary happiness than when the partner made the same choice.

    hypothesis
  52. The risk-aversion parameter ρ did not differ between gain and loss trials (Study 1: t(17) = 0.21, p = 0.84, d = 0.05; Study 2: t(15) = –0.61, p = 0.55, d = 0.15), justifying pooling across gain and loss trials.

    control
  53. Rutledge and colleagues established that changes in momentary happiness during a probabilistic reward task are explained by recent reward expectations and the prediction errors arising from them.

    literature-context
  54. Study 2 reproduced the Study 1 design inside the fMRI scanner with identical parameters except for longer inter-stimulus intervals (3–11 s) and partners who were experimenters positioned outside the scanner.

    scope
  55. When the partner received the low lottery outcome, participant happiness was lower when the participant rather than the partner had chosen the lottery — a significant partner-outcome × decision-maker interaction (Study 1: t(1180) = 3.52, p = 0.0004, β = 0.37; Study 2: t(937) = 2.85, p = 0.0045, β = 0.33) — operationalizing interpersonal guilt.

    empirical

Scored against this tree

Re-extractions of this paper under each model profile, aligned to the committed tree by a matcher and scored for recovery, precision, role and panel agreement. This is the evaluation layer's own scorecard (zmainen/claim-graphs#24), read from review/evaluation.json — the same file the sweep page renders. No reference here has been approved yet, so a score is a comparison between two drafts.

profile claims recovery precision role panel reference
subagent 74 79% 35% 77% 23% claim-tree v1 (committed)
fourth-reading 34 82% 71% 74% 41% claim-tree v1 (committed)
frontier-tasks 26 76% 88% 84% 40% claim-tree v1 (committed)
standard-tasks 44 76% 52% 80% 20% claim-tree v1 (committed)
The matcher's alignment for v4 — 68 matched pairs →
committed re-run why the matcher paired them
among-computational-models-fitted-momentary among-computational-models-fitted-momentary identical claim text
anterior-insula-neural-substrate-guilt anterior-insula-neural-substrate-guilt identical claim text
anterior-insula-tracks-guilt-insula anterior-insula-tracks-guilt-insula identical claim text
authors-suggest-left-sts-region authors-suggest-left-sts-region identical claim text
behavioural-guilt-effect-larger-happiness behavioural-guilt-effect-larger-happiness identical claim text
bilateral-ventral-striatum-more-active bilateral-ventral-striatum-more-active identical claim text
both-studies-participants-felt-worse both-studies-participants-felt-worse identical claim text
connectivity-between-guilt-responsibility-related-outcome-ph connectivity-between-guilt-responsibility-related-outcome-ph identical claim text
connectivity-between-left-anterior-insula connectivity-between-left-anterior-insula identical claim text
decisions-social-compared-solo-condition decisions-social-compared-solo-condition identical claim text
difference-response-between-low-high difference-response-between-low-high identical claim text
dot-products-between-individual-neural dot-products-between-individual-neural identical claim text
during-outcome-phase-responses-low during-outcome-phase-responses-low identical claim text
during-receipt-lottery-versus-safe during-receipt-lottery-versus-safe identical claim text
each-trial-participants-chose-between each-trial-participants-chose-between identical claim text
findings-rest-two-samples-healthy findings-rest-two-samples-healthy identical claim text
functional-connectivity-between-guilt-responsibility-related functional-connectivity-between-guilt-responsibility-related identical claim text
functional-connectivity-between-left-anterior functional-connectivity-between-left-anterior identical claim text
guilt-effect-occurred-whether-participant guilt-effect-occurred-whether-participant identical claim text
hold-partner-behaviour-constant-across hold-partner-behaviour-constant-across identical claim text
individual-grbs-dot-product-values-not individual-grbs-dot-product-values-not identical claim text
insula-rois-responded-more-low insula-rois-responded-more-low identical claim text
left-ifg-cluster-showed-opposite left-ifg-cluster-showed-opposite identical claim text
left-superior-temporal-sulcus-cluster left-superior-temporal-sulcus-cluster identical claim text
likelihood-ratio-test-showed-responsibility likelihood-ratio-test-showed-responsibility identical claim text
linear-mixed-model-containing-all linear-mixed-model-containing-all identical claim text
lower-happiness-when-participant-decision-maker lower-happiness-when-participant-decision-maker identical claim text
manipulation-check-bilateral-ventral-striatum manipulation-check-bilateral-ventral-striatum identical claim text
mass-univariate-voxel-wise-analysis-found-small mass-univariate-voxel-wise-analysis-found-small identical claim text
mixed-effects-regressions-choices-social-condition mixed-effects-regressions-choices-social-condition identical claim text
model-based-glm-entered-best-fitting-computational model-based-glm-entered-best-fitting-computational identical claim text
model-selection-among-happiness-models model-selection-among-happiness-models identical claim text
momentary-happiness-modelled-five-computational momentary-happiness-modelled-five-computational identical claim text
neural-substrate-tracks-participant-responsibility-2 neural-substrate-tracks-participant-responsibility-2 identical claim text
neural-substrate-tracks-participant-responsibility neural-substrate-tracks-participant-responsibility identical claim text
no-significant-interaction-between-difference no-significant-interaction-between-difference identical claim text
one-cluster-left-sts-responded one-cluster-left-sts-responded identical claim text
only-precuneus-tpj-showed-positive only-precuneus-tpj-showed-positive identical claim text
parameter-recovery-procedure-synthetic-data-generated parameter-recovery-procedure-synthetic-data-generated identical claim text
participant-happiness-lower-when-participant participant-happiness-lower-when-participant identical claim text
participant-momentary-happiness-varied-rewards-2 participant-momentary-happiness-varied-rewards-2 identical claim text
participant-momentary-happiness-varied-rewards participant-momentary-happiness-varied-rewards identical claim text
participants-chose-risky-option-lottery participants-chose-risky-option-lottery identical claim text
participants-own-reward-prediction-errors participants-own-reward-prediction-errors identical claim text
participants-probability-choosing-risky-option participants-probability-choosing-risky-option identical claim text
participants-showed-very-similar-risk participants-showed-very-similar-risk identical claim text
participants-slightly-more-risk-averse participants-slightly-more-risk-averse identical claim text
partner-reward-prediction-errors-resulting partner-reward-prediction-errors-resulting identical claim text
pre-task-icebreaker-succeeded-establishing-positive pre-task-icebreaker-succeeded-establishing-positive identical claim text
prior-functional-connectivity-work-shown prior-functional-connectivity-work-shown identical claim text
prior-literature-documents-association-between prior-literature-documents-association-between identical claim text
responsibility-choices-not-influence-happiness responsibility-choices-not-influence-happiness identical claim text
responsibility-model-yielded-higher-values responsibility-model-yielded-higher-values identical claim text
responsibility-outcomes-generates-guilt-participant responsibility-outcomes-generates-guilt-participant identical claim text
responsibility-partner-outcomes-influences-participant responsibility-partner-outcomes-influences-participant identical claim text
responsibility-redux-model-incorporating-expected responsibility-redux-model-incorporating-expected identical claim text
responsibility-social-choice-yields-low responsibility-social-choice-yields-low identical claim text
risk-aversion-parameter-not-differ-between risk-aversion-parameter-not-differ-between identical claim text
risk-premiums-not-differ-between risk-premiums-not-differ-between identical claim text
rutledge-colleagues-established-changes-momentary rutledge-colleagues-established-changes-momentary identical claim text
study-reproduced-study-design-inside study-reproduced-study-design-inside identical claim text
when-partner-received-low-lottery when-partner-received-low-lottery identical claim text
alt-agency-aversion-not-guilt alt-agency-aversion-not-guilt rejected alternative carried whole (identical)
alt-guilt-effect-driven-by-own-outcome alt-guilt-effect-driven-by-own-outcome rejected alternative carried whole (identical)
alt-imaging-contrast-invalid alt-imaging-contrast-invalid rejected alternative carried whole (identical)
alt-model-based-glm-invalid alt-model-based-glm-invalid rejected alternative carried whole (identical)
alt-participants-insensitive-to-value alt-participants-insensitive-to-value rejected alternative carried whole (identical)
alt-social-context-shifts-risk-attitude alt-social-context-shifts-risk-attitude rejected alternative carried whole (identical)
The matcher's alignment for v3 — 26 matched pairs →
committed re-run why the matcher paired them
agency-reduces-happiness participant-happiness-lower-when-participant decision-maker lower happiness independent of outcome, same t/beta stats
alt-agency-aversion-not-guilt lower-happiness-when-participant-decision-maker decision-maker cost attributed to responsibility/agency aversion, not outcome guilt
guilt-effect-independent-of-own-outcome guilt-effect-occurred-whether-participant guilt effect present under both high and low own outcome, same stats
guilt-reduces-happiness-after-partner-loss when-partner-received-low-lottery happiness lower after low partner outcome when participant chose, operationalizes guilt
guilt-signature-no-individual-difference individual-grbs-dot-product-values-not GRBS dot-products do not correlate with behavioural guilt, Rho=-0.058 p=0.725
happiness-correlates-partner-reward participant-momentary-happiness-varied-rewards-2 momentary happiness varies with partner's rewards
hypothesis-insula-tracks-interpersonal-guilt anterior-insula-neural-substrate-guilt anterior insula is the neural substrate of interpersonal guilt
hypothesis-sts-mentalizes-partner-state-under-responsibility authors-suggest-left-sts-region left STS tracks partner outcomes contingent on participant's responsibility
insula-guilt-replicates-yu-koban-signature dot-products-between-individual-neural positive dot-products with Yu/Koban guilt signature give convergent validity
insula-ifg-connectivity-guilt connectivity-between-left-anterior-insula insula-IFG connectivity varies by condition/choice, guilt-related
insula-tracks-guilt-effect mass-univariate-voxel-wise-analysis-found-small anterior insula cluster responds more to low partner outcomes under participant choice
lottery-choice-increases-with-ev participants-probability-choosing-risky-option risky-choice probability rises with EV difference, same t/beta stats
partner-algorithm-deception-assumption hold-partner-behaviour-constant-across partner decisions simulated by EV-maximizing algorithm
precuneus-tpj-mpfc-social-decisions decisions-social-compared-solo-condition Social>Solo engages precuneus/TPJ/mPFC, same effect sizes
prediction-behavioral-guilt-effect responsibility-outcomes-generates-guilt-participant prediction: happiness drops more after low partner outcome when participant chose
prediction-insula-tracks-guilt anterior-insula-tracks-guilt-insula prediction: insula higher in Social with Social-by-low-outcome interaction
prediction-responsibility-model-wins-comparison responsibility-partner-outcomes-influences-participant prediction: social_pRPE model fits better and weights greater than zero
prediction-sts-tracks-partner-rpe-under-responsibility neural-substrate-tracks-participant-responsibility-2 prediction: BOLD tracks partner RPE more from own than partner choices
responsibility-modulates-guilt-computational likelihood-ratio-test-showed-responsibility Responsibility model fits happiness better than models without it
risk-premiums-null-social-solo risk-premiums-not-differ-between risk premiums do not differ Solo vs Social, same t/BF stats
scope-two-study-design findings-rest-two-samples-healthy two-study design, one fMRI one behaviour-only, neural from fMRI study (study labels swapped)
social-prpe-weight-positive partner-reward-prediction-errors-resulting social_pRPE weight greater than zero, same Z stats both studies
solo-vs-social-choice-difference participants-chose-risky-option-lottery more lottery choices in Solo than Social in Study 1 not Study 2, same stats
sts-tracks-partner-reward-prediction-errors one-cluster-left-sts-responded left STS responds more to partner RPE from participant than partner choices
ventral-striatum-tracks-computational-reward manipulation-check-bilateral-ventral-striatum ventral striatum tracks certain rewards/EV as manipulation check, same stats
ventral-striatum-tracks-risky-choices bilateral-ventral-striatum-more-active ventral striatum more active for risky vs safe, irrespective of condition, same d
The matcher's alignment for v2 — 25 matched pairs →
committed re-run why the matcher paired them
agency-reduces-happiness participant-happiness-lower-when-participant decision-maker (Social+Solo vs Partner) has lower happiness, outcome-independent
guilt-effect-independent-of-own-outcome guilt-effect-occurred-regardless-whether guilt effect holds regardless of participant's own high/low outcome
guilt-reduces-happiness-after-partner-loss interaction-between-partner-outcome-decision-maker happiness drops more after low partner outcomes when participant chose = guilt
guilt-signature-no-individual-difference individual-differences-grbs-dot-product-values guilt-signature dot products do not correlate with behavioral guilt effect
happiness-correlates-partner-reward momentary-happiness-correlated-rewards-obtained-2 momentary happiness correlates with partner's obtained reward in both studies
hypothesis-insula-tracks-interpersonal-guilt anterior-insula-neural-substrate-interpersonal-2 insula is guilt substrate via conjunction of responsibility and partner harm
hypothesis-responsibility-weights-partner-rpes neural-mechanism-tracks-consequences-participant partner RPEs from participant's own choices (social_pRPE) enter happiness over and above general partner RPEs
hypothesis-sts-mentalizes-partner-state-under-responsibility left-sts-tracks-partner-reward STS tracks partner RPE specifically when participant caused the outcome (mentalizing under responsibility)
insula-guilt-replicates-yu-koban-signature dot-products-between-individual-bold guilt contrasts load positively on the Yu/Koban guilt signature = convergent validity
insula-ifg-connectivity-guilt connectivity-between-left-anterior-insula insula-IFG connectivity varies by condition and choice, surviving correction
insula-tracks-guilt-effect bilateral-insula-rois-mirrored-behavioral insula responds more to low partner outcomes in Social vs Partner, mirroring guilt effect
interprets-yu-koban-guilt-signature yu-et-al-re-analysed-two Yu et al. derived a multivariate neural guilt signature (GRBS) from prior guilt studies
lottery-choice-increases-with-ev participants-probability-choosing-risky-option P(choose lottery) rises with EV difference in both studies
partner-algorithm-deception-assumption partner-decisions-not-made-real partner was an EV-maximizing algorithm (lottery if EVdiff>0), not a real person
precuneus-tpj-mpfc-social-decisions three-regions-precuneus-left-temporo-parietal precuneus/TPJ/mPFC greater BOLD in Social vs Solo, identical effect sizes
prediction-behavioral-guilt-effect guilt-operationalized-responsibility-contingent-unhappiness prediction: happiness should drop more after low partner outcomes under participant choice
prediction-insula-tracks-guilt anterior-insula-neural-substrate-interpersonal prediction: insula shows higher BOLD to low partner outcomes under participant vs partner choice
prediction-sts-tracks-partner-rpe-under-responsibility neural-region-tracks-responsibility-contingent-partner prediction: higher BOLD to partner RPE from participant vs partner choices (STS = the region-general form)
responsibility-modulates-guilt-computational responsibility-model-explained-happiness-data responsibility-weighted happiness model outperforms models without responsibility
risk-premiums-null-social-solo risk-premiums-not-differ-between no Social vs Solo risk-premium difference in either study
social-prpe-weight-positive partner-reward-prediction-errors-resulting social_pRPE contributes significantly positively in both models and studies
solo-vs-social-choice-difference participants-chose-lottery-more-often more lottery choices in Solo than Social in Study 1, not Study 2
sts-tracks-partner-reward-prediction-errors cluster-left-sts-showed-higher left STS cluster shows higher BOLD to partner RPE from participant vs partner choices
ventral-striatum-tracks-computational-reward bilateral-ventral-striatum-activation-during VS activation scales with model-based expected certain rewards and chosen-lottery EV
ventral-striatum-tracks-risky-choices bilateral-ventral-striatum-showed-greater VS greater BOLD for risky vs safe choice, irrespective of Social/Solo

Artifacts

  • claims/gadeke-2026-guilt-insula/*.md · 69 files

Versions

From the run ledger. There is no changelog beside it to keep in step.

  1. v8 · 2026-09-14 · scripts/pipeline.py run

    ran via scripts/pipeline.py

    cd extract && python3 -m claim_graphs.cli write --paper gadeke-2026-guilt-insula --replace

  2. v7 · 2026-09-13 · scripts/pipeline.py run

    edge completion pass: rebuild tree from completed edges

    cd extract && python3 -m elife_extract.cli write --paper gadeke-2026-guilt-insula --replace

  3. v6 · 2026-09-13 · scripts/pipeline.py run

    ran via scripts/pipeline.py

    cd extract && python3 -m elife_extract.cli write --paper gadeke-2026-guilt-insula --replace

  4. v5 · 2026-09-13 · scripts/pipeline.py run

    re-answered edge inference: tensions and unsupported parts (#125)

    cd extract && python3 -m elife_extract.cli write --paper gadeke-2026-guilt-insula --replace

  5. v4 · 2026-09-13 · scripts/pipeline.py run

    ran via scripts/pipeline.py

    cd extract && python3 -m elife_extract.cli write --paper gadeke-2026-guilt-insula --replace

  6. v3 · 2026-09-12 · scripts/pipeline.py run

    claim-tree v3: written from the recorded current-prompt chain; v2 archived, alt- claims, rules-out edges and reproduction records carried (#96)

    cd extract && python3 -m elife_extract.cli write --paper gadeke-2026-guilt-insula --replace

  7. v2 · 2026-09-11 · scripts/pipeline.py run

    claim-tree v2 from the recorded Opus chain (#56): 68 claims, 75 edges; v1 archived to runs/gadeke-2026-guilt-insula/claim-tree.v1; alt- claims, rules-out edges and reproduction records carried from v1

    cd extract && python3 -m elife_extract.cli write --paper gadeke-2026-guilt-insula --replace

  8. v1 · 2026-09-11 · unrecorded backfilled from the artifact

    backfilled from the artifact on disk

This layer across the corpus

Across the corpus

9 run not observed · 1 blocked upstream·a paper links to its own cell, where this layer's output for it is rendered

PaperStateVersionLast runOutputCell
A three-dimensional immunofluorescence atlas of the …backfilled from the artifact on diskrun not observedv12026-09-10—json
Distinct representational properties of cues and con…backfilled from the artifact on diskrun not observedv12026-09-10—json
Computational modelling identifies key determinants …backfilled from the artifact on diskrun not observedv12026-04-26—json
Contributions of insula and superior temporal sulcus…ran via scripts/pipeline.pyblocked upstreamv82026-09-14—json
Spatially targeted inhibitory rhythms differentially…backfilled from the artifact on diskrun not observedv12026-09-10—json
Feedback of peripheral saccade targets to early fove…backfilled from the artifact on diskrun not observedv12026-09-10—json
iGABASnFR2 is an improved genetically encoded protei…backfilled from the artifact on diskrun not observedv12026-09-10—json
A deep learning pipeline for mapping in situ network…backfilled from the artifact on diskrun not observedv12026-09-10—json
Self-association enhances early attentional selectio…backfilled from the artifact on diskrun not observedv12026-09-10—json
Impaired excitability of fast-spiking neurons in a n…backfilled from the artifact on diskrun not observedv12026-09-10—json

Inputs and outputs

Produces
  • claims/{paper}/*.md

One per paper — the table above links each one that exists.

Views
  • graph — on the paper page, as the claim graph
  • list — declared, and no run of this layer has left an artifact to render
  • table — declared, and no run of this layer has left an artifact to render
  • comparison — on the cell page, two versions aligned by the matcher, wherever the ledger holds more than one

Running it

The command comes from the declaration, so this text and what actually runs cannot diverge. pipeline.py run also runs the unmet dependencies first.

python3 scripts/pipeline.py run <paper> claim-tree

Underneath, that runs cd extract && python3 -m claim_graphs.cli write --paper {paper} --replace.